This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 39% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 39% to break even | 14%–73% | 1 points betterwon 40%, needs 39% | lost by 11.2points |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 39% to break even | 27%–73% | 11 points betterwon 50%, needs 39% | lost by 3points |
| Last 15 games | 8 of 1553%needs 39% to break even | 33%–72% | 15 points betterwon 53%, needs 39% | won by 2.5points |
| This season | 1 of 250%needs 39% to break even | 12%–88% | 11 points betterwon 50%, needs 39% | lost by 20points |
| Last season |
Tonight CHA plays at home, as the underdog, after a loss, on a back-to-back, against MIA. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last, each on its own: 1 of 5 against MIA · 21 of 43 at home.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against CHA -2.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 119.5 1st half totalCharlotte Hornets |
| 42 of 8450%needs 39% to break even |
| 41%–59% |
| 11 points betterwon 50%, needs 39% |
| won by 4.4points |
| Every game | 43 of 8650%needs 39% to break even | 41%–59% | 11 points betterwon 50%, needs 39% | won by 3.8points |
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat 2.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 23 | -47 | -49.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 21 | 7 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Apr 17 | -31 | -33.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 14 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 12 | 14 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Apr 10 | -18 | -20.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 7 | -11 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 5 | 14 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Apr 3 | 21 | +18.5 | Won | |
| Apr 2 | 20 | +17.5 | Won | |
| Mar 31 | 31 | +28.5 | Won | |
| Mar 29 | -15 | -17.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 28 | -4 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 26 | 11 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Mar 24 | 44 | +41.5 | Won | |
| Mar 21 | 23 | +20.5 | Won | |
| Mar 19 | 19 | +16.5 | Won | |
| Mar 17 | 30 | +27.5 | Won | |
| Mar 14 | -13 | -15.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 11 | 8 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Mar 10 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 8 | -12 | -14.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 6 | -8 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 4 | 29 | +26.5 | Won | |
| Mar 3 | 27 | +24.5 | Won | |
| Feb 28 | 16 | +13.5 | Won | |
| Feb 26 | 24 | +21.5 | Won | |
| Feb 24 | 32 | +29.5 | Won | |
| Feb 22 | 17 | +14.5 | Won | |
| Feb 20 | -5 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 19 | -4 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 11 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 9 | -6 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 7 | 7 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Feb 5 | 10 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Feb 2 | 7 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Jan 31 | 5 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jan 29 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 28 | 15 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Jan 26 | 37 | +34.5 | Won | |
| Jan 24 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 22 | 27 | +24.5 | Won | |
| Jan 21 | -7 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 18 | 23 | +20.5 | Won | |
| Jan 17 | -20 | -22.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 15 | 18 | +15.5 | Won | |
| Jan 12 | -8 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 10 | 55 | +52.5 | Won | |
| Jan 8 | -2 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 7 | -1 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 5 | 27 | +24.5 | Won | |
| Jan 3 | 13 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Jan 2 | -1 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 31 | -7 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 29 | -10 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 26 | 15 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Dec 23 | 17 | +14.5 | Won | |
| Dec 22 | -7 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 20 | -26 | -28.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 18 | 7 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Dec 14 | 8 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Dec 12 | -3 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 7 | -9 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 5 | 25 | +22.5 | Won | |
| Dec 3 | -15 | -17.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 1 | -13 | -15.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 29 | 7 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Nov 28 | 7 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Nov 26 | -28 | -30.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 23 | -3 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 22 | -15 | -17.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 19 | -9 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 17 | -2 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 15 | -13 | -15.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 14 | -13 | -15.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 12 | 11 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Nov 10 | -10 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 7 | -18 | -20.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 4 | -4 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 2 | 23 | +20.5 | Won | |
| Nov 1 | -17 | -19.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 30 | -16 | -18.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 28 | -27 | -29.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 26 | 26 | +23.5 | Won | |
| Oct 25 | -4 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 22 | 19 | +16.5 | Won | |
| -105at Polymarket |
| 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 51% to break even3 of 5 against MIA · 29 of 43 at home |
| 6.2Good |
| Under 222.5 game total, CHA gamesCharlotte Hornets · Today 6:00 PM ET | +177at Polymarket | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 36% to break even0 of 5 against MIA · 16 of 43 at home | 0.7Slight |
| Under 226.5 game total, CHA gamesCharlotte Hornets · Today 6:00 PM ET | +143at Polymarket | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 41% to break even0 of 5 against MIA · 20 of 43 at home | -0.1Not beating its price |
| Under 224.5 game total, CHA gamesCharlotte Hornets · Today 6:00 PM ET | +149at Polymarket | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 40% to break even0 of 5 against MIA · 18 of 43 at home | -0.4Not beating its price |
| Under 234.5 game total, CHA gamesCharlotte Hornets · Today 6:00 PM ET | -161at Kalshi | 13 of 15· last 15 games87%needs 62% to break even1 of 5 against MIA · 30 of 43 at home | -4.4Not beating its price |
| Under 230.5 game total, CHA gamesCharlotte Hornets · Today 6:00 PM ET | -114at Polymarket | 11 of 15· last 15 games73%needs 53% to break even0 of 5 against MIA · 25 of 43 at home | -4.8Not beating its price |
| Under 60.5 1st quarter totalCharlotte Hornets · Today 6:00 PM ET | -116at Kalshi | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 54% to break even3 of 5 against MIA · 22 of 43 at home | -5.8Not beating its price |
| Under 59.5 2nd quarter totalCharlotte Hornets · Today 6:00 PM ET | -131at Kalshi | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 57% to break even2 of 5 against MIA · 27 of 43 at home | -5.9Not beating its price |
| CHA to win moneylineCharlotte Hornets · Today 6:00 PM ET | +126at Polymarket | 45 of 84· last season54%needs 44% to break even2 of 5 against MIA · 22 of 43 at home | Record is last season's | -6.7Not beating its price |
| Under 232.5 game total, CHA gamesCharlotte Hornets · Today 6:00 PM ET | -139at Polymarket | 12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 58% to break even0 of 5 against MIA · 28 of 43 at home | -6.7Not beating its price |
| Under 228.5 game total, CHA gamesCharlotte Hornets · Today 6:00 PM ET | +105at Kalshi | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 49% to break even0 of 5 against MIA · 21 of 43 at home | -6.7Not beating its price |
| Under 236.5 game total, CHA gamesCharlotte Hornets · Today 6:00 PM ET | -187at Polymarket | 13 of 15· last 15 games87%needs 65% to break even1 of 5 against MIA · 32 of 43 at home | -7.1Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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