This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 3% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 0 of 50%needs 3% to break even | 0%–35% | 3 points shortwon 0%, needs 3% |
| Last 10 games | 0 of 100%needs 3% to break even | 0%–21% | 3 points shortwon 0%, needs 3% |
| Last 15 games | 0 of 150%needs 3% to break even | 0%–15% | 3 points shortwon 0%, needs 3% |
| This season | 0 of 20%needs 3% to break even | 0%–58% | 3 points shortwon 0%, needs 3% |
| Last season | 1 of 452%needs 3% to break even | 0%–9% | 1 points shortwon 2%, needs 3% |
| Every game | 1 of 472%needs 3% to break even | 0%–9% | 1 points shortwon 2%, needs 3% |
Tonight PHI plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against MIL. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 1 of 26 at home.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every Joel Embiid game, newest first: whether Embiid had a triple-double.
| Date | Opponent | Result | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|
| This season | |||
| Oct 22 | No triple-double | Lost | |
| Oct 20 | No triple-double | Lost | |
| Last season | |||
| May 10 | No triple-double | Lost | |
| May 8 | No triple-double | Lost | |
| May 4 | No triple-double | Lost | |
| May 2 | No triple-double | Lost | |
| Apr 30 | No triple-double | Lost | |
| Apr 28 | No triple-double | Lost | |
| Apr 26 | No triple-double | Lost | |
| Apr 6 | No triple-double | Lost | |
| Apr 3 | No triple-double | Lost | |
| Mar 30 | No triple-double | Lost | |
| Mar 28 | No triple-double | Lost | |
| Mar 25 | No triple-double | Lost | |
| Feb 26 | No triple-double | Lost | |
| Feb 24 | No triple-double | Lost | |
| Feb 7 | No triple-double | Lost | |
| Feb 5 | No triple-double | Lost | |
| Feb 2 | No triple-double | Lost | |
| Jan 31 | No triple-double | Lost | |
| Jan 29 | No triple-double | Lost | |
| Jan 27 | No triple-double | Lost | |
| Jan 24 | No triple-double | Lost | |
| Jan 22 | Triple-double | Won | |
| Jan 19 | No triple-double | Lost | |
| Jan 16 | No triple-double | Lost | |
| Jan 14 | No triple-double | Lost | |
| Jan 12 | No triple-double | Lost | |
| Jan 9 | No triple-double | Lost | |
| Jan 7 | No triple-double | Lost | |
| Jan 5 | No triple-double | Lost | |
| Jan 3 | No triple-double | Lost | |
| Jan 1 | No triple-double | Lost | |
| Dec 30 | No triple-double | Lost | |
| Dec 26 | No triple-double | Lost | |
| Dec 23 | No triple-double | Lost | |
| Dec 14 | No triple-double | Lost | |
| Dec 12 | No triple-double | Lost | |
| Dec 7 | No triple-double | Lost | |
| Dec 4 | No triple-double | Lost | |
| Nov 30 | No triple-double | Lost | |
| Nov 8 | No triple-double | Lost | |
| Nov 4 | No triple-double | Lost | |
| Oct 31 | No triple-double | Lost | |
| Oct 28 | No triple-double | Lost | |
| Oct 25 | No triple-double | Lost | |
| Oct 22 | No triple-double | Lost | |
This player's other props in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.