+8.5 spread: that team can lose by up to 8 and the bet still winsO 47.5 total: wins if the two teams score 48 or more combined−110 bet $110 to win $100+150 bet $100 to win $150The badge is the book with that price (tap a price to see every book's); green pays more than the bet's chances call forBet types explained →
Outlined is the best price on each side; green pays more than the chances call for. A small negative edge is normal. Tap a price to bet it. What the numbers mean
| Book | Moneyline | |
|---|---|---|
| MIA | CHA | |
| Chance it wins | 60.3%fair odds -152 | 39.7%fair odds +152 |
| Edge at the best price | -2.9%Normal | -3.5%Normal |
| Kalshi | -168 | +134 |
| Polymarket | -164 | +143 |
Vig at the best pricesto win 3.2%Cheapest books →
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On Polymarket and Kalshi a contract pays $1 if it comes true, so its price is the crowd's chance. Charts follow the home team.
Big single bets on Polymarket and Kalshi, and how much money is on this game. What bettors did, not a reason to follow them.
"To win" chances average the sportsbooks (with their cut taken out), Polymarket and Kalshi. How it works
Bets in this game that have kept winning, more often than their price needs. A trend ignores the opponent, and some are luck.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHA to win moneylineCharlotte Hornets | +143at Polymarket | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 41% to break even | 0.5Slight |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIA to win moneylineMiami Heat | -164at Polymarket | 43 of 83· last season52%needs 62% to break even | Record is last season's | -36.5Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
Who's hurt, the weather, rest and recent form. Injuries can change up to game time.
No one on the injury report.
| Coby Whitestarting PG · next up: Dennis Schroder | G | Out | Left Calf · back ~Oct 24 |
| Kon Knueppelstarting SG · next up: Grayson Allen | G | Out | Left Hamstring · back ~Oct 24 |
| Grant Williams | F | Out | Right Hamstring · back ~Oct 24 |
| Kylan Boswell | G | Out | Right Knee · back ~Nov 2 |
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