Loading
Won36 of 83last season · 43%
Best price+112Polymarket
Price needs47.2%wins to break even
Every game36 of 85this season and last
Trend score-24.2Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 47% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 47% to break even | 14%–73% | 7 points shortwon 40%, needs 47% | won by 1.2points |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 47% to break even | 19%–65% | 7 points shortwon 40%, needs 47% | lost by 2.6points |
| Last 15 games | 5 of 1533%needs 47% to break even | 17%–54% | 14 points shortwon 33%, needs 47% | lost by 4.9points |
| This season | 0 of 20%needs 47% to break even | 0%–58% | 47 points shortwon 0%, needs 47% | lost by 21points |
| Last season | 36 of 8343% |
Games like tonight
Tonight MIA plays on the road, as the favorite, after a loss, on a back-to-back, against CHA. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last, each on its own: 3 of 5 against CHA · 15 of 42 on the road.
Every book's price
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
MIA -4.5 (spread)2 books
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Margin in each game against MIA -4.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
More on Miami Heat in this game
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 236.5 game total, MIA gamesMiami Heat |
