This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 47% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 47% to break even | 27%–86% | 13 points betterwon 60%, needs 47% |
| Last 10 games | 8 of 1080%needs 47% to break even | 54%–93% | 33 points betterwon 80%, needs 47% |
| Last 15 games | 13 of 1587%needs 47% to break even | 67%–95% | 39 points betterwon 87%, needs 47% |
| This season | 5 of 771%needs 47% to break even | 41%–90% | 24 points betterwon 71%, needs 47% |
| Last season | 13 of 13100%needs 47% to break even | 83%–100% | 53 points betterwon 100%, needs 47% |
| Every game | 18 of 2090%needs 47% to break even | 74%–97% | 43 points betterwon 90%, needs 47% |
Tonight TA&M plays on the road, as the underdog, after a win, against ALA. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against ta&m +11.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat -11.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 41 | +52.5 | Won | |
| Oct 10 | -21 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 3 | 27 | +38.5 | Won | |
| Sep 26 | -29 | -17.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 19 | -10 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Sep 12 | 28 | +39.5 | Won | |
| Sep 5 | 50 | +61.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Dec 20 | -7 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Nov 28 | -10 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 22 | 48 | +59.5 | Won | |
| Nov 15 | 1 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Nov 8 | 21 | +32.5 | Won | |
| Oct 25 | 24 | +35.5 | Won | |
| Oct 18 | 3 | +14.5 | Won | |
| Oct 11 | 17 | +28.5 | Won | |
| Oct 4 | 22 | +33.5 | Won | |
| Sep 27 | 6 | +17.5 | Won | |
| Sep 13 | 1 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Sep 6 | 22 | +33.5 | Won | |
| Aug 30 | 18 | +29.5 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.