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Won5 of 7this season · 71%
Best price+152Kalshi
Price needs39.7%wins to break even
Every game7 of 20this season and last
Trend score-13.8Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 40% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 40% to break even | 27%–86% | 20 points betterwon 60%, needs 40% |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 40% to break even | 27%–73% | 10 points betterwon 50%, needs 40% |
| Last 15 games | 5 of 1533%needs 40% to break even | 17%–54% | 6 points shortwon 33%, needs 40% |
| This season | 5 of 771%needs 40% to break even | 41%–90% | 32 points betterwon 71%, needs 40% |
| Last season | 2 of 1315%needs 40% to break even | 5%–37% | 24 points shortwon 15%, needs 40% |
| Every game | 7 of 2035%needs 40% to break even | 20%–53% | 5 points shortwon 35%, needs 40% |
Games like tonight
Tonight LSU plays on the road, as the favorite, after a win, against AUB. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
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LSU -11.5 (spread)1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Margin in each game against lsu -11.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat 11.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 |  MSST | 31 | +19.5 | Won |
| Oct 10 |  UK | -1 | -12.5 | Lost |
| Oct 3 |  MCN | 49 | +37.5 | Won |
| Sep 26 |  TA&M | 29 | +17.5 | Won |
| Sep 19 |  MISS | -8 | -19.5 | Lost |
| Sep 12 |  LT | 31 | +19.5 | Won |
| Sep 5 |  CLEM | 41 | +29.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Dec 27 |  HOU | -3 | -14.5 | Lost |
| Nov 29 |  OU | -4 | -15.5 | Lost |
| Nov 22 |  WKU | 3 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Nov 15 |  ARK | 1 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Nov 8 |  ALA | -11 | -22.5 | Lost |
| Oct 25 | TA&M | -24 | -35.5 | Lost |
| Oct 18 |  VAN | -7 | -18.5 | Lost |
| Oct 11 |  ACU | 10 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Sep 27 | MISS | -5 | -16.5 | Lost |
| Sep 20 |  SELA | 46 | +34.5 | Won |
| Sep 13 |  FLA | 10 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Sep 6 | LT | 16 | +4.5 | Won |
| Aug 30 | CLEM | 7 | -4.5 | Lost |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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More on LSU Tigers in this game
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.