This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 36% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 36% to break even | 14%–73% | 4 points betterwon 40%, needs 36% | lost by 8.4points |
| Last 10 games | 3 of 1030%needs 36% to break even | 13%–56% | 6 points shortwon 30%, needs 36% | lost by 5.5points |
| Last 15 games | 6 of 1540%needs 36% to break even | 22%–61% | 4 points betterwon 40%, needs 36% | won by 0.6points |
| This season | 2 of 2100%needs 36% to break even | 42%–100% | 64 points betterwon 100%, needs 36% | won by 27points |
| Last season |
Tonight ATL plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, on a back-to-back, against HOU. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 21 of 44 at home.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against ATL -6.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 226.5 game total, ATL gamesAtlanta Hawks |
| 34%–51% |
| 6 points betterwon 42%, needs 36% |
| won by 1.1points |
| Every game | 39 of 9043%needs 36% to break even | 35%–52% | 7 points betterwon 43%, needs 36% | won by 1.6points |
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat 6.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 23 | 47 | +40.5 | Won | |
| Oct 21 | 7 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Apr 30 | -51 | -57.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 28 | -29 | -35.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 25 | -16 | -22.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 23 | 1 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 20 | 1 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 18 | -11 | -17.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 12 | -26 | -32.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 10 | 22 | +15.5 | Won | |
| Apr 8 | -6 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 6 | -3 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 3 | 34 | +27.5 | Won | |
| Apr 1 | 29 | +22.5 | Won | |
| Mar 30 | 10 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Mar 28 | 10 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Mar 27 | -7 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 25 | 1 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 23 | 39 | +32.5 | Won | |
| Mar 21 | 16 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Mar 20 | -22 | -28.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 18 | 15 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Mar 16 | 12 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Mar 14 | 23 | +16.5 | Won | |
| Mar 12 | 11 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Mar 10 | 12 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Mar 7 | 9 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Mar 4 | 18 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Mar 1 | 34 | +27.5 | Won | |
| Feb 26 | 30 | +23.5 | Won | |
| Feb 24 | 21 | +14.5 | Won | |
| Feb 22 | 11 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Feb 20 | -31 | -37.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 19 | 10 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Feb 11 | -3 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 9 | -22 | -28.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 7 | -7 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 5 | 2 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 3 | 12 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Jan 31 | -5 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 29 | -18 | -24.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 28 | 11 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Jan 26 | 16 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Jan 23 | 7 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 21 | 2 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 19 | -2 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 17 | -26 | -32.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 15 | -16 | -22.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 13 | -25 | -31.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 11 | 13 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Jan 9 | 23 | +16.5 | Won | |
| Jan 7 | 17 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Jan 5 | -18 | -24.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 3 | -17 | -23.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 2 | 12 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Dec 31 | 24 | +17.5 | Won | |
| Dec 29 | -11 | -17.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 27 | -3 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 26 | -15 | -21.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 23 | -3 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 21 | -2 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 19 | -28 | -34.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 18 | -7 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 14 | 3 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 12 | -27 | -33.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 6 | 15 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Dec 5 | -1 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 3 | -23 | -29.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 1 | -1 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 30 | 8 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 28 | 7 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 25 | -19 | -25.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 23 | 3 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 22 | 17 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Nov 20 | -9 | -15.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 18 | -8 | -14.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 16 | 2 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 13 | 10 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Nov 12 | 33 | +26.5 | Won | |
| Nov 10 | 3 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 8 | 20 | +13.5 | Won | |
| Nov 7 | -12 | -18.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 4 | 15 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Nov 2 | -8 | -14.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 31 | 20 | +13.5 | Won | |
| Oct 29 | 5 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 27 | -5 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 25 | -17 | -23.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 24 | 4 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 22 | -20 | -26.5 | Lost | |
| +119at Kalshi |
| 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 46% to break even21 of 44 at home |
| -7.7Not beating its price |
| Under 224.5 game total, ATL gamesAtlanta Hawks · Today 8:30 PM ET | +143at Polymarket | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 41% to break even19 of 44 at home | -8.3Not beating its price |
| Under 230.5 game total, ATL gamesAtlanta Hawks · Today 8:30 PM ET | -121at Kalshi | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 55% to break even23 of 44 at home | -8.4Not beating its price |
| Under 110.5 team totalAtlanta Hawks · Today 8:30 PM ET | +166at Kalshi | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 38% to break even14 of 44 at home | -8.6Not beating its price |
| Under 220.5 game total, ATL gamesAtlanta Hawks · Today 8:30 PM ET | +202at Polymarket | 7 of 15· last 15 games47%needs 33% to break even13 of 44 at home | -8.8Not beating its price |
| Under 225.5 game total, ATL gamesAtlanta Hawks · Today 8:30 PM ET | +131at Polymarket | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 43% to break even20 of 44 at home | -10.1Not beating its price |
| Under 227.5 game total, ATL gamesAtlanta Hawks · Today 8:30 PM ET | +107at Polymarket | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 48% to break even21 of 44 at home | -10.2Not beating its price |
| Under 232.5 game total, ATL gamesAtlanta Hawks · Today 8:30 PM ET | -145at Polymarket | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 59% to break even24 of 44 at home | -10.2Not beating its price |
| Under 222.5 game total, ATL gamesAtlanta Hawks · Today 8:30 PM ET | +173at Kalshi | 7 of 15· last 15 games47%needs 37% to break even16 of 44 at home | -11.5Not beating its price |
| Under 228.5 game total, ATL gamesAtlanta Hawks · Today 8:30 PM ET | -101at Polymarket | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 50% to break even22 of 44 at home | -11.8Not beating its price |
| Under 233.5 game total, ATL gamesAtlanta Hawks · Today 8:30 PM ET | -158at Polymarket | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 61% to break even24 of 44 at home | -11.9Not beating its price |
| Under 112.5 team totalAtlanta Hawks · Today 8:30 PM ET | +124at Kalshi | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 45% to break even17 of 44 at home | -12.5Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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