This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 50% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 50% to break even | 5%–56% | 30 points shortwon 20%, needs 50% | 106.8points |
| Last 10 games | 3 of 1030%needs 50% to break even | 13%–56% | 20 points shortwon 30%, needs 50% | 109.8points |
| Last 15 games | 7 of 1547%needs 50% to break even | 28%–67% | 3 points shortwon 47%, needs 50% | 113.7points |
| This season | 1 of 250%needs 50% to break even | 12%–88% | evenwon 50%, needs 50% | 121points |
| Last season | 40 of 8845%needs 50% to break even | 37%–54% | 4 points shortwon 45%, needs 50% | 114.1points |
| Every game | 41 of 9046%needs 50% to break even | 37%–54% | 4 points shortwon 46%, needs 50% | 114.3points |
Tonight HOU plays on the road, as the underdog, after a win, on a back-to-back, against ATL. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 21 of 45 on the road.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
HOU points in each game against over 115.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | HOU points | Beat 115.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 23 | 114 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 21 | 128 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| May 1 | 78 | -37.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 29 | 99 | -16.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 26 | 115 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 24 | 108 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 21 | 94 | -21.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 18 | 98 | -17.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 12 | 132 | +16.5 | Won | |
| Apr 10 | 132 | +16.5 | Won | |
| Apr 9 | 113 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 7 | 119 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Apr 5 | 117 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 3 | 140 | +24.5 | Won | |
| Apr 1 | 119 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Mar 31 | 111 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 29 | 134 | +18.5 | Won | |
| Mar 27 | 119 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Mar 25 | 108 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 23 | 124 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Mar 21 | 123 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Mar 20 | 117 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 18 | 116 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 16 | 92 | -23.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 13 | 107 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 11 | 93 | -22.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 10 | 113 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 8 | 120 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Mar 6 | 106 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 5 | 113 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 2 | 123 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Feb 28 | 105 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 26 | 113 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 25 | 128 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Feb 23 | 125 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Feb 21 | 106 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 19 | 105 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 11 | 102 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 10 | 102 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 7 | 112 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 5 | 99 | -16.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 4 | 93 | -22.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 2 | 118 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jan 31 | 111 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 29 | 104 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 28 | 99 | -16.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 26 | 108 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 23 | 111 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 22 | 122 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Jan 20 | 111 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 18 | 119 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Jan 16 | 110 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 15 | 91 | -24.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 13 | 119 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Jan 11 | 98 | -17.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 9 | 105 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 7 | 102 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 5 | 100 | -15.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 3 | 104 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 1 | 120 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Dec 29 | 126 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Dec 27 | 117 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 25 | 119 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Dec 23 | 108 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 21 | 124 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Dec 20 | 115 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 18 | 128 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Dec 15 | 125 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Dec 11 | 115 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 6 | 109 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 5 | 117 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 3 | 121 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Dec 1 | 125 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Nov 30 | 129 | +13.5 | Won | |
| Nov 26 | 104 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 24 | 114 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 21 | 109 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 19 | 114 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 16 | 117 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 14 | 140 | +24.5 | Won | |
| Nov 12 | 135 | +19.5 | Won | |
| Nov 9 | 122 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Nov 7 | 110 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 5 | 124 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Nov 3 | 110 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 1 | 128 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Oct 29 | 139 | +23.5 | Won | |
| Oct 27 | 137 | +21.5 | Won | |
| Oct 24 | 111 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 21 | 124 | +8.5 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 109.5 team totalHouston Rockets · Today 8:30 PM ET | +181at Kalshi | 5 of 10· last 10 games50%needs 36% to break even16 of 45 on the road | -13.1Not beating its price | ||
| Under 111.5 team totalHouston Rockets · Today 8:30 PM ET | +129at Kalshi | 38 of 88· last season43%needs 44% to break even18 of 45 on the road | Record is last season's | -18.9Not beating its price | |
| Under 113.5 team totalHouston Rockets · Today 8:30 PM ET | +101at Kalshi | 43 of 88· last season49%needs 50% to break even20 of 45 on the road | Record is last season's | -22.1Not beating its price | |
| Under 115.5 team totalHouston Rockets · Today 8:30 PM ET | -131at Kalshi | 48 of 88· last season55%needs 57% to break even24 of 45 on the road | Record is last season's | -14.6Not beating its price | |
| Under 117.5 team totalHouston Rockets · Today 8:30 PM ET | -183at Kalshi | 54 of 88· last season61%needs 65% to break even25 of 45 on the road | Record is last season's | -19.0Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.