This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 44% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 44% to break even | 27%–86% | 16 points betterwon 60%, needs 44% |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 44% to break even | 35%–81% | 16 points betterwon 60%, needs 44% |
| Last 15 games | 11 of 1573%needs 44% to break even | 52%–87% | 30 points betterwon 73%, needs 44% |
| This season | 5 of 771%needs 44% to break even | 41%–90% | 28 points betterwon 71%, needs 44% |
| Last season | 10 of 1377%needs 44% to break even | 54%–90% | 33 points betterwon 77%, needs 44% |
| Every game | 15 of 2075%needs 44% to break even | 57%–87% | 31 points betterwon 75%, needs 44% |
Tonight TA&M plays on the road, as the underdog, after a win, against ALA. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
TA&M points in each game against over 20.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | TA&M points | Beat 20.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 41 | +20.5 | Won | |
| Oct 10 | 6 | -14.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 3 | 34 | +13.5 | Won | |
| Sep 26 | 6 | -14.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 19 | 21 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 12 | 48 | +27.5 | Won | |
| Sep 5 | 50 | +29.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Dec 20 | 3 | -17.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 28 | 17 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 22 | 48 | +27.5 | Won | |
| Nov 15 | 31 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Nov 8 | 38 | +17.5 | Won | |
| Oct 25 | 49 | +28.5 | Won | |
| Oct 18 | 45 | +24.5 | Won | |
| Oct 11 | 34 | +13.5 | Won | |
| Oct 4 | 31 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Sep 27 | 16 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 13 | 41 | +20.5 | Won | |
| Sep 6 | 44 | +23.5 | Won | |
| Aug 30 | 42 | +21.5 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 13.5 team totalTexas A&M Aggies · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET | +198at Kalshi | 2 of 5· last 5 games40%needs 34% to break even | -19.8Not beating its price | ||
| Under 16.5 team totalTexas A&M Aggies · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET | +119at Kalshi | 2 of 5· last 5 games40%needs 46% to break even | -28.8Not beating its price | ||
| Under 17.5 team totalTexas A&M Aggies · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET | -112at Kalshi | 4 of 10· last 10 games40%needs 53% to break even | -31.9Not beating its price | ||
| Under 19.5 team totalTexas A&M Aggies · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET | -137at Kalshi | 4 of 10· last 10 games40%needs 58% to break even | -35.9Not beating its price | ||
| Under 20.5 team totalTexas A&M Aggies · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET | -175at Kalshi | 4 of 10· last 10 games40%needs 64% to break even | -40.6Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.