This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 34% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 34% to break even | 27%–86% | 26 points betterwon 60%, needs 34% |
| Last 10 games | 7 of 1070%needs 34% to break even | 44%–87% | 36 points betterwon 70%, needs 34% |
| Last 15 games | 10 of 1567%needs 34% to break even | 46%–83% | 33 points betterwon 67%, needs 34% |
| This season | 5 of 771%needs 34% to break even | 41%–90% | 38 points betterwon 71%, needs 34% |
| Last season | 7 of 1354%needs 34% to break even | 32%–74% | 20 points betterwon 54%, needs 34% |
| Every game | 12 of 2060%needs 34% to break even | 42%–76% | 26 points betterwon 60%, needs 34% |
Tonight HOU plays on the road, as the underdog, after a win, against UTAH. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
HOU points in each game against over 30.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | HOU points | Beat 30.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 35 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Oct 10 | 35 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Oct 3 | 27 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 26 | 42 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Sep 18 | 26 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 12 | 77 | +46.5 | Won | |
| Sep 5 | 33 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Dec 27 | 38 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Nov 29 | 31 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 22 | 14 | -16.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 7 | 30 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 1 | 35 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Oct 25 | 24 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 18 | 31 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 11 | 39 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Oct 4 | 11 | -19.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 26 | 27 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 12 | 36 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Sep 6 | 35 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Aug 28 | 27 | -3.5 | Lost | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 20.5 team totalHouston Cougars · Tomorrow 10:15 PM ET | +173at Kalshi | 2 of 13· last season15%needs 37% to break even | Record is last season's | -27.7Not beating its price | |
| Under 23.5 team totalHouston Cougars · Tomorrow 10:15 PM ET | +114at Kalshi | 2 of 13· last season15%needs 47% to break even | Record is last season's | -35.7Not beating its price | |
| Under 24.5 team totalHouston Cougars · Tomorrow 10:15 PM ET | -116at Kalshi | 3 of 13· last season23%needs 54% to break even | Record is last season's | -40.0Not beating its price | |
| Under 27.5 team totalHouston Cougars · Tomorrow 10:15 PM ET | -168at Kalshi | 5 of 13· last season38%needs 63% to break even | Record is last season's | -38.8Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.