This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 56% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 56% to break even | 14%–73% | 16 points shortwon 40%, needs 56% |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 56% to break even | 19%–65% | 16 points shortwon 40%, needs 56% |
| Last 15 games | 6 of 1540%needs 56% to break even | 22%–61% | 16 points shortwon 40%, needs 56% |
| This season | 4 of 757%needs 56% to break even | 29%–81% | 1 points betterwon 57%, needs 56% |
| Last season | 6 of 1346%needs 56% to break even | 26%–68% | 10 points shortwon 46%, needs 56% |
| Every game | 10 of 2050%needs 56% to break even | 33%–67% | 6 points shortwon 50%, needs 56% |
Tonight USC plays on the road, as the favorite, after a win, against WIS. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
1H margin in each game against usc 1h -0.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | 1H margin | Beat 0.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 10 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 3 | ||||
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USC -3 spreadUSC Trojans · Tomorrow 7:30 PM ET |
| -4 |
| -4.5 |
| Lost |
| Sep 26 | -3 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Sep 19 | 6 | +5.5 | Won |
| Sep 12 | 18 | +17.5 | Won |
| Sep 4 | 30 | +29.5 | Won |
| Aug 29 | 28 | +27.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Dec 30 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 29 | -3 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Nov 22 | -14 | -14.5 | Lost |
| Nov 15 | -11 | -11.5 | Lost |
| Nov 7 | 7 | +6.5 | Won |
| Nov 1 | -8 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Oct 18 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Oct 11 | 7 | +6.5 | Won |
| Sep 27 | -4 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Sep 20 | 14 | +13.5 | Won |
| Sep 13 | 14 | +13.5 | Won |
| Sep 6 | 18 | +17.5 | Won |
| Aug 30 | 32 | +31.5 | Won |
| 6 of 7· this season86%needs 50% to break even |
| Record is this season's |
| -1.1Not beating its price |
| Over 50.5 game total, USC gamesUSC Trojans · Tomorrow 7:30 PM ET | NV+100at Novig | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 50% to break even | -7.0Not beating its price |
| USC to win moneylineUSC Trojans · Tomorrow 7:30 PM ET | NV-138at Novig | 6 of 7· this season86%needs 58% to break even | Record is this season's | -7.7Not beating its price |
| Under 50.5 game total, USC gamesUSC Trojans · Tomorrow 7:30 PM ET | NV-108at Novig | 6 of 15· last 15 games40%needs 52% to break even | -29.8Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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