This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 52% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 5 of 5100%needs 52% to break even | 65%–100% | 48 points betterwon 100%, needs 52% | 105total points |
| Last 10 games | 8 of 1080%needs 52% to break even | 54%–93% | 28 points betterwon 80%, needs 52% | 113.4total points |
| Last 15 games | 11 of 1573%needs 52% to break even | 52%–87% | 21 points betterwon 73%, needs 52% | 114.7total points |
| This season | 2 of 2100%needs 52% to break even | 42%–100% | 48 points betterwon 100%, needs 52% | 106.5total points |
| Last season |
Tonight CHA plays at home, as the underdog, after a loss, on a back-to-back, against MIA. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last, each on its own: 3 of 5 against MIA · 29 of 43 at home.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
1st half total points in each game against under 119.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 119.5 1st half totalCharlotte Hornets |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 222.5 game total, CHA gamesCharlotte Hornets |
| 61 of 8473%needs 52% to break even |
| 64%–80% |
| 20 points betterwon 73%, needs 52% |
| 114.9total points |
| Every game | 63 of 8673%needs 52% to break even | 65%–80% | 21 points betterwon 73%, needs 52% | 114.7total points |
| Date | Opponent | 1st half total points | Beat 119.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 23 | 111 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Oct 21 | 102 | +17.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Apr 17 | 105 | +14.5 | Won | |
| Apr 14 | 106 | +13.5 | Won | |
| Apr 12 | 101 | +18.5 | Won | |
| Apr 10 | 133 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 7 | 116 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Apr 5 | 115 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Apr 3 | 119 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 2 | 126 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 31 | 103 | +16.5 | Won | |
| Mar 29 | 112 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Mar 28 | 133 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 26 | 120 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 24 | 119 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 21 | 106 | +13.5 | Won | |
| Mar 19 | 125 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 17 | 116 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Mar 14 | 105 | +14.5 | Won | |
| Mar 11 | 121 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 10 | 101 | +18.5 | Won | |
| Mar 8 | 118 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 6 | 119 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 4 | 107 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Mar 3 | 105 | +14.5 | Won | |
| Feb 28 | 94 | +25.5 | Won | |
| Feb 26 | 113 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Feb 24 | 111 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Feb 22 | 117 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Feb 20 | 112 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Feb 19 | 105 | +14.5 | Won | |
| Feb 11 | 107 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Feb 9 | 118 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Feb 7 | 120 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 5 | 110 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Feb 2 | 113 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Jan 31 | 108 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Jan 29 | 117 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jan 28 | 117 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jan 26 | 113 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Jan 24 | 124 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 22 | 103 | +16.5 | Won | |
| Jan 21 | 88 | +31.5 | Won | |
| Jan 18 | 94 | +25.5 | Won | |
| Jan 17 | 126 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 15 | 119 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 12 | 88 | +31.5 | Won | |
| Jan 10 | 115 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Jan 8 | 118 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 7 | 95 | +24.5 | Won | |
| Jan 5 | 117 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jan 3 | 108 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Jan 2 | 111 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Dec 31 | 133 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 29 | 129 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 26 | 105 | +14.5 | Won | |
| Dec 23 | 127 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 22 | 133 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 20 | 100 | +19.5 | Won | |
| Dec 18 | 149 | -29.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 14 | 104 | +15.5 | Won | |
| Dec 12 | 116 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Dec 7 | 115 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Dec 5 | 95 | +24.5 | Won | |
| Dec 3 | 100 | +19.5 | Won | |
| Dec 1 | 118 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 29 | 110 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Nov 28 | 129 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 26 | 119 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 23 | 108 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Nov 22 | 119 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 19 | 124 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 17 | 109 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Nov 15 | 107 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Nov 14 | 130 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 12 | 109 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Nov 10 | 128 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 7 | 141 | -21.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 4 | 120 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 2 | 119 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 1 | 106 | +13.5 | Won | |
| Oct 30 | 129 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 28 | 136 | -16.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 26 | 113 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Oct 25 | 119 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 22 | 137 | -17.5 | Lost | |
| -121at Kalshi |
| 23 of 84· last season27%needs 55% to break even2 of 5 against MIA · 14 of 43 at home |
| Record is last season's |
| -41.9Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| +189at Kalshi |
| 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 35% to break even0 of 5 against MIA · 16 of 43 at home |
| 2.1Slight |
| Under 224.5 game total, CHA gamesCharlotte Hornets · Today 6:00 PM ET | +162at Polymarket | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 38% to break even0 of 5 against MIA · 18 of 43 at home | 1.5Slight |
| Under 226.5 game total, CHA gamesCharlotte Hornets · Today 6:00 PM ET | +143at Polymarket | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 41% to break even0 of 5 against MIA · 20 of 43 at home | -0.1Not beating its price |
| Under 230.5 game total, CHA gamesCharlotte Hornets · Today 6:00 PM ET | -105at Polymarket | 11 of 15· last 15 games73%needs 51% to break even0 of 5 against MIA · 25 of 43 at home | -2.9Not beating its price |
| Under 234.5 game total, CHA gamesCharlotte Hornets · Today 6:00 PM ET | -151at Polymarket | 13 of 15· last 15 games87%needs 60% to break even1 of 5 against MIA · 30 of 43 at home | -2.9Not beating its price |
| CHA -4.5 spreadCharlotte Hornets · Today 6:00 PM ET | +198at Kalshi | 40 of 84· last season48%needs 34% to break even1 of 5 against MIA · 19 of 43 at home | Record is last season's | -3.9Not beating its price |
| Under 232.5 game total, CHA gamesCharlotte Hornets · Today 6:00 PM ET | -126at Kalshi | 12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 56% to break even0 of 5 against MIA · 28 of 43 at home | -4.4Not beating its price |
| Under 228.5 game total, CHA gamesCharlotte Hornets · Today 6:00 PM ET | +112at Polymarket | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 47% to break even0 of 5 against MIA · 21 of 43 at home | -5.2Not beating its price |
| Under 59.5 2nd quarter totalCharlotte Hornets · Today 6:00 PM ET | -131at Kalshi | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 57% to break even2 of 5 against MIA · 27 of 43 at home | -5.9Not beating its price |
| Under 236.5 game total, CHA gamesCharlotte Hornets · Today 6:00 PM ET | -179at Polymarket | 13 of 15· last 15 games87%needs 64% to break even1 of 5 against MIA · 32 of 43 at home | -6.1Not beating its price |
| CHA -3.5 spreadCharlotte Hornets · Today 6:00 PM ET | +173at Kalshi | 41 of 84· last season49%needs 37% to break even1 of 5 against MIA · 20 of 43 at home | Record is last season's | -6.6Not beating its price |
| CHA to win moneylineCharlotte Hornets · Today 6:00 PM ET | +126at Polymarket | 45 of 84· last season54%needs 44% to break even2 of 5 against MIA · 22 of 43 at home | Record is last season's | -6.7Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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