This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 46% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 46% to break even | 14%–73% | 6 points shortwon 40%, needs 46% |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 46% to break even | 19%–65% | 6 points shortwon 40%, needs 46% |
| Last 15 games | 7 of 1547%needs 46% to break even | 28%–67% | 1 points betterwon 47%, needs 46% |
| This season | 2 of 729%needs 46% to break even | 10%–59% | 17 points shortwon 29%, needs 46% |
| Last season | 9 of 1369%needs 46% to break even | 46%–85% | 24 points betterwon 69%, needs 46% |
| Every game | 11 of 2055%needs 46% to break even | 37%–72% | 9 points betterwon 55%, needs 46% |
Tonight LSU plays on the road, as the favorite, after a win, against AUB. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total points in each game against under 49.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Total points | Beat 49.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 31 | +18.5 | Won | |
| Oct 10 | ||||
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 46.5 game total, LSU gamesLSU Tigers · Tomorrow 12:00 PM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LSU -0.5 2nd half spreadLSU Tigers · Tomorrow 12:00 PM ET |
| 69 |
| -19.5 |
| Lost |
| Oct 3 | 77 | -27.5 | Lost |
| Sep 26 | 41 | +8.5 | Won |
| Sep 19 | 56 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Sep 12 | 59 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Sep 5 | 61 | -11.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Dec 27 | 73 | -23.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 29 | 30 | +19.5 | Won |
| Nov 22 | 23 | +26.5 | Won |
| Nov 15 | 45 | +4.5 | Won |
| Nov 8 | 29 | +20.5 | Won |
| Oct 25 | 74 | -24.5 | Lost |
| Oct 18 | 55 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Oct 11 | 30 | +19.5 | Won |
| Sep 27 | 43 | +6.5 | Won |
| Sep 20 | 66 | -16.5 | Lost |
| Sep 13 | 30 | +19.5 | Won |
| Sep 6 | 30 | +19.5 | Won |
| Aug 30 | 27 | +22.5 | Won |
| 5 of 7· this season71%needs 66% to break even |
| Record is this season's |
| -28.8Not beating its price |
| Over 49.5 game total, LSU gamesLSU Tigers · Tomorrow 12:00 PM ET | -142at Kalshi | 5 of 7· this season71%needs 59% to break even | Record is this season's | -23.3Not beating its price |
| Over 50.5 game total, LSU gamesLSU Tigers · Tomorrow 12:00 PM ET | -126at Kalshi | 5 of 7· this season71%needs 56% to break even | Record is this season's | -20.9Not beating its price |
| Over 51 game total, LSU gamesLSU Tigers · Tomorrow 12:00 PM ET | PIN-109at Pinnacle | 5 of 7· this season71%needs 52% to break even | Record is this season's | -18.0Not beating its price |
| Over 51.5 game total, LSU gamesLSU Tigers · Tomorrow 12:00 PM ET | -107at Kalshi | 5 of 7· this season71%needs 52% to break even | Record is this season's | -17.7Not beating its price |
| Over 52.5 game total, LSU gamesLSU Tigers · Tomorrow 12:00 PM ET | +101at Kalshi | 5 of 7· this season71%needs 50% to break even | Record is this season's | -16.1Not beating its price |
| Over 53.5 game total, LSU gamesLSU Tigers · Tomorrow 12:00 PM ET | +114at Kalshi | 5 of 7· this season71%needs 47% to break even | Record is this season's | -13.7Not beating its price |
| Over 54.5 game total, LSU gamesLSU Tigers · Tomorrow 12:00 PM ET | +124at Kalshi | 5 of 7· this season71%needs 45% to break even | Record is this season's | -12.0Not beating its price |
| Over 55.5 game total, LSU gamesLSU Tigers · Tomorrow 12:00 PM ET | +140at Kalshi | 5 of 7· this season71%needs 42% to break even | Record is this season's | -11.5Not beating its price |
| Over 58.5 game total, LSU gamesLSU Tigers · Tomorrow 12:00 PM ET | +189at Kalshi | 4 of 7· this season57%needs 35% to break even | Record is this season's | -11.5Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 7 of 7· this season100%needs 63% to break even |
| Record is this season's |
| -7.0Not beating its price |
| LSU -6.5 1st quarter spreadLSU Tigers · Tomorrow 12:00 PM ET | +166at Kalshi | 5 of 7· this season71%needs 38% to break even | Record is this season's | -9.1Not beating its price |
| LSU -3.5 2nd half spreadLSU Tigers · Tomorrow 12:00 PM ET | -112at Kalshi | 6 of 7· this season86%needs 53% to break even | Record is this season's | -9.4Not beating its price |
| LSU -13.5 spreadLSU Tigers · Tomorrow 12:00 PM ET | +181at Kalshi | 5 of 7· this season71%needs 36% to break even | Record is this season's | -10.5Not beating its price |
| Over 34.5 team totalLSU Tigers · Tomorrow 12:00 PM ET | +189at Kalshi | 4 of 7· this season57%needs 35% to break even | Record is this season's | -13.2Not beating its price |
| Over 30.5 team totalLSU Tigers · Tomorrow 12:00 PM ET | +101at Kalshi | 6 of 7· this season86%needs 50% to break even | Record is this season's | -13.3Not beating its price |
| LSU -3.5 1st quarter spreadLSU Tigers · Tomorrow 12:00 PM ET | +124at Kalshi | 5 of 7· this season71%needs 45% to break even | Record is this season's | -13.8Not beating its price |
| LSU -1.5 1st quarter spreadLSU Tigers · Tomorrow 12:00 PM ET | -112at Kalshi | 6 of 7· this season86%needs 53% to break even | Record is this season's | -13.9Not beating its price |
| LSU -2.5 1st quarter spreadLSU Tigers · Tomorrow 12:00 PM ET | -112at Kalshi | 6 of 7· this season86%needs 53% to break even | Record is this season's | -13.9Not beating its price |
| LSU -0.5 1st quarter spreadLSU Tigers · Tomorrow 12:00 PM ET | -116at Kalshi | 6 of 7· this season86%needs 54% to break even | Record is this season's | -14.6Not beating its price |
| LSU -11.5 spreadLSU Tigers · Tomorrow 12:00 PM ET | +146at Kalshi | 5 of 7· this season71%needs 41% to break even | Record is this season's | -14.6Not beating its price |
| Under 27.5 team totalLSU Tigers · Tomorrow 12:00 PM ET | +124at Kalshi | 11 of 13· last season85%needs 45% to break even | Record is last season's | -14.8Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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