This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 54% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 54% to break even | 44%–95% | 26 points betterwon 80%, needs 54% | 3.2threes |
| Last 10 games | 7 of 1070%needs 54% to break even | 44%–87% | 16 points betterwon 70%, needs 54% | 3threes |
| Last 15 games | 9 of 1560%needs 54% to break even | 39%–78% | 6 points betterwon 60%, needs 54% | 2.9threes |
| This season | 2 of 2100%needs 54% to break even | 42%–100% | 46 points betterwon 100%, needs 54% | 4.5threes |
| Last season |
Tonight MIL plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, on a back-to-back, against PHI. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 8 of 18 on the road.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Threes in each game against over 2.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
This player's other props in the game.
| 31%–58% |
| 10 points shortwon 44%, needs 54% |
| 2.6threes |
| Every game | 17 of 3647%needs 54% to break even | 34%–61% | 6 points shortwon 47%, needs 54% | 2.7threes |
| Date | Opponent | Threes | Beat 2.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 23 | 5 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Oct 21 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Apr 14 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 12 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 9 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 7 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 1 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 30 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 29 | 5 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Mar 27 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 25 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 23 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 21 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 19 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 17 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 14 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 8 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 6 | 8 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Mar 5 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 3 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 28 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 26 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Feb 24 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 21 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 20 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 15 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 13 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 11 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 10 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 6 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 9 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 3 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 1 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 29 | 6 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Nov 26 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 24 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| +105at BetRivers |
| 19 of 34· last season56%needs 49% to break even10 of 18 on the road |
| Record is last season's |
| -24.4Not beating its price |
| Under 3.5 threesTyler Herro · Today 7:40 PM ET | -260at Bovada | 24 of 34· last season71%needs 72% to break even13 of 18 on the road | Record is last season's | -28.3Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| -275at Bovada |
| 10 of 10· last 10 games100%needs 73% to break even15 of 18 on the road |
| -2.3Not beating its price |
| Over 3.5 assistsTyler Herro · Today 7:40 PM ET | -182at BetRivers | 13 of 15· last 15 games87%needs 65% to break even13 of 18 on the road | -3.9Not beating its price |
| Gets a double-doubleTyler Herro · Today 7:40 PM ET | +1880at DraftKings | 0 of 5· last 5 games0%needs 5% to break even0 of 18 on the road | -4.4Not beating its price |
| Over 7.5 reb + astTyler Herro · Today 7:40 PM ET | -141at BetRivers | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 59% to break even13 of 18 on the road | -4.6Not beating its price |
| Over 5.5 assistsTyler Herro · Today 7:40 PM ET | +235at FanDuel | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 30% to break even6 of 18 on the road | -7.2Not beating its price |
| Over 8.5 reb + astTyler Herro · Today 7:40 PM ET | +112at FanDuel | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 47% to break even10 of 18 on the road | -7.9Not beating its price |
| Over 9.5 reb + astTyler Herro · Today 7:40 PM ET | +186at FanDuel | 14 of 34· last season41%needs 35% to break even9 of 18 on the road | Record is last season's | -10.5Not beating its price |
| Over 4.5 assistsTyler Herro · Today 7:40 PM ET | +120at BetMGM | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 45% to break even8 of 18 on the road | -12.1Not beating its price |
| Under 18.5 pointsTyler Herro · Today 7:40 PM ET | +150at Bovada | 7 of 15· last 15 games47%needs 40% to break even6 of 18 on the road | -14.0Not beating its price |
| Over 31.5 pts + reb + astTyler Herro · Today 7:40 PM ET | +124at BetOnline | 8 of 15· last 15 games53%needs 45% to break even8 of 18 on the road | -14.6Not beating its price |
| Over 4.5 reboundsTyler Herro · Today 7:40 PM ET | +160at BetRivers | 15 of 34· last season44%needs 38% to break even7 of 18 on the road | Record is last season's | -14.7Not beating its price |
| Over 30.5 pts + reb + astTyler Herro · Today 7:40 PM ET | +110at Bovada | 8 of 15· last 15 games53%needs 48% to break even9 of 18 on the road | -16.2Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price. A yes-or-no bet (a draw, both teams to score, a TD) shows one same-size bar per game, green when it won.
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