This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 51% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 51% to break even | 44%–95% | 29 points betterwon 80%, needs 51% |
| Last 10 games | 7 of 1070%needs 51% to break even | 44%–87% | 19 points betterwon 70%, needs 51% |
| Last 15 games | 11 of 1573%needs 51% to break even | 52%–87% | 22 points betterwon 73%, needs 51% |
| This season | 0 of 10%needs 51% to break even | 0%–73% | 51 points shortwon 0%, needs 51% |
| Last season | 15 of 2075%needs 51% to break even | 57%–87% | 24 points betterwon 75%, needs 51% |
Tonight POR plays on the road, as the favorite, after a win, against SAC. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Pts + reb + ast in each game against over 27.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Pts + reb + ast | Beat 27.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 | 27 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 24.5 pts + reb + astJa Morant |
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes double-doubleJa Morant |
| Every game | 15 of 2171%needs 51% to break even | 54%–84% | 20 points betterwon 71%, needs 51% |
| Jan 21 | 37 | +9.5 | Won |
| Jan 18 | 42 | +14.5 | Won |
| Jan 2 | 30 | +2.5 | Won |
| Dec 30 | 45 | +17.5 | Won |
| Dec 28 | 28 | +0.5 | Won |
| Dec 26 | 31 | +3.5 | Won |
| Dec 15 | 19 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Dec 12 | 35 | +7.5 | Won |
| Nov 15 | 10 | -17.5 | Lost |
| Nov 11 | 29 | +1.5 | Won |
| Nov 9 | 22 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Nov 7 | 39 | +11.5 | Won |
| Nov 5 | 30 | +2.5 | Won |
| Nov 3 | 33 | +5.5 | Won |
| Oct 31 | 16 | -11.5 | Lost |
| Oct 29 | 43 | +15.5 | Won |
| Oct 27 | 35 | +7.5 | Won |
| Oct 25 | 30 | +2.5 | Won |
| Oct 24 | 20 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Oct 22 | 41 | +13.5 | Won |
| +150at Bovada |
| 5 of 20· last season25%needs 40% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -26.3Not beating its price |
| Under 25.5 pts + reb + astJa Morant · Today 10:10 PM ET | +120at Bovada | 5 of 20· last season25%needs 45% to break even | Record is last season's | -30.7Not beating its price |
| Under 26.5 pts + reb + astJa Morant · Today 10:10 PM ET | +100at Bovada | 5 of 20· last season25%needs 50% to break even | Record is last season's | -34.4Not beating its price |
| Under 27.5 pts + reb + astJa Morant · Today 10:10 PM ET | -119at DraftKings | 5 of 20· last season25%needs 54% to break even | Record is last season's | -34.8Not beating its price |
| Under 28.5 pts + reb + astJa Morant · Today 10:10 PM ET | -145at Bovada | 4 of 10· last 10 games40%needs 59% to break even | -35.3Not beating its price |
| Under 29.5 pts + reb + astJa Morant · Today 10:10 PM ET | -199at Kalshi | 6 of 15· last 15 games40%needs 67% to break even | -39.3Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| +720at DraftKings |
| 8 of 15· last 15 games53%needs 12% to break even |
| 13.0Strong |
| Over 7.5 assistsJa Morant · Today 10:10 PM ET | +240at Kalshi | 11 of 15· last 15 games73%needs 29% to break even | 11.1Strong |
| Over 11.5 reb + astJa Morant · Today 10:10 PM ET | +215at DraftKings | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 32% to break even | 6.8Good |
| Over 6.5 assistsJa Morant · Today 10:10 PM ET | +125at Bovada | 12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 44% to break even | 5.6Good |
| Over 24.5 pts + astJa Morant · Today 10:10 PM ET | +105at Bovada | 15 of 20· last season75%needs 49% to break even | Record is last season's | 0.5Slight |
| Over 10.5 reb + astJa Morant · Today 10:10 PM ET | +127at BetOnline | 11 of 15· last 15 games73%needs 44% to break even | 0.2Slight |
| Over 5.5 assistsJa Morant · Today 10:10 PM ET | -131at Kalshi | 16 of 20· last season80%needs 57% to break even | Record is last season's | -3.3Not beating its price |
| Over 23.5 pts + astJa Morant · Today 10:10 PM ET | -118at FanDuel | 15 of 20· last season75%needs 54% to break even | Record is last season's | -3.9Not beating its price |
| Over 9.5 reb + astJa Morant · Today 10:10 PM ET | -110at Bovada | 11 of 15· last 15 games73%needs 52% to break even | -6.5Not beating its price |
| Over 20.5 pointsJa Morant · Today 10:10 PM ET | +175at Fanatics | 9 of 20· last season45%needs 36% to break even | Record is last season's | -8.4Not beating its price |
| Over 22.5 pts + astJa Morant · Today 10:10 PM ET | -150at Bovada | 15 of 20· last season75%needs 60% to break even | Record is last season's | -8.6Not beating its price |
| Over 24.5 pts + rebJa Morant · Today 10:10 PM ET | +200at FanDuel | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 33% to break even | -9.7Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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