This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 52% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 52% to break even | 27%–86% | 8 points betterwon 60%, needs 52% |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 52% to break even | 35%–81% | 8 points betterwon 60%, needs 52% |
| Last 15 games | 8 of 1553%needs 52% to break even | 33%–72% | 2 points betterwon 53%, needs 52% |
| This season | 5 of 771%needs 52% to break even | 41%–90% | 20 points betterwon 71%, needs 52% |
| Last season | 4 of 1331%needs 52% to break even | 15%–54% | 21 points shortwon 31%, needs 52% |
| Every game | 9 of 2045%needs 52% to break even | 28%–63% | 7 points shortwon 45%, needs 52% |
Tonight LSU plays on the road, as the favorite, after a win, against AUB. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total points in each game against over 51.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Total points | Beat 51.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 31 | -20.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 10 | ||||
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 46.5 game total, LSU gamesLSU Tigers · Tomorrow 12:00 PM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LSU -0.5 2nd half spreadLSU Tigers · Tomorrow 12:00 PM ET |
| 69 |
| +17.5 |
| Won |
| Oct 3 | 77 | +25.5 | Won |
| Sep 26 | 41 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Sep 19 | 56 | +4.5 | Won |
| Sep 12 | 59 | +7.5 | Won |
| Sep 5 | 61 | +9.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Dec 27 | 73 | +21.5 | Won | |
| Nov 29 | 30 | -21.5 | Lost |
| Nov 22 | 23 | -28.5 | Lost |
| Nov 15 | 45 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Nov 8 | 29 | -22.5 | Lost |
| Oct 25 | 74 | +22.5 | Won |
| Oct 18 | 55 | +3.5 | Won |
| Oct 11 | 30 | -21.5 | Lost |
| Sep 27 | 43 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Sep 20 | 66 | +14.5 | Won |
| Sep 13 | 30 | -21.5 | Lost |
| Sep 6 | 30 | -21.5 | Lost |
| Aug 30 | 27 | -24.5 | Lost |
| 9 of 13· last season69%needs 39% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -10.8Not beating its price |
| Under 49.5 game total, LSU gamesLSU Tigers · Tomorrow 12:00 PM ET | +119at Kalshi | 9 of 13· last season69%needs 46% to break even | Record is last season's | -16.4Not beating its price |
| Under 50.5 game total, LSU gamesLSU Tigers · Tomorrow 12:00 PM ET | +105at Kalshi | 9 of 13· last season69%needs 49% to break even | Record is last season's | -18.9Not beating its price |
| Under 51 game total, LSU gamesLSU Tigers · Tomorrow 12:00 PM ET | PIN-107at Pinnacle | 9 of 13· last season69%needs 52% to break even | Record is last season's | -21.2Not beating its price |
| Under 51.5 game total, LSU gamesLSU Tigers · Tomorrow 12:00 PM ET | -112at Kalshi | 9 of 13· last season69%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -22.1Not beating its price |
| Under 52.5 game total, LSU gamesLSU Tigers · Tomorrow 12:00 PM ET | -121at Kalshi | 9 of 13· last season69%needs 55% to break even | Record is last season's | -23.7Not beating its price |
| Under 53.5 game total, LSU gamesLSU Tigers · Tomorrow 12:00 PM ET | -137at Kalshi | 9 of 13· last season69%needs 58% to break even | Record is last season's | -26.1Not beating its price |
| Under 54.5 game total, LSU gamesLSU Tigers · Tomorrow 12:00 PM ET | -148at Kalshi | 9 of 13· last season69%needs 60% to break even | Record is last season's | -27.6Not beating its price |
| Under 55.5 game total, LSU gamesLSU Tigers · Tomorrow 12:00 PM ET | -168at Kalshi | 10 of 13· last season77%needs 63% to break even | Record is last season's | -27.6Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 7 of 7· this season100%needs 62% to break even |
| Record is this season's |
| -6.2Not beating its price |
| LSU -3.5 2nd half spreadLSU Tigers · Tomorrow 12:00 PM ET | -107at Kalshi | 6 of 7· this season86%needs 52% to break even | Record is this season's | -8.5Not beating its price |
| LSU -6.5 1st quarter spreadLSU Tigers · Tomorrow 12:00 PM ET | +166at Kalshi | 5 of 7· this season71%needs 38% to break even | Record is this season's | -9.1Not beating its price |
| LSU -13.5 spreadLSU Tigers · Tomorrow 12:00 PM ET | +181at Kalshi | 5 of 7· this season71%needs 36% to break even | Record is this season's | -10.5Not beating its price |
| Over 34.5 team totalLSU Tigers · Tomorrow 12:00 PM ET | +189at Kalshi | 4 of 7· this season57%needs 35% to break even | Record is this season's | -13.2Not beating its price |
| Over 30.5 team totalLSU Tigers · Tomorrow 12:00 PM ET | +101at Kalshi | 6 of 7· this season86%needs 50% to break even | Record is this season's | -13.3Not beating its price |
| LSU -3.5 1st quarter spreadLSU Tigers · Tomorrow 12:00 PM ET | +124at Kalshi | 5 of 7· this season71%needs 45% to break even | Record is this season's | -13.8Not beating its price |
| LSU -11.5 spreadLSU Tigers · Tomorrow 12:00 PM ET | +152at Kalshi | 5 of 7· this season71%needs 40% to break even | Record is this season's | -13.8Not beating its price |
| LSU -1.5 1st quarter spreadLSU Tigers · Tomorrow 12:00 PM ET | -112at Kalshi | 6 of 7· this season86%needs 53% to break even | Record is this season's | -13.9Not beating its price |
| LSU -2.5 1st quarter spreadLSU Tigers · Tomorrow 12:00 PM ET | -112at Kalshi | 6 of 7· this season86%needs 53% to break even | Record is this season's | -13.9Not beating its price |
| Under 27.5 team totalLSU Tigers · Tomorrow 12:00 PM ET | +124at Kalshi | 11 of 13· last season85%needs 45% to break even | Record is last season's | -14.8Not beating its price |
| LSU -9.5 1st half spreadLSU Tigers · Tomorrow 12:00 PM ET | +173at Kalshi | 4 of 7· this season57%needs 37% to break even | Record is this season's | -15.2Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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