This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 38% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 38% to break even | 44%–95% | 42 points betterwon 80%, needs 38% |
| Last 10 games | 7 of 1070%needs 38% to break even | 44%–87% | 32 points betterwon 70%, needs 38% |
| Last 15 games | 9 of 1560%needs 38% to break even | 39%–78% | 22 points betterwon 60%, needs 38% |
| This season | 6 of 786%needs 38% to break even | 55%–97% | 48 points betterwon 86%, needs 38% |
| Last season | 7 of 1354%needs 38% to break even | 32%–74% | 16 points betterwon 54%, needs 38% |
| Every game | 13 of 2065%needs 38% to break even | 47%–80% | 27 points betterwon 65%, needs 38% |
Tonight TENN plays on the road, as the underdog, after a win, against SC. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against tenn -3.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat 3.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 16 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Oct 10 | ||||
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TENN to win moneylineTennessee Volunteers · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET |
| 7 |
| +3.5 |
| Won |
| Oct 3 | 10 | +6.5 | Won |
| Sep 26 | -3 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Sep 19 | 33 | +29.5 | Won |
| Sep 12 | 21 | +17.5 | Won |
| Sep 5 | 47 | +43.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Dec 30 | -2 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 29 | -21 | -24.5 | Lost |
| Nov 22 | 20 | +16.5 | Won |
| Nov 15 | 33 | +29.5 | Won |
| Nov 1 | -6 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Oct 25 | 22 | +18.5 | Won |
| Oct 18 | -17 | -20.5 | Lost |
| Oct 11 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Sep 27 | 7 | +3.5 | Won |
| Sep 20 | 32 | +28.5 | Won |
| Sep 13 | -3 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Sep 6 | 55 | +51.5 | Won |
| Aug 30 | 19 | +15.5 | Won |
| 6 of 7· this season86%needs 45% to break even |
| Record is this season's |
| 0.2Slight |
| TENN -0.5 1st half spreadTennessee Volunteers · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET | +134at Kalshi | 5 of 7· this season71%needs 43% to break even | Record is this season's | -6.9Not beating its price |
| TENN +0.5 1st half spreadTennessee Volunteers · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET | -112at Kalshi | 10 of 13· last season77%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -7.3Not beating its price |
| TENN -1.5 1st half spreadTennessee Volunteers · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET | +121at Polymarket | 5 of 7· this season71%needs 45% to break even | Record is this season's | -8.9Not beating its price |
| TENN +1.5 1st half spreadTennessee Volunteers · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET | -123at Polymarket | 10 of 13· last season77%needs 55% to break even | Record is last season's | -9.1Not beating its price |
| TENN +0.5 1st quarter spreadTennessee Volunteers · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET | -172at Polymarket | 11 of 13· last season85%needs 63% to break even | Record is last season's | -9.3Not beating its price |
| Over 55.5 game total, TENN gamesTennessee Volunteers · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET | +149at Polymarket | 11 of 13· last season85%needs 40% to break even | Record is last season's | -9.6Not beating its price |
| Under 43.5 game total, TENN gamesTennessee Volunteers · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET | +185at Polymarket | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 35% to break even | -10.8Not beating its price |
| TENN +3.5 1st half spreadTennessee Volunteers · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET | -172at Polymarket | 11 of 13· last season85%needs 63% to break even | Record is last season's | -11.3Not beating its price |
| Over 50.5 game total, TENN gamesTennessee Volunteers · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET | NV-104at Novig | 12 of 13· last season92%needs 51% to break even | Record is last season's | -11.3Not beating its price |
| Over 53.5 game total, TENN gamesTennessee Volunteers · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET | +121at Polymarket | 11 of 13· last season85%needs 45% to break even | Record is last season's | -13.7Not beating its price |
| Over 49.5 game total, TENN gamesTennessee Volunteers · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET | -123at Polymarket | 12 of 13· last season92%needs 55% to break even | Record is last season's | -14.6Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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