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Miami Heat @ Charlotte Hornets: over 230.5
Won5 of 5last 5 games · 100%
Best price-109Polymarket
Price needs52.2%wins to break even
Every game58 of 85this season and last
Trend score6.0Good
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 52% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 5 of 5100%needs 52% to break even | 65%–100% | 48 points betterwon 100%, needs 52% | 249.2total points |
| Last 10 games | 8 of 1080%needs 52% to break even | 54%–93% | 28 points betterwon 80%, needs 52% | 249.6total points |
| Last 15 games | 12 of 1580%needs 52% to break even | 59%–92% | 28 points betterwon 80%, needs 52% | 249.4total points |
| This season | 2 of 2100%needs 52% to break even | 42%–100% | 48 points betterwon 100%, needs 52% | 238total points |
| Last season | 56 of 8367%needs 52% to break even | 59%–75% | 15 points betterwon 67%, needs 52% | 239.6total points |
| Every game | 58 of 8568%needs 52% to break even | 59%–76% | 16 points betterwon 68%, needs 52% | 239.5total points |
Games like tonight
Tonight MIA plays on the road, as the favorite, after a loss, on a back-to-back, against CHA. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last, each on its own: 5 of 5 against CHA · 28 of 42 on the road.
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Every book's price
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Miami Heat @ Charlotte Hornets: over 230.52 books
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Total points in each game against over 230.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Total points | Beat 230.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 23 |  DET | 239 | +8.5 | Won |
| Oct 21 |  MIN | 237 | +6.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Apr 14 |  CHA | 253 | +22.5 | Won |
| Apr 12 |  ATL | 260 | +29.5 | Won |
| Apr 10 |  WSH | 257 | +26.5 | Won |
| Apr 9 |  TOR | 242 | +11.5 | Won |
| Apr 7 | TOR | 216 | -14.5 | Lost |
| Apr 4 | WSH | 288 | +57.5 | Won |
| Apr 1 |  BOS | 276 | +45.5 | Won |
| Mar 30 |  PHI | 228 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Mar 29 |  IND | 253 | +22.5 | Won |
| Mar 27 |  CLE | 277 | +46.5 | Won |
| Mar 25 | CLE | 223 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Mar 23 |  SA | 247 | +16.5 | Won |
| Mar 21 |  HOU | 245 | +14.5 | Won |
| Mar 19 |  LAL | 260 | +29.5 | Won |
| Mar 17 | CHA | 242 | +11.5 | Won |
| Mar 14 |  ORL | 238 | +7.5 | Won |
| Mar 12 |  MIL | 217 | -13.5 | Lost |
| Mar 10 | WSH | 279 | +48.5 | Won |
| Mar 8 | DET | 231 | +0.5 | Won |
| Mar 6 | CHA | 248 | +17.5 | Won |
| Mar 5 |  BKN | 236 | +5.5 | Won |
| Mar 3 | BKN | 222 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Feb 28 | HOU | 220 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Feb 26 | PHI | 241 | +10.5 | Won |
| Feb 24 | MIL | 245 | +14.5 | Won |
| Feb 21 |  MEM | 256 | +25.5 | Won |
| Feb 20 | ATL | 225 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Feb 11 |  NO | 234 | +3.5 | Won |
| Feb 9 |  UTAH | 226 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Feb 8 | WSH | 233 | +2.5 | Won |
| Feb 6 | BOS | 194 | -36.5 | Lost |
| Feb 3 | ATL | 242 | +11.5 | Won |
| Feb 1 |  CHI | 225 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Jan 31 | CHI | 243 | +12.5 | Won |
