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NBAPlayer propPoints
Tyler Herro under 24.5 points
Won26 of 34last season · 76%
Best price-245Bovada
Price needs71.0%wins to break even
Every game27 of 36this season and last
Trend score-17.8Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 71% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 71% to break even | 44%–95% | 9 points betterwon 80%, needs 71% | 20.2points |
| Last 10 games | 7 of 1070%needs 71% to break even | 44%–87% | 1 points shortwon 70%, needs 71% | 20.5points |
| Last 15 games | 11 of 1573%needs 71% to break even | 52%–87% | 2 points betterwon 73%, needs 71% | 20.5points |
| This season | 1 of 250%needs 71% to break even | 12%–88% | 21 points shortwon 50%, needs 71% | 29points |
| Last season | 26 of 3476%needs 71% to break even | 63%–86% | 5 points betterwon 76%, needs 71% | 20.6points |
| Every game | 27 of 3675%needs 71% to break even | 62%–85% | 4 points betterwon 75%, needs 71% | 21.1points |
Games like tonight
Tonight MIL plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, on a back-to-back, against PHI. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 14 of 18 on the road.
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Every book's price
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Tyler Herro under 24.5 points2 books
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Points in each game against under 24.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Points | Beat 24.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 23 |  CHI | 34 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Oct 21 |  WSH | 24 | +0.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Apr 14 |  CHA | 23 | +1.5 | Won |
| Apr 12 |  ATL | 5 | +19.5 | Won |
| Apr 9 |  TOR | 15 | +9.5 | Won |
| Apr 7 | TOR | 14 | +10.5 | Won |
| Apr 1 |  BOS | 18 | +6.5 | Won |
| Mar 30 |  PHI | 30 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Mar 29 |  IND | 31 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Mar 27 |  CLE | 11 | +13.5 | Won |
| Mar 25 | CLE | 18 | +6.5 | Won |
| Mar 23 |  SA | 18 | +6.5 | Won |
| Mar 21 |  HOU | 25 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Mar 19 |  LAL | 21 | +3.5 | Won |
| Mar 17 | CHA | 20 | +4.5 | Won |
| Mar 14 |  ORL | 10 | +14.5 | Won |
| Mar 8 |  DET | 25 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Mar 6 | CHA | 33 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Mar 5 |  BKN | 25 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Mar 3 | BKN | 22 | +2.5 | Won |
| Feb 28 | HOU | 18 | +6.5 | Won |
| Feb 26 | PHI | 25 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Feb 24 |  MIL | 14 | +10.5 | Won |
| Feb 21 |  MEM | 14 | +10.5 | Won |
| Feb 20 | ATL | 24 | +0.5 | Won |
| Jan 15 | BOS | 22 | +2.5 | Won |
| Jan 13 |  PHX | 23 | +1.5 | Won |
| Jan 11 |  OKC | 19 | +5.5 | Won |
| Jan 10 | IND | 21 | +3.5 | Won |
| Jan 6 |  MIN | 17 | +7.5 | Won |
| Dec 9 | ORL | 20 | +4.5 | Won |
| Dec 3 |  DAL | 20 | +4.5 | Won |
| Dec 1 |  LAC | 22 | +2.5 | Won |
| Nov 29 | DET | 24 | +0.5 | Won |
| Nov 26 | MIL | 29 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Nov 24 | DAL | 24 | +0.5 | Won |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 17.5 pointsTyler Herro · Today 7:40 PM ET |  -222at DraftKings | 26 of 34· last season76%needs 69% to break even13 of 18 on the road | Record is last season's | -20.8Not beating its price | |
| Over 18.5 pointsTyler Herro · Today 7:40 PM ET |  -200at Bovada | 22 of 34· last season65%needs 67% to break even12 of 18 on the road | Record is last season's | -28.3Not beating its price | |
| Over 19.5 pointsTyler Herro · Today 7:40 PM ET |  -145at Polymarket | 21 of 34· last season62%needs 59% to break even11 of 18 on the road | Record is last season's | -22.3Not beating its price | |
| Over 20.5 pointsTyler Herro · Today 7:40 PM ET | -121at DraftKings | 18 of 34· last season53%needs 55% to break even8 of 18 on the road | Record is last season's | -21.7Not beating its price | |
| Over 21.5 pointsTyler Herro · Today 7:40 PM ET | +100at Bovada | 16 of 34· last season47%needs 50% to break even7 of 18 on the road | Record is last season's | -20.0Not beating its price | |
| Over 22.5 pointsTyler Herro · Today 7:40 PM ET |  +123at BetOnline | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 45% to break even7 of 18 on the road | -17.1Not beating its price | ||
| Over 23.5 pointsTyler Herro · Today 7:40 PM ET | +150at Bovada | 11 of 34· last season32%needs 40% to break even6 of 18 on the road | Record is last season's | -19.1Not beating its price | |
| Over 24.5 pointsTyler Herro · Today 7:40 PM ET |  +229at Kalshi | 8 of 34· last season24%needs 30% to break even4 of 18 on the road | Record is last season's | -16.6Not beating its price | |
| Over 25.5 pointsTyler Herro · Today 7:40 PM ET |  +215at Caesars | 3 of 10· last 10 games30%needs 32% to break even2 of 18 on the road | -20.6Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
More on Tyler Herro in this game
This player's other props in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price. A yes-or-no bet (a draw, both teams to score, a TD) shows one same-size bar per game, green when it won.