This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 44% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 44% to break even | 27%–86% | 16 points betterwon 60%, needs 44% |
| Last 10 games | 8 of 1080%needs 44% to break even | 54%–93% | 36 points betterwon 80%, needs 44% |
| Last 15 games | 12 of 1580%needs 44% to break even | 59%–92% | 36 points betterwon 80%, needs 44% |
| This season | 5 of 771%needs 44% to break even | 41%–90% | 27 points betterwon 71%, needs 44% |
| Last season | 12 of 1392%needs 44% to break even | 72%–98% | 48 points betterwon 92%, needs 44% |
| Every game | 17 of 2085%needs 44% to break even | 68%–94% | 41 points betterwon 85%, needs 44% |
Tonight TA&M plays on the road, as the underdog, after a win, against ALA. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
1H margin in each game against ta&m 1h +6.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | 1H margin | Beat -6.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 28 | +34.5 | Won | |
| Oct 10 | -7 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 3 | 17 | +23.5 | Won | |
| Sep 26 | -11 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 19 | 0 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Sep 12 | 7 | +13.5 | Won | |
| Sep 5 | 19 | +25.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Dec 20 | 0 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Nov 28 | 7 | +13.5 | Won | |
| Nov 22 | 31 | +37.5 | Won | |
| Nov 15 | -27 | -20.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 8 | 14 | +20.5 | Won | |
| Oct 25 | -4 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Oct 18 | 1 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Oct 11 | 7 | +13.5 | Won | |
| Oct 4 | 4 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Sep 27 | 10 | +16.5 | Won | |
| Sep 13 | 4 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Sep 6 | 24 | +30.5 | Won | |
| Aug 30 | 11 | +17.5 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.