Loading
NBAPlayer propPoints
Joel Embiid over 19.5 points
Won37 of 45last season · 82%
Best price-210BetRivers
Price needs67.7%wins to break even
Every game38 of 47this season and last
Trend score-22.4Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 68% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 68% to break even | 14%–73% | 28 points shortwon 40%, needs 68% | 18.6points |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 68% to break even | 35%–81% | 8 points shortwon 60%, needs 68% | 23.9points |
| Last 15 games | 10 of 1567%needs 68% to break even | 46%–83% | 1 points shortwon 67%, needs 68% | 24.9points |
| This season | 1 of 250%needs 68% to break even | 12%–88% | 18 points shortwon 50%, needs 68% | 18.5points |
| Last season | 37 of 4582%needs 68% to break even | 71%–90% | 14 points betterwon 82%, needs 68% | 26.4points |
| Every game | 38 of 4781%needs 68% to break even | 70%–89% | 13 points betterwon 81%, needs 68% | 26.1points |
Games like tonight
Tonight PHI plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against MIL. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 20 of 26 at home.
Create a free account to see games like tonight
Free, takes a few seconds. No card needed.
Every book's price
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Joel Embiid over 19.5 points8 books
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Points in each game against over 19.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Points | Beat 19.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 22 |  CLE | 24 | +4.5 | Won |
| Oct 20 |  NY | 13 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| May 10 | NY | 24 | +4.5 | Won |
| May 8 | NY | 18 | -1.5 | Lost |
| May 4 | NY | 14 | -5.5 | Lost |
| May 2 |  BOS | 34 | +14.5 | Won |
| Apr 30 | BOS | 19 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Apr 28 | BOS | 33 | +13.5 | Won |
| Apr 26 | BOS | 26 | +6.5 | Won |
| Apr 6 |  SA | 34 | +14.5 | Won |
| Apr 3 |  MIN | 19 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Mar 30 |  MIA | 26 | +6.5 | Won |
| Mar 28 |  CHA | 29 | +9.5 | Won |
| Mar 25 |  CHI | 35 | +15.5 | Won |
| Feb 26 | MIA | 26 | +6.5 | Won |
| Feb 24 |  IND | 27 | +7.5 | Won |
| Feb 7 |  PHX | 33 | +13.5 | Won |
| Feb 5 |  LAL | 35 | +15.5 | Won |
| Feb 2 |  LAC | 24 | +4.5 | Won |
| Jan 31 |  NO | 40 | +20.5 | Won |
| Jan 29 |  SAC | 37 | +17.5 | Won |
| Jan 27 |  MIL | 29 | +9.5 | Won |
| Jan 24 | NY | 38 | +18.5 | Won |
| Jan 22 |  HOU | 32 | +12.5 | Won |
| Jan 19 | IND | 30 | +10.5 | Won |
| Jan 16 | CLE | 33 | +13.5 | Won |
| Jan 14 | CLE | 20 | +0.5 | Won |
| Jan 12 |  TOR | 27 | +7.5 | Won |
| Jan 9 |  ORL | 22 | +2.5 | Won |
| Jan 7 |  WSH | 28 | +8.5 | Won |
| Jan 5 |  DEN | 32 | +12.5 | Won |
| Jan 3 | NY | 26 | +6.5 | Won |
| Jan 1 |  DAL | 22 | +2.5 | Won |
| Dec 30 |  MEM | 34 | +14.5 | Won |
| Dec 26 | CHI | 31 | +11.5 | Won |
| Dec 23 |  BKN | 27 | +7.5 | Won |
| Dec 14 |  ATL | 22 | +2.5 | Won |
| Dec 12 | IND | 39 | +19.5 | Won |
| Dec 7 | LAL | 16 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Dec 4 |  GS | 12 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Nov 30 | ATL | 18 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Nov 8 | TOR | 29 | +9.5 | Won |
| Nov 4 | CHI | 20 | +0.5 | Won |
| Oct 31 | BOS | 20 | +0.5 | Won |
| Oct 28 | WSH | 25 | +5.5 | Won |
| Oct 25 | CHA | 20 | +0.5 | Won |
| Oct 22 | BOS | 4 | -15.5 | Lost |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
Create a free account to see every number on a bet
Free, takes a few seconds. No card needed.
The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
More on Joel Embiid in this game
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 7.5 reboundsJoel Embiid · Today 7:40 PM ETWithout James |  +160at Bovada | 26 of 45· last season58%needs 38% to break even15 of 26 at home | Record is last season's | -2.1Not beating its price | |
| Gets a triple-doubleJoel Embiid · Today 7:40 PM ETWithout James |  +3500at FanDuel | 1 of 45· last season2%needs 3% to break even1 of 26 at home | Record is last season's | -2.4Not beating its price | |
| Over 5.5 assistsJoel Embiid · Today 7:40 PM ETWithout James | +280at FanDuel | 7 of 15· last 15 games47%needs 26% to break even6 of 26 at home | -5.2Not beating its price | ||
| Under 1.5 threesJoel Embiid · Today 7:40 PM ETWithout James |  -104at DraftKings | 30 of 45· last season67%needs 51% to break even17 of 26 at home | Record is last season's | -9.6Not beating its price | |
| Under 11.5 reb + astJoel Embiid · Today 7:40 PM ETWithout James | +155at Bovada | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 39% to break even13 of 26 at home | -10.0Not beating its price | ||
| Under 8.5 reboundsJoel Embiid · Today 7:40 PM ETWithout James |  +105at BetMGM | 27 of 45· last season60%needs 49% to break even15 of 26 at home | Record is last season's | -11.0Not beating its price | |
| Under 33.5 pts + reb + astJoel Embiid · Today 7:40 PM ETWithout James | +140at Bovada | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 42% to break even9 of 26 at home | -11.5Not beating its price | ||
| Under 12.5 reb + astJoel Embiid · Today 7:40 PM ETWithout James | +105at Bovada | 28 of 45· last season62%needs 49% to break even15 of 26 at home | Record is last season's | -12.0Not beating its price | |
| Under 13.5 reb + astJoel Embiid · Today 7:40 PM ETWithout James | -135at Bovada | 32 of 45· last season71%needs 57% to break even18 of 26 at home | Record is last season's | -12.6Not beating its price | |
| Over 4.5 assistsJoel Embiid · Today 7:40 PM ETWithout James | +132at FanDuel | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 43% to break even9 of 26 at home | -12.8Not beating its price | ||
| Over 26.5 pts + astJoel Embiid · Today 7:40 PM ETWithout James |  -118at BetRivers | 32 of 45· last season71%needs 54% to break even17 of 26 at home | Record is last season's | -14.2Not beating its price | |
| Over 29.5 pts + astJoel Embiid · Today 7:40 PM ETWithout James | +145at BetMGM | 27 of 45· last season60%needs 41% to break even15 of 26 at home | Record is last season's | -14.2Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price. A yes-or-no bet (a draw, both teams to score, a TD) shows one same-size bar per game, green when it won.