This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 49% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 49% to break even | 44%–95% | 31 points betterwon 80%, needs 49% | 6.6rebounds |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 49% to break even | 27%–73% | 1 points betterwon 50%, needs 49% | 8.1rebounds |
| Last 15 games | 8 of 1553%needs 49% to break even | 33%–72% | 5 points betterwon 53%, needs 49% | 8.3rebounds |
| This season | 1 of 250%needs 49% to break even | 12%–88% | 1 points betterwon 50%, needs 49% | 9rebounds |
| Last season | 27 of 4560%needs 49% to break even | 48%–71% | 11 points betterwon 60%, needs 49% | 7.6rebounds |
| Every game | 28 of 4760%needs 49% to break even | 48%–71% | 11 points betterwon 60%, needs 49% | 7.7rebounds |
Tonight PHI plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against MIL. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 15 of 26 at home.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Rebounds in each game against under 8.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Rebounds | Beat 8.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 22 | 7 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 20 | 11 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| May 10 | 5 | +3.5 | Won | |
| May 8 | 6 | +2.5 | Won | |
| May 4 | 4 | +4.5 | Won | |
| May 2 | 12 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 30 | 10 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 28 | 4 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Apr 26 | 10 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 6 | 12 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 3 | 13 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 30 | 7 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 28 | 6 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Mar 25 | 6 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Feb 26 | 11 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 24 | 6 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Feb 7 | 9 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 5 | 7 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Feb 2 | 5 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Jan 31 | 11 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 29 | 5 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Jan 27 | 9 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 24 | 11 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 22 | 15 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 19 | 9 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 16 | 5 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Jan 14 | 4 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Jan 12 | 8 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 9 | 9 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 7 | 7 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 5 | 10 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 3 | 10 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 1 | 4 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Dec 30 | 10 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 26 | 5 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Dec 23 | 6 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Dec 14 | 14 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 12 | 9 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 7 | 7 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 4 | 6 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Nov 30 | 4 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Nov 8 | 6 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Nov 4 | 6 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Oct 31 | 6 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Oct 28 | 7 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 25 | 2 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Oct 22 | 6 | +2.5 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 7.5 reboundsJoel Embiid · Today 7:40 PM ET | -183at Kalshi | 19 of 45· last season42%needs 65% to break even11 of 26 at home | Record is last season's | -36.6Not beating its price | |
| Over 8.5 reboundsJoel Embiid · Today 7:40 PM ET | -117at BetRivers | 18 of 45· last season40%needs 54% to break even11 of 26 at home | Record is last season's | -27.3Not beating its price | |
| Over 9.5 reboundsJoel Embiid · Today 7:40 PM ET | +146at Kalshi | 7 of 15· last 15 games47%needs 41% to break even8 of 26 at home | -17.4Not beating its price | ||
| Over 10.5 reboundsJoel Embiid · Today 7:40 PM ET | +210at MyBookie | 5 of 15· last 15 games33%needs 32% to break even5 of 26 at home | -18.3Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This player's other props in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price. A yes-or-no bet (a draw, both teams to score, a TD) shows one same-size bar per game, green when it won.