This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 44% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 44% to break even | 44%–95% | 36 points betterwon 80%, needs 44% |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 44% to break even | 35%–81% | 16 points betterwon 60%, needs 44% |
| Last 15 games | 11 of 1573%needs 44% to break even | 52%–87% | 29 points betterwon 73%, needs 44% |
| This season | 1 of 1100%needs 44% to break even | 27%–100% | 56 points betterwon 100%, needs 44% |
| Last season | 13 of 2065%needs 44% to break even | 47%–80% |
Tonight POR plays on the road, as the favorite, after a win, against SAC. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Reb + ast in each game against over 10.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Reb + ast | Beat 10.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 | 13 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 7.5 reb + astJa Morant |
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes double-doubleJa Morant |
| Every game | 14 of 2167%needs 44% to break even | 49%–81% | 23 points betterwon 67%, needs 44% |
| Jan 21 | 14 | +3.5 | Won |
| Jan 18 | 18 | +7.5 | Won |
| Jan 2 | 14 | +3.5 | Won |
| Dec 30 | 5 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Dec 28 | 7 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Dec 26 | 14 | +3.5 | Won |
| Dec 15 | 7 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Dec 12 | 14 | +3.5 | Won |
| Nov 15 | 3 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Nov 11 | 13 | +2.5 | Won |
| Nov 9 | 11 | +0.5 | Won |
| Nov 7 | 18 | +7.5 | Won |
| Nov 5 | 13 | +2.5 | Won |
| Nov 3 | 15 | +4.5 | Won |
| Oct 31 | 8 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Oct 29 | 15 | +4.5 | Won |
| Oct 27 | 12 | +1.5 | Won |
| Oct 25 | 11 | +0.5 | Won |
| Oct 24 | 8 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Oct 22 | 6 | -4.5 | Lost |
| +215at Bovada |
| 4 of 10· last 10 games40%needs 32% to break even |
| -15.0Not beating its price |
| Under 8.5 reb + astJa Morant · Today 10:10 PM ET | +130at Bovada | 7 of 20· last season35%needs 43% to break even | Record is last season's | -23.0Not beating its price |
| Under 9.5 reb + astJa Morant · Today 10:10 PM ET | -114at FanDuel | 7 of 20· last season35%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -30.9Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| +720at DraftKings |
| 8 of 15· last 15 games53%needs 12% to break even |
| 13.0Strong |
| Over 7.5 assistsJa Morant · Today 10:10 PM ET | +240at Kalshi | 11 of 15· last 15 games73%needs 29% to break even | 11.1Strong |
| Over 6.5 assistsJa Morant · Today 10:10 PM ET | +125at Bovada | 12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 44% to break even | 5.6Good |
| Over 26.5 pts + reb + astJa Morant · Today 10:10 PM ET | -130at Bovada | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 57% to break even | 1.3Slight |
| Over 24.5 pts + astJa Morant · Today 10:10 PM ET | +105at Bovada | 15 of 20· last season75%needs 49% to break even | Record is last season's | 0.5Slight |
| Over 29.5 pts + reb + astJa Morant · Today 10:10 PM ET | +146at FanDuel | 13 of 20· last season65%needs 41% to break even | Record is last season's | -0.1Not beating its price |
| Over 27.5 pts + reb + astJa Morant · Today 10:10 PM ET | -104at FanDuel | 15 of 20· last season75%needs 51% to break even | Record is last season's | -1.3Not beating its price |
| Over 25.5 pts + reb + astJa Morant · Today 10:10 PM ET | -160at Bovada | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 62% to break even | -2.8Not beating its price |
| Over 5.5 assistsJa Morant · Today 10:10 PM ET | -131at Kalshi | 16 of 20· last season80%needs 57% to break even | Record is last season's | -3.3Not beating its price |
| Over 28.5 pts + reb + astJa Morant · Today 10:10 PM ET | +110at Bovada | 14 of 20· last season70%needs 48% to break even | Record is last season's | -3.3Not beating its price |
| Over 23.5 pts + astJa Morant · Today 10:10 PM ET | -118at FanDuel | 15 of 20· last season75%needs 54% to break even | Record is last season's | -3.9Not beating its price |
| Over 24.5 pts + reb + astJa Morant · Today 10:10 PM ET | -196at FanDuel | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 66% to break even | -6.6Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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