This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 49% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 49% to break even | 14%–73% | 9 points shortwon 40%, needs 49% | 108.8points |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 49% to break even | 19%–65% | 9 points shortwon 40%, needs 49% | 110.3points |
| Last 15 games | 6 of 1540%needs 49% to break even | 22%–61% | 9 points shortwon 40%, needs 49% | 113.8points |
| This season | 2 of 2100%needs 49% to break even | 42%–100% | 51 points betterwon 100%, needs 49% | 130points |
| Last season | 49 of 8856% |
Tonight ATL plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, on a back-to-back, against HOU. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 25 of 44 at home.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
ATL points in each game against over 116.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 110.5 team totalAtlanta Hawks |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 226.5 game total, ATL gamesAtlanta Hawks |
| 47%–64% |
| 7 points betterwon 56%, needs 49% |
| 117.2points |
| Every game | 51 of 9057%needs 49% to break even | 48%–65% | 8 points betterwon 57%, needs 49% | 117.5points |
| Date | Opponent | ATL points | Beat 116.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 23 | 128 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Oct 21 | 132 | +15.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Apr 30 | 89 | -27.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 28 | 97 | -19.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 25 | 98 | -18.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 23 | 109 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 20 | 107 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 18 | 102 | -14.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 12 | 117 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 10 | 124 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Apr 8 | 116 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 6 | 105 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 3 | 141 | +24.5 | Won | |
| Apr 1 | 130 | +13.5 | Won | |
| Mar 30 | 112 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 28 | 123 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Mar 27 | 102 | -14.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 25 | 130 | +13.5 | Won | |
| Mar 23 | 146 | +29.5 | Won | |
| Mar 21 | 126 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Mar 20 | 95 | -21.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 18 | 135 | +18.5 | Won | |
| Mar 16 | 124 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Mar 14 | 122 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Mar 12 | 108 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 10 | 124 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Mar 7 | 125 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Mar 4 | 131 | +14.5 | Won | |
| Mar 1 | 135 | +18.5 | Won | |
| Feb 26 | 126 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Feb 24 | 119 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Feb 22 | 115 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 20 | 97 | -19.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 19 | 117 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 11 | 107 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 9 | 116 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 7 | 119 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Feb 5 | 121 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Feb 3 | 127 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Jan 31 | 124 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Jan 29 | 86 | -30.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 28 | 117 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 26 | 132 | +15.5 | Won | |
| Jan 23 | 110 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 21 | 124 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Jan 19 | 110 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 17 | 106 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 15 | 101 | -15.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 13 | 116 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 11 | 124 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Jan 9 | 110 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 7 | 117 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 5 | 100 | -16.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 3 | 117 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 2 | 111 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 31 | 126 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Dec 29 | 129 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Dec 27 | 125 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Dec 26 | 111 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 23 | 123 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Dec 21 | 150 | +33.5 | Won | |
| Dec 19 | 98 | -18.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 18 | 126 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Dec 14 | 120 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Dec 12 | 115 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 6 | 131 | +14.5 | Won | |
| Dec 5 | 133 | +16.5 | Won | |
| Dec 3 | 92 | -24.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 1 | 98 | -18.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 30 | 142 | +25.5 | Won | |
| Nov 28 | 130 | +13.5 | Won | |
| Nov 25 | 113 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 23 | 113 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 22 | 115 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 20 | 126 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Nov 18 | 112 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 16 | 124 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Nov 13 | 132 | +15.5 | Won | |
| Nov 12 | 133 | +16.5 | Won | |
| Nov 10 | 105 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 8 | 122 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Nov 7 | 97 | -19.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 4 | 127 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Nov 2 | 109 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 31 | 128 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Oct 29 | 117 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 27 | 123 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Oct 25 | 100 | -16.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 24 | 111 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 22 | 118 | +1.5 | Won | |
| +166at Kalshi |
| 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 38% to break even14 of 44 at home |
| -8.6Not beating its price |
| Under 112.5 team totalAtlanta Hawks · Today 8:30 PM ET | +124at Kalshi | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 45% to break even17 of 44 at home | -12.5Not beating its price |
| Under 114.5 team totalAtlanta Hawks · Today 8:30 PM ET | -103at Kalshi | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 51% to break even18 of 44 at home | -17.9Not beating its price |
| Under 116.5 team totalAtlanta Hawks · Today 8:30 PM ET | -137at Kalshi | 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 58% to break even19 of 44 at home | -21.5Not beating its price |
| Under 118.5 team totalAtlanta Hawks · Today 8:30 PM ET | -191at Kalshi | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 66% to break even21 of 44 at home | -22.9Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| +126at Polymarket |
| 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 44% to break even21 of 44 at home |
| -6.4Not beating its price |
| Under 224.5 game total, ATL gamesAtlanta Hawks · Today 8:30 PM ET | +149at Polymarket | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 40% to break even19 of 44 at home | -7.4Not beating its price |
| Under 230.5 game total, ATL gamesAtlanta Hawks · Today 8:30 PM ET | -123at Polymarket | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 55% to break even23 of 44 at home | -8.7Not beating its price |
| Under 220.5 game total, ATL gamesAtlanta Hawks · Today 8:30 PM ET | +202at Polymarket | 7 of 15· last 15 games47%needs 33% to break even13 of 44 at home | -8.8Not beating its price |
| Under 225.5 game total, ATL gamesAtlanta Hawks · Today 8:30 PM ET | +131at Polymarket | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 43% to break even20 of 44 at home | -10.1Not beating its price |
| Under 227.5 game total, ATL gamesAtlanta Hawks · Today 8:30 PM ET | +107at Polymarket | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 48% to break even21 of 44 at home | -10.2Not beating its price |
| Under 232.5 game total, ATL gamesAtlanta Hawks · Today 8:30 PM ET | -145at Polymarket | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 59% to break even24 of 44 at home | -10.2Not beating its price |
| Under 222.5 game total, ATL gamesAtlanta Hawks · Today 8:30 PM ET | +177at Polymarket | 7 of 15· last 15 games47%needs 36% to break even16 of 44 at home | -11.0Not beating its price |
| Under 228.5 game total, ATL gamesAtlanta Hawks · Today 8:30 PM ET | -101at Polymarket | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 50% to break even22 of 44 at home | -11.8Not beating its price |
| Under 233.5 game total, ATL gamesAtlanta Hawks · Today 8:30 PM ET | -158at Polymarket | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 61% to break even24 of 44 at home | -11.9Not beating its price |
| Under 234.5 game total, ATL gamesAtlanta Hawks · Today 8:30 PM ET | -172at Polymarket | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 63% to break even24 of 44 at home | -13.8Not beating its price |
| ATL -6.5 spreadAtlanta Hawks · Today 8:30 PM ET | +177at Polymarket | 37 of 88· last season42%needs 36% to break even21 of 44 at home | Record is last season's | -14.5Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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