This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 39% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 39% to break even | 44%–95% | 41 points betterwon 80%, needs 39% | 10rebounds and assists |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 39% to break even | 19%–65% | 1 points betterwon 40%, needs 39% | 12.7rebounds and assists |
| Last 15 games | 6 of 1540%needs 39% to break even | 22%–61% | 1 points betterwon 40%, needs 39% | 12.9rebounds and assists |
| This season | 1 of 250%needs 39% to break even | 12%–88% | 11 points betterwon 50%, needs 39% | 12.5rebounds and assists |
| Last season | 21 of 4547%needs 39% to break even | 35%–59% | 7 points betterwon 47%, needs 39% | 11.8rebounds and assists |
| Every game | 22 of 4747%needs 39% to break even | 35%–59% | 8 points betterwon 47%, needs 39% | 11.9rebounds and assists |
Tonight PHI plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against MIL. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 13 of 26 at home.
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Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Reb + ast in each game against under 11.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Reb + ast | Beat 11.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 22 | 8 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Oct 20 | 17 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| May 10 | 9 | +2.5 | Won | |
| May 8 | 11 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 4 | 5 | +6.5 | Won | |
| May 2 | 18 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 30 | 18 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 28 | 12 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 26 | 16 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 6 | 13 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 3 | 20 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 30 | 10 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 28 | 8 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Mar 25 | 13 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 26 | 15 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 24 | 11 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 7 | 12 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 5 | 14 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 2 | 8 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Jan 31 | 15 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 29 | 13 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 27 | 14 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 24 | 16 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 22 | 25 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 19 | 13 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 16 | 8 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Jan 14 | 7 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Jan 12 | 12 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 9 | 12 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 7 | 9 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jan 5 | 12 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 3 | 15 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 1 | 10 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 30 | 18 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 26 | 6 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Dec 23 | 10 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 14 | 15 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 12 | 12 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 7 | 9 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Dec 4 | 9 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Nov 30 | 6 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Nov 8 | 10 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 4 | 8 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Oct 31 | 9 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Oct 28 | 12 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 25 | 6 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Oct 22 | 8 | +3.5 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 11.5 reb + astJoel Embiid · Today 7:40 PM ET | -205at DraftKings | 24 of 45· last season53%needs 67% to break even13 of 26 at home | Record is last season's | -31.5Not beating its price | |
| Over 12.5 reb + astJoel Embiid · Today 7:40 PM ET | -122at BetRivers | 8 of 15· last 15 games53%needs 55% to break even11 of 26 at home | -27.2Not beating its price | ||
| Over 13.5 reb + astJoel Embiid · Today 7:40 PM ET | +106at BetOnline | 6 of 15· last 15 games40%needs 49% to break even8 of 26 at home | -28.0Not beating its price | ||
| Over 14.5 reb + astJoel Embiid · Today 7:40 PM ET | +165at BetRivers | 6 of 15· last 15 games40%needs 38% to break even7 of 26 at home | -19.0Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This player's other props in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price. A yes-or-no bet (a draw, both teams to score, a TD) shows one same-size bar per game, green when it won.