| Jan 29 | CHI | 229 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Jan 28 | ORL | 257 | +26.5 | Won |
| Jan 25 |  PHX | 213 | -17.5 | Lost |
| Jan 24 | UTAH | 263 | +32.5 | Won |
| Jan 22 |  POR | 237 | +6.5 | Won |
| Jan 20 |  SAC | 247 | +16.5 | Won |
| Jan 19 |  GS | 247 | +16.5 | Won |
| Jan 17 |  OKC | 242 | +11.5 | Won |
| Jan 15 | BOS | 233 | +2.5 | Won |
| Jan 13 | PHX | 248 | +17.5 | Won |
| Jan 11 | OKC | 236 | +5.5 | Won |
| Jan 10 | IND | 222 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Jan 6 | MIN | 216 | -14.5 | Lost |
| Jan 4 | NO | 231 | +0.5 | Won |
| Jan 3 | MIN | 240 | +9.5 | Won |
| Jan 1 | DET | 230 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Dec 29 |  DEN | 270 | +39.5 | Won |
| Dec 27 | IND | 258 | +27.5 | Won |
| Dec 26 | ATL | 237 | +6.5 | Won |
| Dec 23 | TOR | 203 | -27.5 | Lost |
| Dec 21 |  NY | 257 | +26.5 | Won |
| Dec 19 | BOS | 245 | +14.5 | Won |
| Dec 18 | BKN | 201 | -29.5 | Lost |
| Dec 15 | TOR | 202 | -28.5 | Lost |
| Dec 9 | ORL | 225 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Dec 6 | SAC | 238 | +7.5 | Won |
| Dec 5 | ORL | 211 | -19.5 | Lost |
| Dec 3 |  DAL | 226 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Dec 1 |  LAC | 263 | +32.5 | Won |
| Nov 29 | DET | 273 | +42.5 | Won |
| Nov 26 | MIL | 209 | -21.5 | Lost |
| Nov 24 | DAL | 208 | -22.5 | Lost |
| Nov 23 | PHI | 244 | +13.5 | Won |
| Nov 21 | CHI | 250 | +19.5 | Won |
| Nov 19 | GS | 206 | -24.5 | Lost |
| Nov 17 | NY | 228 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Nov 14 | NY | 272 | +41.5 | Won |
| Nov 12 | CLE | 246 | +15.5 | Won |
| Nov 10 | CLE | 278 | +47.5 | Won |
| Nov 8 | POR | 267 | +36.5 | Won |
| Nov 7 | CHA | 234 | +3.5 | Won |
| Nov 5 | DEN | 234 | +3.5 | Won |
| Nov 3 | LAC | 239 | +8.5 | Won |
| Nov 2 | LAL | 250 | +19.5 | Won |
| Oct 30 | SA | 208 | -22.5 | Lost |
| Oct 28 | CHA | 261 | +30.5 | Won |
| Oct 26 | NY | 222 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Oct 24 | MEM | 260 | +29.5 | Won |
| Oct 22 | ORL | 246 | +15.5 | Won |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 222.5 game total, MIA gamesMiami Heat · Today 6:00 PM ET |  +189at Kalshi | 17 of 83· last season20%needs 35% to break even0 of 5 against CHA · 8 of 42 on the road | Record is last season's | -28.5Not beating its price | |
| Under 224.5 game total, MIA gamesMiami Heat · Today 6:00 PM ET |  +162at Polymarket | 18 of 83· last season22%needs 38% to break even0 of 5 against CHA · 9 of 42 on the road | Record is last season's | -30.8Not beating its price | |
| Under 226.5 game total, MIA gamesMiami Heat · Today 6:00 PM ET | +143at Polymarket | 23 of 83· last season28%needs 41% to break even0 of 5 against CHA · 12 of 42 on the road | Record is last season's | -32.4Not beating its price | |
| Under 228.5 game total, MIA gamesMiami Heat · Today 6:00 PM ET | +112at Polymarket | 25 of 83· last season30%needs 47% to break even0 of 5 against CHA · 12 of 42 on the road | Record is last season's | -35.3Not beating its price | |
| Under 230.5 game total, MIA gamesMiami Heat · Today 6:00 PM ET | -105at Polymarket | 27 of 83· last season33%needs 51% to break even0 of 5 against CHA · 14 of 42 on the road | Record is last season's | -38.7Not beating its price | |
