This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 41% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 41% to break even | 44%–95% | 39 points betterwon 80%, needs 41% |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 41% to break even | 35%–81% | 19 points betterwon 60%, needs 41% |
| Last 15 games | 9 of 1560%needs 41% to break even | 39%–78% | 19 points betterwon 60%, needs 41% |
| This season | 0 of 10%needs 41% to break even | 0%–73% | 41 points shortwon 0%, needs 41% |
| Last season | 13 of 2065%needs 41% to break even | 47%–80% | 24 points betterwon 65%, needs 41% |
| Every game | 13 of 2162%needs 41% to break even | 44%–77% | 21 points betterwon 62%, needs 41% |
Tonight POR plays on the road, as the favorite, after a win, against SAC. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Pts + reb + ast in each game against over 29.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Pts + reb + ast | Beat 29.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 | 27 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Jan 21 | 37 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Jan 18 | 42 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Jan 2 | 30 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 30 | 45 | +15.5 | Won | |
| Dec 28 | 28 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 26 | 31 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 15 | 19 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 12 | 35 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Nov 15 | 10 | -19.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 11 | 29 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 9 | 22 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 7 | 39 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Nov 5 | 30 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 3 | 33 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Oct 31 | 16 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 29 | 43 | +13.5 | Won | |
| Oct 27 | 35 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Oct 25 | 30 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 24 | 20 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 22 | 41 | +11.5 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This player's other props in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.