This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 45% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 45% to break even | 5%–56% | 25 points shortwon 20%, needs 45% |
| Last 10 games | 3 of 1030%needs 45% to break even | 13%–56% | 15 points shortwon 30%, needs 45% |
| Last 15 games | 8 of 1553%needs 45% to break even | 33%–72% | 9 points betterwon 53%, needs 45% |
| This season | 1 of 714%needs 45% to break even | 3%–45% | 30 points shortwon 14%, needs 45% |
| Last season | 11 of 1385%needs 45% to break even | 63%–95% | 40 points betterwon 85%, needs 45% |
| Every game | 12 of 2060%needs 45% to break even | 42%–76% | 15 points betterwon 60%, needs 45% |
Tonight LSU plays on the road, as the favorite, after a win, against AUB. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
LSU points in each game against under 27.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | LSU points | Beat 27.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 31 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 10 | ||||
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 27.5 team totalLSU Tigers · Sat, Oct 24, 12:00 PM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LSU -0.5 2nd half spreadLSU Tigers · Sat, Oct 24, 12:00 PM ET |
| 34 |
| -6.5 |
| Lost |
| Oct 3 | 63 | -35.5 | Lost |
| Sep 26 | 35 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Sep 19 | 24 | +3.5 | Won |
| Sep 12 | 45 | -17.5 | Lost |
| Sep 5 | 51 | -23.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Dec 27 | 35 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 29 | 13 | +14.5 | Won |
| Nov 22 | 13 | +14.5 | Won |
| Nov 15 | 23 | +4.5 | Won |
| Nov 8 | 9 | +18.5 | Won |
| Oct 25 | 25 | +2.5 | Won |
| Oct 18 | 24 | +3.5 | Won |
| Oct 11 | 20 | +7.5 | Won |
| Sep 27 | 19 | +8.5 | Won |
| Sep 20 | 56 | -28.5 | Lost |
| Sep 13 | 20 | +7.5 | Won |
| Sep 6 | 23 | +4.5 | Won |
| Aug 30 | 17 | +10.5 | Won |
| 6 of 7· this season86%needs 60% to break even |
| Record is this season's |
| -21.2Not beating its price |
| Over 30.5 team totalLSU Tigers · Sat, Oct 24, 12:00 PM ET | +101at Kalshi | 6 of 7· this season86%needs 50% to break even | Record is this season's | -13.3Not beating its price |
| Over 34.5 team totalLSU Tigers · Sat, Oct 24, 12:00 PM ET | +189at Kalshi | 4 of 7· this season57%needs 35% to break even | Record is this season's | -13.2Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 7 of 7· this season100%needs 63% to break even |
| Record is this season's |
| -7.0Not beating its price |
| LSU -6.5 1st quarter spreadLSU Tigers · Sat, Oct 24, 12:00 PM ET | +166at Kalshi | 5 of 7· this season71%needs 38% to break even | Record is this season's | -9.1Not beating its price |
| LSU -3.5 2nd half spreadLSU Tigers · Sat, Oct 24, 12:00 PM ET | -112at Kalshi | 6 of 7· this season86%needs 53% to break even | Record is this season's | -9.4Not beating its price |
| LSU -13.5 spreadLSU Tigers · Sat, Oct 24, 12:00 PM ET | +181at Kalshi | 5 of 7· this season71%needs 36% to break even | Record is this season's | -10.5Not beating its price |
| Under 46.5 game total, LSU gamesLSU Tigers · Sat, Oct 24, 12:00 PM ET | +159at Kalshi | 9 of 13· last season69%needs 39% to break even | Record is last season's | -10.8Not beating its price |
| Over 58.5 game total, LSU gamesLSU Tigers · Sat, Oct 24, 12:00 PM ET | +189at Kalshi | 4 of 7· this season57%needs 35% to break even | Record is this season's | -11.5Not beating its price |
| Over 55.5 game total, LSU gamesLSU Tigers · Sat, Oct 24, 12:00 PM ET | +140at Kalshi | 5 of 7· this season71%needs 42% to break even | Record is this season's | -11.5Not beating its price |
| Over 54.5 game total, LSU gamesLSU Tigers · Sat, Oct 24, 12:00 PM ET | +124at Kalshi | 5 of 7· this season71%needs 45% to break even | Record is this season's | -12.0Not beating its price |
| Over 53.5 game total, LSU gamesLSU Tigers · Sat, Oct 24, 12:00 PM ET | +114at Kalshi | 5 of 7· this season71%needs 47% to break even | Record is this season's | -13.7Not beating its price |
| LSU -3.5 1st quarter spreadLSU Tigers · Sat, Oct 24, 12:00 PM ET | +124at Kalshi | 5 of 7· this season71%needs 45% to break even | Record is this season's | -13.8Not beating its price |
| LSU -11.5 spreadLSU Tigers · Sat, Oct 24, 12:00 PM ET | +152at Kalshi | 5 of 7· this season71%needs 40% to break even | Record is this season's | -13.8Not beating its price |
| LSU -1.5 1st quarter spreadLSU Tigers · Sat, Oct 24, 12:00 PM ET | -116at Kalshi | 6 of 7· this season86%needs 54% to break even | Record is this season's | -14.6Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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