This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 63% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 5 of 5100%needs 63% to break even | 65%–100% | 37 points betterwon 100%, needs 63% |
| Last 10 games | 8 of 1080%needs 63% to break even | 54%–93% | 17 points betterwon 80%, needs 63% |
| Last 15 games | 10 of 1567%needs 63% to break even | 46%–83% | 4 points betterwon 67%, needs 63% |
| This season | 7 of 7100%needs 63% to break even | 72%–100% | 37 points betterwon 100%, needs 63% |
| Last season | 8 of 1362%needs 63% to break even | 39%–80% | 1 points shortwon 62%, needs 63% |
| Every game | 15 of 2075%needs 63% to break even | 57%–87% | 12 points betterwon 75%, needs 63% |
Tonight LSU plays on the road, as the favorite, after a win, against AUB. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
2H margin in each game against lsu 2h -0.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | 2H margin | Beat 0.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 10 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Oct 10 | 3 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Oct 3 | 14 | +13.5 | Won | |
| Sep 26 | 18 | +17.5 | Won | |
| Sep 19 | 9 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Sep 12 | 28 | +27.5 | Won | |
| Sep 5 | 13 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Dec 27 | 4 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Nov 29 | -4 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 22 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 15 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 8 | 3 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Oct 25 | -28 | -28.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 18 | -3 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 11 | 7 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Sep 27 | 5 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Sep 20 | 11 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Sep 13 | 7 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Sep 6 | 6 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Aug 30 | 14 | +13.5 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.