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NBAPlayer propPoints
Tyler Herro over 25.5 points
Won3 of 10last 10 games · 30%
Best price+215Caesars
Price needs31.7%wins to break even
Every game5 of 36this season and last
Trend score-20.6Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 32% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 32% to break even | 5%–56% | 12 points shortwon 20%, needs 32% | 20.2points |
| Last 10 games | 3 of 1030%needs 32% to break even | 13%–56% | 2 points shortwon 30%, needs 32% | 20.5points |
| Last 15 games | 3 of 1520%needs 32% to break even | 8%–41% | 12 points shortwon 20%, needs 32% | 20.5points |
| This season | 1 of 250%needs 32% to break even | 12%–88% | 18 points betterwon 50%, needs 32% | 29points |
| Last season | 4 of 3412%needs 32% to break even | 5%–24% | 20 points shortwon 12%, needs 32% | 20.6points |
| Every game | 5 of 3614%needs 32% to break even | 7%–26% | 18 points shortwon 14%, needs 32% | 21.1points |
Games like tonight
Tonight MIL plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, on a back-to-back, against PHI. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 2 of 18 on the road.
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Every book's price
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Tyler Herro over 25.5 points3 books
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Points in each game against over 25.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Points | Beat 25.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 23 |  CHI | 34 | +8.5 | Won |
| Oct 21 |  WSH | 24 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Apr 14 |  CHA | 23 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Apr 12 |  ATL | 5 | -20.5 | Lost |
| Apr 9 |  TOR | 15 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Apr 7 | TOR | 14 | -11.5 | Lost |
| Apr 1 |  BOS | 18 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Mar 30 |  PHI | 30 | +4.5 | Won |
| Mar 29 |  IND | 31 | +5.5 | Won |
| Mar 27 |  CLE | 11 | -14.5 | Lost |
| Mar 25 | CLE | 18 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Mar 23 |  SA | 18 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Mar 21 |  HOU | 25 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Mar 19 |  LAL | 21 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Mar 17 | CHA | 20 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Mar 14 |  ORL | 10 | -15.5 | Lost |
| Mar 8 |  DET | 25 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Mar 6 | CHA | 33 | +7.5 | Won |
| Mar 5 |  BKN | 25 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Mar 3 | BKN | 22 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Feb 28 | HOU | 18 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Feb 26 | PHI | 25 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Feb 24 |  MIL | 14 | -11.5 | Lost |
| Feb 21 |  MEM | 14 | -11.5 | Lost |
| Feb 20 | ATL | 24 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Jan 15 | BOS | 22 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Jan 13 |  PHX | 23 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Jan 11 |  OKC | 19 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Jan 10 | IND | 21 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Jan 6 |  MIN | 17 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Dec 9 | ORL | 20 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Dec 3 |  DAL | 20 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Dec 1 |  LAC | 22 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Nov 29 | DET | 24 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Nov 26 | MIL | 29 | +3.5 | Won |
| Nov 24 | DAL | 24 | -1.5 | Lost |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 17.5 pointsTyler Herro · Today 7:40 PM ET |  +190at Bovada | 4 of 10· last 10 games40%needs 34% to break even5 of 18 on the road | -17.0Not beating its price | ||
| Under 18.5 pointsTyler Herro · Today 7:40 PM ET | +150at Bovada | 7 of 15· last 15 games47%needs 40% to break even6 of 18 on the road | -14.0Not beating its price | ||
| Under 19.5 pointsTyler Herro · Today 7:40 PM ET | +120at Bovada | 7 of 15· last 15 games47%needs 45% to break even7 of 18 on the road | -18.3Not beating its price | ||
| Under 20.5 pointsTyler Herro · Today 7:40 PM ET |  +126at Polymarket | 16 of 34· last season47%needs 44% to break even10 of 18 on the road | Record is last season's | -14.1Not beating its price | |
| Under 21.5 pointsTyler Herro · Today 7:40 PM ET | -130at Bovada | 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 57% to break even11 of 18 on the road | -22.2Not beating its price | ||
| Under 22.5 pointsTyler Herro · Today 7:40 PM ET | -160at Bovada | 21 of 34· last season62%needs 62% to break even11 of 18 on the road | Record is last season's | -24.9Not beating its price | |
| Under 23.5 pointsTyler Herro · Today 7:40 PM ET | -200at Bovada | 23 of 34· last season68%needs 67% to break even12 of 18 on the road | Record is last season's | -22.4Not beating its price | |
| Under 24.5 pointsTyler Herro · Today 7:40 PM ET | -245at Bovada | 26 of 34· last season76%needs 71% to break even14 of 18 on the road | Record is last season's | -17.8Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
More on Tyler Herro in this game
This player's other props in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price. A yes-or-no bet (a draw, both teams to score, a TD) shows one same-size bar per game, green when it won.