| Under 232.5 game total, MIA gamesMiami Heat · Today 6:00 PM ET | -126at Kalshi | 29 of 83· last season35%needs 56% to break even0 of 5 against CHA · 14 of 42 on the road | Record is last season's | -42.5Not beating its price | |
| Under 234.5 game total, MIA gamesMiami Heat · Today 6:00 PM ET | -151at Polymarket | 34 of 83· last season41%needs 60% to break even1 of 5 against CHA · 17 of 42 on the road | Record is last season's | -45.4Not beating its price | |
| Under 236.5 game total, MIA gamesMiami Heat · Today 6:00 PM ET | -179at Polymarket | 36 of 83· last season43%needs 64% to break even1 of 5 against CHA · 18 of 42 on the road | Record is last season's | -48.7Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
More on Miami Heat in this game
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 122.5 team totalMiami Heat · Today 6:00 PM ET | +189at Kalshi | 35 of 83· last season42%needs 35% to break even4 of 5 against CHA · 15 of 42 on the road | Record is last season's | -7.0Not beating its price | |
| Over 118.5 team totalMiami Heat · Today 6:00 PM ET | +105at Kalshi | 43 of 83· last season52%needs 49% to break even4 of 5 against CHA · 20 of 42 on the road | Record is last season's | -11.3Not beating its price | |
| Over 120.5 team totalMiami Heat · Today 6:00 PM ET | +134at Kalshi | 39 of 83· last season47%needs 43% to break even4 of 5 against CHA · 17 of 42 on the road | Record is last season's | -12.2Not beating its price | |
| Over 116.5 team totalMiami Heat · Today 6:00 PM ET | -121at Kalshi | 49 of 83· last season59%needs 55% to break even4 of 5 against CHA · 24 of 42 on the road | Record is last season's | -13.6Not beating its price | |
| MIA -9.5 spreadMiami Heat · Today 6:00 PM ET | +193at Polymarket | 29 of 83· last season35%needs 34% to break even2 of 5 against CHA · 12 of 42 on the road | Record is last season's | -13.7Not beating its price | |
| MIA -8.5 spreadMiami Heat · Today 6:00 PM ET | +177at Polymarket | 30 of 83· last season36%needs 36% to break even2 of 5 against CHA · 13 of 42 on the road | Record is last season's | -15.3Not beating its price | |
| MIA -7.5 spreadMiami Heat · Today 6:00 PM ET | +162at Polymarket | 32 of 83· last season39%needs 38% to break even3 of 5 against CHA · 14 of 42 on the road | Record is last season's | -16.8Not beating its price | |
| Over 114.5 team totalMiami Heat · Today 6:00 PM ET | -161at Kalshi | 57 of 83· last season69%needs 62% to break even4 of 5 against CHA · 26 of 42 on the road | Record is last season's | -18.0Not beating its price | |
| MIA -6.5 spreadMiami Heat · Today 6:00 PM ET | +143at Polymarket | 33 of 83· last season40%needs 41% to break even3 of 5 against CHA · 14 of 42 on the road | Record is last season's | -19.3Not beating its price | |
| MIA -5.5 spreadMiami Heat · Today 6:00 PM ET | +131at Polymarket | 35 of 83· last season42%needs 43% to break even3 of 5 against CHA · 15 of 42 on the road | Record is last season's | -20.8Not beating its price | |
| MIA -4.5 spreadMiami Heat · Today 6:00 PM ET | +112at Polymarket | 36 of 83· last season43%needs 47% to break even3 of 5 against CHA · 15 of 42 on the road | Record is last season's | -24.2Not beating its price | |
| Under 110.5 team totalMiami Heat · Today 6:00 PM ET | +189at Kalshi | 16 of 83· last season19%needs 35% to break even1 of 5 against CHA · 11 of 42 on the road | Record is last season's | -25.8Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.