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NBAGame lineTotal
Detroit Pistons @ Miami Heat: under 230.5
Won27 of 83last season · 33%
Best price+162Polymarket
Price needs38.2%wins to break even
Every game27 of 84this season and last
Trend score-26.3Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 38% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 0 of 50%needs 38% to break even | 0%–35% | 38 points shortwon 0%, needs 38% |
| Last 10 games | 2 of 1020%needs 38% to break even | 7%–46% | 18 points shortwon 20%, needs 38% |
| Last 15 games | 3 of 1520%needs 38% to break even | 8%–41% | 18 points shortwon 20%, needs 38% |
| This season | 0 of 10%needs 38% to break even | 0%–73% | 38 points shortwon 0%, needs 38% |
| Last season | 27 of 8333%needs 38% to break even | 25%–41% | 6 points shortwon 33%, needs 38% |
| Every game | 27 of 8432%needs 38% to break even | 24%–41% | 6 points shortwon 32%, needs 38% |
Games like tonight
Tonight MIA plays at home, as the favorite, after a loss, against DET. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
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Detroit Pistons @ Miami Heat: under 230.51 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Total points in each game against under 230.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Total points | Beat 230.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 |  MIN | 237 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Apr 14 |  CHA | 253 | -22.5 | Lost |
| Apr 12 |  ATL | 260 | -29.5 | Lost |
| Apr 10 |  WSH | 257 | -26.5 | Lost |
| Apr 9 |  TOR | 242 | -11.5 | Lost |
| Apr 7 | TOR | 216 | +14.5 | Won |
| Apr 4 | WSH | 288 | -57.5 | Lost |
| Apr 1 |  BOS | 276 | -45.5 | Lost |
| Mar 30 |  PHI | 228 | +2.5 | Won |
| Mar 29 |  IND | 253 | -22.5 | Lost |
| Mar 27 |  CLE | 277 | -46.5 | Lost |
| Mar 25 | CLE | 223 | +7.5 | Won |
| Mar 23 |  SA | 247 | -16.5 | Lost |
| Mar 21 |  HOU | 245 | -14.5 | Lost |
| Mar 19 |  LAL | 260 | -29.5 | Lost |
| Mar 17 | CHA | 242 | -11.5 | Lost |
| Mar 14 |  ORL | 238 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Mar 12 |  MIL | 217 | +13.5 | Won |
| Mar 10 | WSH | 279 | -48.5 | Lost |
| Mar 8 |  DET | 231 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Mar 6 | CHA | 248 | -17.5 | Lost |
| Mar 5 |  BKN | 236 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Mar 3 | BKN | 222 | +8.5 | Won |
| Feb 28 | HOU | 220 | +10.5 | Won |
| Feb 26 | PHI | 241 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Feb 24 | MIL | 245 | -14.5 | Lost |
| Feb 21 |  MEM | 256 | -25.5 | Lost |
| Feb 20 | ATL | 225 | +5.5 | Won |
| Feb 11 |  NO | 234 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Feb 9 |  UTAH | 226 | +4.5 | Won |
| Feb 8 | WSH | 233 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Feb 6 | BOS | 194 | +36.5 | Won |
| Feb 3 | ATL | 242 | -11.5 | Lost |
| Feb 1 |  CHI | 225 | +5.5 | Won |
| Jan 31 | CHI | 243 | -12.5 | Lost |
| Jan 29 | CHI | 229 | +1.5 | Won |
| Jan 28 | ORL | 257 | -26.5 | Lost |
| Jan 25 |  PHX | 213 | +17.5 | Won |
| Jan 24 | UTAH | 263 | -32.5 | Lost |
| Jan 22 |  POR | 237 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Jan 20 |  SAC | 247 | -16.5 | Lost |
| Jan 19 |  GS | 247 | -16.5 | Lost |
| Jan 17 |  OKC | 242 | -11.5 | Lost |
| Jan 15 | BOS | 233 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Jan 13 | PHX | 248 | -17.5 | Lost |
| Jan 11 | OKC | 236 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Jan 10 | IND | 222 | +8.5 | Won |
| Jan 6 | MIN | 216 | +14.5 | Won |
| Jan 4 | NO | 231 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jan 3 | MIN | 240 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Jan 1 | DET | 230 | +0.5 | Won |
| Dec 29 |  DEN | 270 | -39.5 | Lost |
| Dec 27 | IND | 258 | -27.5 | Lost |
| Dec 26 | ATL | 237 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Dec 23 | TOR | 203 | +27.5 | Won |
| Dec 21 |  NY | 257 | -26.5 | Lost |
| Dec 19 | BOS | 245 | -14.5 | Lost |
| Dec 18 | BKN | 201 | +29.5 | Won |
| Dec 15 | TOR | 202 | +28.5 | Won |
| Dec 9 | ORL | 225 | +5.5 | Won |
| Dec 6 | SAC | 238 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Dec 5 | ORL | 211 | +19.5 | Won |
| Dec 3 |  DAL | 226 | +4.5 | Won |
| Dec 1 |  LAC | 263 | -32.5 | Lost |
| Nov 29 | DET | 273 | -42.5 | Lost |
| Nov 26 | MIL | 209 | +21.5 | Won |
| Nov 24 | DAL | 208 | +22.5 | Won |
| Nov 23 | PHI | 244 | -13.5 | Lost |
| Nov 21 | CHI | 250 | -19.5 | Lost |
| Nov 19 | GS | 206 | +24.5 | Won |
| Nov 17 | NY | 228 | +2.5 | Won |
| Nov 14 | NY | 272 | -41.5 | Lost |
| Nov 12 | CLE | 246 | -15.5 | Lost |
| Nov 10 | CLE | 278 | -47.5 | Lost |
| Nov 8 | POR | 267 | -36.5 | Lost |
| Nov 7 | CHA | 234 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Nov 5 | DEN | 234 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Nov 3 | LAC | 239 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Nov 2 | LAL | 250 | -19.5 | Lost |
| Oct 30 | SA | 208 | +22.5 | Won |
| Oct 28 | CHA | 261 | -30.5 | Lost |
| Oct 26 | NY | 222 | +8.5 | Won |
| Oct 24 | MEM | 260 | -29.5 | Lost |
| Oct 22 | ORL | 246 | -15.5 | Lost |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
More on Miami Heat in this game
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.