This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 51% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 51% to break even | 27%–86% | 9 points betterwon 60%, needs 51% | 108.8points |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 51% to break even | 35%–81% | 9 points betterwon 60%, needs 51% | 110.3points |
| Last 15 games | 8 of 1553%needs 51% to break even | 33%–72% | 3 points betterwon 53%, needs 51% | 113.8points |
| This season | 0 of 20%needs 51% to break even | 0%–58% | 51 points shortwon 0%, needs 51% | 130points |
| Last season | 33 of 8838%needs 51% to break even | 30%–46% | 13 points shortwon 38%, needs 51% | 117.2points |
| Every game | 33 of 9037%needs 51% to break even | 29%–45% | 14 points shortwon 37%, needs 51% | 117.5points |
Tonight ATL plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, on a back-to-back, against HOU. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 18 of 44 at home.
Create a free account to see games like tonight
Free, takes a few seconds. No card needed.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
ATL points in each game against under 114.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | ATL points | Beat 114.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 23 | 128 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 21 | 132 | -17.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Apr 30 | 89 | +25.5 | Won | |
| Apr 28 | 97 | +17.5 | Won | |
| Apr 25 | 98 | +16.5 | Won | |
| Apr 23 | 109 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Apr 20 | 107 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Apr 18 | 102 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Apr 12 | 117 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 10 | 124 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 8 | 116 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 6 | 105 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Apr 3 | 141 | -26.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 1 | 130 | -15.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 30 | 112 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Mar 28 | 123 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 27 | 102 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Mar 25 | 130 | -15.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 23 | 146 | -31.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 21 | 126 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 20 | 95 | +19.5 | Won | |
| Mar 18 | 135 | -20.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 16 | 124 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 14 | 122 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 12 | 108 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Mar 10 | 124 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 7 | 125 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 4 | 131 | -16.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 1 | 135 | -20.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 26 | 126 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 24 | 119 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 22 | 115 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 20 | 97 | +17.5 | Won | |
| Feb 19 | 117 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 11 | 107 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Feb 9 | 116 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 7 | 119 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 5 | 121 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 3 | 127 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 31 | 124 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 29 | 86 | +28.5 | Won | |
| Jan 28 | 117 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 26 | 132 | -17.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 23 | 110 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Jan 21 | 124 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 19 | 110 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Jan 17 | 106 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Jan 15 | 101 | +13.5 | Won | |
| Jan 13 | 116 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 11 | 124 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 9 | 110 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Jan 7 | 117 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 5 | 100 | +14.5 | Won | |
| Jan 3 | 117 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 2 | 111 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Dec 31 | 126 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 29 | 129 | -14.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 27 | 125 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 26 | 111 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Dec 23 | 123 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 21 | 150 | -35.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 19 | 98 | +16.5 | Won | |
| Dec 18 | 126 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 14 | 120 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 12 | 115 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 6 | 131 | -16.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 5 | 133 | -18.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 3 | 92 | +22.5 | Won | |
| Dec 1 | 98 | +16.5 | Won | |
| Nov 30 | 142 | -27.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 28 | 130 | -15.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 25 | 113 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 23 | 113 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 22 | 115 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 20 | 126 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 18 | 112 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Nov 16 | 124 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 13 | 132 | -17.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 12 | 133 | -18.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 10 | 105 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Nov 8 | 122 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 7 | 97 | +17.5 | Won | |
| Nov 4 | 127 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 2 | 109 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Oct 31 | 128 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 29 | 117 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 27 | 123 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 25 | 100 | +14.5 | Won | |
| Oct 24 | 111 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Oct 22 | 118 | -3.5 | Lost | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
Create a free account to see every number on a bet
Free, takes a few seconds. No card needed.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 112.5 team totalAtlanta Hawks · Today 8:30 PM ET | -168at Kalshi | 57 of 88· last season65%needs 63% to break even27 of 44 at home | Record is last season's | -31.4Not beating its price | |
| Over 114.5 team totalAtlanta Hawks · Today 8:30 PM ET | -126at Kalshi | 55 of 88· last season63%needs 56% to break even26 of 44 at home | Record is last season's | -25.3Not beating its price | |
| Over 116.5 team totalAtlanta Hawks · Today 8:30 PM ET | +105at Kalshi | 49 of 88· last season56%needs 49% to break even25 of 44 at home | Record is last season's | -21.7Not beating its price | |
| Over 118.5 team totalAtlanta Hawks · Today 8:30 PM ET | +134at Kalshi | 42 of 88· last season48%needs 43% to break even23 of 44 at home | Record is last season's | -21.0Not beating its price | |
| Over 120.5 team totalAtlanta Hawks · Today 8:30 PM ET | +173at Kalshi | 39 of 88· last season44%needs 37% to break even20 of 44 at home | Record is last season's | -16.0Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.