This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 40% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 0 of 50%needs 40% to break even | 0%–35% | 40 points shortwon 0%, needs 40% |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 40% to break even | 19%–65% | evenwon 40%, needs 40% |
| Last 15 games | 8 of 1553%needs 40% to break even | 33%–72% | 13 points betterwon 53%, needs 40% |
| This season | 2 of 729%needs 40% to break even | 10%–59% | 12 points shortwon 29%, needs 40% |
| Last season | 11 of 1385%needs 40% to break even | 63%–95% | 44 points betterwon 85%, needs 40% |
| Every game | 13 of 2065%needs 40% to break even | 47%–80% | 25 points betterwon 65%, needs 40% |
Tonight TENN plays on the road, as the underdog, after a win, against SC. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total points in each game against over 55.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Total points | Beat 55.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 36 | -19.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 10 | ||||
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 49.5 game total, TENN gamesTennessee Volunteers · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TENN -5.5 spreadTennessee Volunteers · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET |
| 41 |
| -14.5 |
| Lost |
| Oct 3 | 38 | -17.5 | Lost |
| Sep 26 | 37 | -18.5 | Lost |
| Sep 19 | 51 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Sep 12 | 69 | +13.5 | Won |
| Sep 5 | 65 | +9.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Dec 30 | 58 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Nov 29 | 69 | +13.5 | Won |
| Nov 22 | 42 | -13.5 | Lost |
| Nov 15 | 51 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Nov 1 | 60 | +4.5 | Won |
| Oct 25 | 90 | +34.5 | Won |
| Oct 18 | 57 | +1.5 | Won |
| Oct 11 | 65 | +9.5 | Won |
| Sep 27 | 75 | +19.5 | Won |
| Sep 20 | 80 | +24.5 | Won |
| Sep 13 | 85 | +29.5 | Won |
| Sep 6 | 89 | +33.5 | Won |
| Aug 30 | 71 | +15.5 | Won |
| 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 49% to break even |
| -22.1Not beating its price |
| Under 50.5 game total, TENN gamesTennessee Volunteers · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | NV+100at Novig | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 50% to break even | -22.7Not beating its price |
| Under 51.5 game total, TENN gamesTennessee Volunteers · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | -129at Polymarket | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 56% to break even | -19.6Not beating its price |
| Under 53.5 game total, TENN gamesTennessee Volunteers · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | -158at Polymarket | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 61% to break even | -23.6Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 6 of 7· this season86%needs 34% to break even |
| Record is this season's |
| 6.5Good |
| TENN -4.5 spreadTennessee Volunteers · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | +185at Polymarket | 6 of 7· this season86%needs 35% to break even | Record is this season's | 5.8Good |
| TENN +3.5 spreadTennessee Volunteers · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | -139at Polymarket | 7 of 7· this season100%needs 58% to break even | Record is this season's | 3.5Good |
| TENN -3.5 spreadTennessee Volunteers · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | +162at Polymarket | 6 of 7· this season86%needs 38% to break even | Record is this season's | 3.3Good |
| TENN +4.5 spreadTennessee Volunteers · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | -158at Polymarket | 7 of 7· this season100%needs 61% to break even | Record is this season's | 1.1Slight |
| TENN -2.5 spreadTennessee Volunteers · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | +126at Polymarket | 6 of 7· this season86%needs 44% to break even | Record is this season's | 0.8Slight |
| TENN to win moneylineTennessee Volunteers · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | NV+122at Novig | 6 of 7· this season86%needs 45% to break even | Record is this season's | 0.2Slight |
| TENN +6.5 spreadTennessee Volunteers · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | -195at Polymarket | 7 of 7· this season100%needs 66% to break even | Record is this season's | 0.0Slight |
| TENN -1.5 spreadTennessee Volunteers · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | +121at Polymarket | 6 of 7· this season86%needs 45% to break even | Record is this season's | -0.0Not beating its price |
| TENN +2.5 spreadTennessee Volunteers · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | NV-102at Novig | 6 of 7· this season86%needs 50% to break even | Record is this season's | -0.1Not beating its price |
| TENN -0.5 spreadTennessee Volunteers · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | +112at Polymarket | 6 of 7· this season86%needs 47% to break even | Record is this season's | -1.5Not beating its price |
| TENN +0.5 spreadTennessee Volunteers · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | +112at Polymarket | 6 of 7· this season86%needs 47% to break even | Record is this season's | -1.5Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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