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NBAGame line1st half spread
MIA 1H -4.5 (1st half spread)
Won36 of 83last season · 43%
Best price+166Kalshi
Price needs37.6%wins to break even
Every game36 of 84this season and last
Trend score-17.1Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 38% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 38% to break even | 14%–73% | 2 points betterwon 40%, needs 38% |
| Last 10 games | 3 of 1030%needs 38% to break even | 13%–56% | 8 points shortwon 30%, needs 38% |
| Last 15 games | 5 of 1533%needs 38% to break even | 17%–54% | 4 points shortwon 33%, needs 38% |
| This season | 0 of 10%needs 38% to break even | 0%–73% | 38 points shortwon 0%, needs 38% |
| Last season | 36 of 8343%needs 38% to break even | 35%–52% | 6 points betterwon 43%, needs 38% |
| Every game | 36 of 8443%needs 38% to break even | 34%–52% | 5 points betterwon 43%, needs 38% |
Games like tonight
Tonight MIA plays at home, as the favorite, after a loss, against DET. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Every book's price
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
MIA 1H -4.5 (1st half spread)1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
1H margin in each game against mia 1h -4.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
More on Miami Heat in this game
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 236.5 game total, MIA gamesMiami Heat · Today 8:10 PM ET |
