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NBAGame lineTotal
Miami Heat @ Charlotte Hornets: over 230.5
Won33 of 84last season · 39%
Best price+101Kalshi
Price needs49.8%wins to break even
Every game33 of 86this season and last
Trend score-32.3Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 50% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 50% to break even | 5%–56% | 30 points shortwon 20%, needs 50% | 218.4total points |
| Last 10 games | 3 of 1030%needs 50% to break even | 13%–56% | 20 points shortwon 30%, needs 50% | 222.6total points |
| Last 15 games | 4 of 1527%needs 50% to break even | 13%–48% | 23 points shortwon 27%, needs 50% | 221total points |
| This season | 0 of 20%needs 50% to break even | 0%–58% | 50 points shortwon 0%, needs 50% | 211total points |
| Last season | 33 of 8439%needs 50% to break even | 31%–48% | 10 points shortwon 39%, needs 50% | 227.3total points |
| Every game | 33 of 8638%needs 50% to break even | 30%–47% | 11 points shortwon 38%, needs 50% | 226.9total points |
Games like tonight
Tonight CHA plays at home, as the underdog, after a loss, on a back-to-back, against MIA. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last, each on its own: 5 of 5 against MIA · 18 of 43 at home.
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Every book's price
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Miami Heat @ Charlotte Hornets: over 230.52 books
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Total points in each game against over 230.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Total points | Beat 230.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 23 |  ATL | 209 | -21.5 | Lost |
| Oct 21 |  BKN | 213 | -17.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Apr 17 |  ORL | 211 | -19.5 | Lost |
| Apr 14 |  MIA | 253 | +22.5 | Won |
| Apr 12 |  NY | 206 | -24.5 | Lost |
| Apr 10 |  DET | 218 | -12.5 | Lost |
| Apr 7 |  BOS | 215 | -15.5 | Lost |
| Apr 5 |  MIN | 230 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Apr 3 |  IND | 237 | +6.5 | Won |
| Apr 2 |  PHX | 234 | +3.5 | Won |
| Mar 31 | BKN | 203 | -27.5 | Lost |
| Mar 29 | BOS | 213 | -17.5 | Lost |
| Mar 28 |  PHI | 232 | +1.5 | Won |
| Mar 26 | NY | 217 | -13.5 | Lost |
| Mar 24 |  SAC | 224 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Mar 21 |  MEM | 225 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Mar 19 | ORL | 241 | +10.5 | Won |
| Mar 17 | MIA | 242 | +11.5 | Won |
| Mar 14 |  SA | 217 | -13.5 | Lost |
| Mar 11 | SAC | 226 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Mar 10 |  POR | 204 | -26.5 | Lost |
| Mar 8 | PHX | 210 | -20.5 | Lost |
| Mar 6 | MIA | 248 | +17.5 | Won |
| Mar 4 | BOS | 207 | -23.5 | Lost |
| Mar 3 |  DAL | 207 | -23.5 | Lost |
| Feb 28 | POR | 202 | -28.5 | Lost |
| Feb 26 | IND | 242 | +11.5 | Won |
| Feb 24 |  CHI | 230 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Feb 22 |  WSH | 241 | +10.5 | Won |
| Feb 20 |  CLE | 231 | +0.5 | Won |
| Feb 19 |  HOU | 206 | -24.5 | Lost |
| Feb 11 | ATL | 217 | -13.5 | Lost |
| Feb 9 | DET | 214 | -16.5 | Lost |
| Feb 7 | ATL | 245 | +14.5 | Won |
| Feb 5 | HOU | 208 | -22.5 | Lost |
| Feb 2 |  NO | 197 | -33.5 | Lost |
| Jan 31 | SA | 217 | -13.5 | Lost |
| Jan 29 | DAL | 244 | +13.5 | Won |
| Jan 28 | MEM | 209 | -21.5 | Lost |
| Jan 26 | PHI | 223 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Jan 24 | WSH | 234 | +3.5 | Won |
| Jan 22 | ORL | 221 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Jan 21 | CLE | 181 | -49.5 | Lost |
| Jan 18 |  DEN | 197 | -33.5 | Lost |
| Jan 17 |  GS | 252 | +21.5 | Won |
| Jan 15 |  LAL | 252 | +21.5 | Won |
| Jan 12 |  LAC | 226 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Jan 10 |  UTAH | 245 | +14.5 | Won |
| Jan 8 | IND | 226 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Jan 7 |  TOR | 193 | -37.5 | Lost |
| Jan 5 |  OKC | 221 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Jan 3 | CHI | 211 | -19.5 | Lost |
| Jan 2 |  MIL | 243 | +12.5 | Won |
| Dec 31 | GS | 257 | +26.5 | Won |
| Dec 29 | MIL | 236 | +5.5 | Won |
| Dec 26 | ORL | 225 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Dec 23 | WSH | 235 | +4.5 | Won |
