This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 41% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 41% to break even | 27%–86% | 19 points betterwon 60%, needs 41% |
| Last 10 games | 8 of 1080%needs 41% to break even | 54%–93% | 39 points betterwon 80%, needs 41% |
| Last 15 games | 12 of 1580%needs 41% to break even | 59%–92% | 39 points betterwon 80%, needs 41% |
| This season | 5 of 771%needs 41% to break even | 41%–90% | 30 points betterwon 71%, needs 41% |
| Last season | 12 of 1392%needs 41% to break even | 72%–98% | 51 points betterwon 92%, needs 41% |
| Every game | 17 of 2085%needs 41% to break even | 68%–94% | 44 points betterwon 85%, needs 41% |
Tonight TA&M plays on the road, as the underdog, after a win, against ALA. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
1H margin in each game against ta&m 1h +4.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | 1H margin | Beat -4.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 28 | +32.5 | Won | |
| Oct 10 | ||||
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TA&M to win moneylineTexas A&M Aggies · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET |
| -7 |
| -2.5 |
| Lost |
| Oct 3 | 17 | +21.5 | Won |
| Sep 26 | -11 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Sep 19 | 0 | +4.5 | Won |
| Sep 12 | 7 | +11.5 | Won |
| Sep 5 | 19 | +23.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Dec 20 | 0 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Nov 28 | 7 | +11.5 | Won |
| Nov 22 | 31 | +35.5 | Won |
| Nov 15 | -27 | -22.5 | Lost |
| Nov 8 | 14 | +18.5 | Won |
| Oct 25 | -4 | +0.5 | Won |
| Oct 18 | 1 | +5.5 | Won |
| Oct 11 | 7 | +11.5 | Won |
| Oct 4 | 4 | +8.5 | Won |
| Sep 27 | 10 | +14.5 | Won |
| Sep 13 | 4 | +8.5 | Won |
| Sep 6 | 24 | +28.5 | Won |
| Aug 30 | 11 | +15.5 | Won |
| 11 of 13· last season85%needs 17% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| 17.2Very strong |
| TA&M +0.5 1st quarter spreadTexas A&M Aggies · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | +124at Kalshi | 13 of 15· last 15 games87%needs 45% to break even | 10.2Strong |
| TA&M +2.5 1st quarter spreadTexas A&M Aggies · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | +119at Kalshi | 13 of 15· last 15 games87%needs 46% to break even | 9.4Strong |
| TA&M +10.5 spreadTexas A&M Aggies · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | +116at Polymarket | 13 of 13· last season100%needs 46% to break even | Record is last season's | 8.6Strong |
| TA&M +11.5 spreadTexas A&M Aggies · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | +112at Polymarket | 13 of 13· last season100%needs 47% to break even | Record is last season's | 7.9Good |
| TA&M +12.5 spreadTexas A&M Aggies · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | +107at Polymarket | 13 of 13· last season100%needs 48% to break even | Record is last season's | 7.0Good |
| TA&M +13.5 spreadTexas A&M Aggies · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | NV+106at Novig | 13 of 13· last season100%needs 49% to break even | Record is last season's | 6.8Good |
| TA&M +3.5 1st quarter spreadTexas A&M Aggies · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | -116at Kalshi | 13 of 15· last 15 games87%needs 54% to break even | 4.6Good |
| TA&M +7.5 spreadTexas A&M Aggies · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | +152at Kalshi | 12 of 13· last season92%needs 40% to break even | Record is last season's | 2.9Slight |
| TA&M +9.5 spreadTexas A&M Aggies · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | +140at Kalshi | 12 of 13· last season92%needs 42% to break even | Record is last season's | 1.2Slight |
| TA&M +4.5 2nd quarter spreadTexas A&M Aggies · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | -131at Kalshi | 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 57% to break even | 1.0Slight |
| TA&M +14.5 spreadTexas A&M Aggies · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | -131at Kalshi | 13 of 13· last season100%needs 57% to break even | Record is last season's | 0.3Slight |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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