This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 35% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 35% to break even | 44%–95% | 45 points betterwon 80%, needs 35% |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 35% to break even | 27%–73% | 15 points betterwon 50%, needs 35% |
| Last 15 games | 5 of 1533%needs 35% to break even | 17%–54% | 2 points shortwon 33%, needs 35% |
| This season | 4 of 757%needs 35% to break even | 29%–81% | 22 points betterwon 57%, needs 35% |
| Last season | 1 of 138%needs 35% to break even | 2%–28% | 27 points shortwon 8%, needs 35% |
| Every game | 5 of 2025%needs 35% to break even | 13%–43% | 10 points shortwon 25%, needs 35% |
Tonight TENN plays on the road, as the underdog, after a win, against SC. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total points in each game against under 43.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Total points | Beat 43.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 36 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Oct 10 | 41 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Oct 3 | 38 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Sep 26 | 37 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Sep 19 | 51 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 12 | 69 | -25.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 5 | 65 | -21.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Dec 30 | 58 | -14.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 29 | 69 | -25.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 22 | 42 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 15 | 51 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 1 | 60 | -16.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 25 | 90 | -46.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 18 | 57 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 11 | 65 | -21.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 27 | 75 | -31.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 20 | 80 | -36.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 13 | 85 | -41.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 6 | 89 | -45.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 30 | 71 | -27.5 | Lost | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 49.5 game total, TENN gamesTennessee Volunteers · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET | -123at Polymarket | 12 of 13· last season92%needs 55% to break even | Record is last season's | -14.6Not beating its price | |
| Over 50.5 game total, TENN gamesTennessee Volunteers · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET | NV-104at Novig | 12 of 13· last season92%needs 51% to break even | Record is last season's | -11.3Not beating its price | |
| Over 51.5 game total, TENN gamesTennessee Volunteers · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET | +112at Polymarket | 11 of 13· last season85%needs 47% to break even | Record is last season's | -15.2Not beating its price | |
| Over 53.5 game total, TENN gamesTennessee Volunteers · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET | +121at Polymarket | 11 of 13· last season85%needs 45% to break even | Record is last season's | -13.7Not beating its price | |
| Over 55.5 game total, TENN gamesTennessee Volunteers · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET | +149at Polymarket | 11 of 13· last season85%needs 40% to break even | Record is last season's | -9.6Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.