| Dec 22 | CLE | 271 | +40.5 | Won |
| Dec 20 | DET | 198 | -32.5 | Lost |
| Dec 18 | ATL | 259 | +28.5 | Won |
| Dec 14 | CLE | 230 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Dec 12 | CHI | 255 | +24.5 | Won |
| Dec 7 | DEN | 221 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Dec 5 | TOR | 197 | -33.5 | Lost |
| Dec 3 | NY | 223 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Dec 1 | BKN | 219 | -11.5 | Lost |
| Nov 29 | TOR | 229 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Nov 28 | CHI | 239 | +8.5 | Won |
| Nov 26 | NY | 230 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Nov 23 | ATL | 223 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Nov 22 | LAC | 247 | +16.5 | Won |
| Nov 19 | IND | 245 | +14.5 | Won |
| Nov 17 | TOR | 218 | -12.5 | Lost |
| Nov 15 | OKC | 205 | -25.5 | Lost |
| Nov 14 | MIL | 281 | +50.5 | Won |
| Nov 12 | MIL | 211 | -19.5 | Lost |
| Nov 10 | LAL | 232 | +1.5 | Won |
| Nov 7 | MIA | 234 | +3.5 | Won |
| Nov 4 | NO | 228 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Nov 2 | UTAH | 229 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Nov 1 | MIN | 227 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Oct 30 | ORL | 230 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Oct 28 | MIA | 261 | +30.5 | Won |
| Oct 26 | WSH | 252 | +21.5 | Won |
| Oct 25 | PHI | 246 | +15.5 | Won |
| Oct 22 | BKN | 253 | +22.5 | Won |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
More on Charlotte Hornets in this game
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 119.5 1st half totalCharlotte Hornets · Today 6:00 PM ET |  -105at Polymarket | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 51% to break even3 of 5 against MIA · 29 of 43 at home | 6.2Good | ||
| CHA -4.5 spreadCharlotte Hornets · Today 6:00 PM ET | +212at Polymarket | 40 of 84· last season48%needs 32% to break even1 of 5 against MIA · 19 of 43 at home | Record is last season's | -2.5Not beating its price | |
| Under 60.5 1st quarter totalCharlotte Hornets · Today 6:00 PM ET |  -116at Kalshi | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 54% to break even3 of 5 against MIA · 22 of 43 at home | -5.8Not beating its price | ||
| Under 59.5 2nd quarter totalCharlotte Hornets · Today 6:00 PM ET | -131at Kalshi | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 57% to break even2 of 5 against MIA · 27 of 43 at home | -5.9Not beating its price | ||
| CHA -3.5 spreadCharlotte Hornets · Today 6:00 PM ET | +173at Kalshi | 41 of 84· last season49%needs 37% to break even1 of 5 against MIA · 20 of 43 at home | Record is last season's | -6.6Not beating its price | |
| CHA to win moneylineCharlotte Hornets · Today 6:00 PM ET | +126at Polymarket | 45 of 84· last season54%needs 44% to break even2 of 5 against MIA · 22 of 43 at home | Record is last season's | -6.7Not beating its price | |
| CHA +1.5 spreadCharlotte Hornets · Today 6:00 PM ET | +119at Kalshi | 47 of 84· last season56%needs 46% to break even2 of 5 against MIA · 23 of 43 at home | Record is last season's | -7.5Not beating its price | |
| CHA -2.5 spreadCharlotte Hornets · Today 6:00 PM ET | +159at Kalshi | 42 of 84· last season50%needs 39% to break even1 of 5 against MIA · 21 of 43 at home | Record is last season's | -8.2Not beating its price | |
| Over 56.5 3rd quarter totalCharlotte Hornets · Today 6:00 PM ET | -107at Kalshi | 47 of 84· last season56%needs 52% to break even4 of 5 against MIA · 19 of 43 at home | Record is last season's | -9.6Not beating its price | |
| CHA +2.5 spreadCharlotte Hornets · Today 6:00 PM ET | +105at Kalshi | 49 of 84· last season58%needs 49% to break even2 of 5 against MIA · 24 of 43 at home | Record is last season's | -9.9Not beating its price | |
| CHA -1.5 spreadCharlotte Hornets · Today 6:00 PM ET | +143at Polymarket | 44 of 84· last season52%needs 41% to break even1 of 5 against MIA · 21 of 43 at home | Record is last season's | -10.1Not beating its price | |
| Under 111.5 team totalCharlotte Hornets · Today 6:00 PM ET | +119at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 46% to break even1 of 5 against MIA · 18 of 43 at home | -11.5Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.