This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 63% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 63% to break even | 5%–56% | 43 points shortwon 20%, needs 63% |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 63% to break even | 19%–65% | 23 points shortwon 40%, needs 63% |
| Last 15 games | 9 of 1560%needs 63% to break even | 39%–78% | 3 points shortwon 60%, needs 63% |
| This season | 3 of 743%needs 63% to break even | 19%–71% | 20 points shortwon 43%, needs 63% |
| Last season | 9 of 1369%needs 63% to break even | 46%–85% | 7 points betterwon 69%, needs 63% |
| Every game | 12 of 2060%needs 63% to break even | 42%–76% | 3 points shortwon 60%, needs 63% |
Tonight TA&M plays on the road, as the underdog, after a win, against ALA. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total points in each game against over 46.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Total points | Beat 46.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 41 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 10 | ||||
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 43.5 game total, TA&M gamesTexas A&M Aggies · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TA&M to win moneylineTexas A&M Aggies · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET |
| 33 |
| -13.5 |
| Lost |
| Oct 3 | 41 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Sep 26 | 41 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Sep 19 | 52 | +5.5 | Won |
| Sep 12 | 68 | +21.5 | Won |
| Sep 5 | 50 | +3.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Dec 20 | 13 | -33.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 28 | 44 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Nov 22 | 48 | +1.5 | Won |
| Nov 15 | 61 | +14.5 | Won |
| Nov 8 | 55 | +8.5 | Won |
| Oct 25 | 74 | +27.5 | Won |
| Oct 18 | 87 | +40.5 | Won |
| Oct 11 | 51 | +4.5 | Won |
| Oct 4 | 40 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Sep 27 | 26 | -20.5 | Lost |
| Sep 13 | 81 | +34.5 | Won |
| Sep 6 | 66 | +19.5 | Won |
| Aug 30 | 66 | +19.5 | Won |
| 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 36% to break even |
| -9.6Not beating its price |
| Under 46.5 game total, TA&M gamesTexas A&M Aggies · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | +134at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 43% to break even | -12.2Not beating its price |
| Under 49.5 game total, TA&M gamesTexas A&M Aggies · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | +103at Polymarket | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 49% to break even | -14.0Not beating its price |
| Under 50 game total, TA&M gamesTexas A&M Aggies · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | LVG-103at LowVig | 7 of 9· last 10 games, 1 skipped78%needs 51% to break even | -12.8Not beating its price |
| Under 50.5 game total, TA&M gamesTexas A&M Aggies · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | -116at Kalshi | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 54% to break even | -13.2Not beating its price |
| Under 51.5 game total, TA&M gamesTexas A&M Aggies · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | -129at Polymarket | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 56% to break even | -13.1Not beating its price |
| Under 52.5 game total, TA&M gamesTexas A&M Aggies · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | -142at Kalshi | 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 59% to break even | -7.5Not beating its price |
| Under 53.5 game total, TA&M gamesTexas A&M Aggies · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | -168at Kalshi | 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 63% to break even | -10.7Not beating its price |
| Under 54.5 game total, TA&M gamesTexas A&M Aggies · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | -183at Kalshi | 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 65% to break even | -12.2Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 11 of 13· last season85%needs 17% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| 17.2Very strong |
| TA&M +0.5 1st quarter spreadTexas A&M Aggies · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | +124at Kalshi | 13 of 15· last 15 games87%needs 45% to break even | 10.2Strong |
| TA&M +2.5 1st quarter spreadTexas A&M Aggies · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | +119at Kalshi | 13 of 15· last 15 games87%needs 46% to break even | 9.4Strong |
| TA&M +4.5 1st half spreadTexas A&M Aggies · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | +143at Polymarket | 12 of 13· last season92%needs 41% to break even | Record is last season's | 9.4Strong |
| TA&M +3.5 1st half spreadTexas A&M Aggies · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | +166at Kalshi | 11 of 13· last season85%needs 38% to break even | Record is last season's | 9.2Strong |
| TA&M +10.5 spreadTexas A&M Aggies · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | +114at Kalshi | 13 of 13· last season100%needs 47% to break even | Record is last season's | 8.3Strong |
| TA&M +11.5 spreadTexas A&M Aggies · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | +112at Polymarket | 13 of 13· last season100%needs 47% to break even | Record is last season's | 7.9Good |
| TA&M +12.5 spreadTexas A&M Aggies · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | +107at Polymarket | 13 of 13· last season100%needs 48% to break even | Record is last season's | 7.0Good |
| TA&M +6.5 1st half spreadTexas A&M Aggies · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | +126at Polymarket | 12 of 13· last season92%needs 44% to break even | Record is last season's | 6.9Good |
| TA&M +13.5 spreadTexas A&M Aggies · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | NV+106at Novig | 13 of 13· last season100%needs 49% to break even | Record is last season's | 6.8Good |
| TA&M +7.5 1st half spreadTexas A&M Aggies · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | -116at Kalshi | 12 of 13· last season92%needs 54% to break even | Record is last season's | 6.5Good |
| TA&M +8.5 1st half spreadTexas A&M Aggies · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | -121at Kalshi | 12 of 13· last season92%needs 55% to break even | Record is last season's | 5.6Good |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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