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Won13 of 82last season · 16%
Best price+152Kalshi
Price needs39.7%wins to break even
Every game13 of 83this season and last
Trend score-32.5Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 40% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 40% to break even | 5%–56% | 20 points shortwon 20%, needs 40% |
| Last 10 games | 1 of 1010%needs 40% to break even | 2%–35% | 30 points shortwon 10%, needs 40% |
| Last 15 games | 2 of 1513%needs 40% to break even | 5%–33% | 26 points shortwon 13%, needs 40% |
| This season | 0 of 10%needs 40% to break even | 0%–73% | 40 points shortwon 0%, needs 40% |
| Last season | 13 of 8216%needs 40% to break even | 10%–24% | 24 points shortwon 16%, needs 40% |
| Every game | 13 of 8316%needs 40% to break even | 10%–23% | 24 points shortwon 16%, needs 40% |
Games like tonight
Tonight UTAH plays at home, as the favorite, after a loss, against NO. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
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UTAH -5.5 (spread)2 books
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Margin in each game against utah -5.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat 5.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 |  MEM | -20 | -25.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Apr 12 |  LAL | -24 | -29.5 | Lost |
| Apr 10 | MEM | 46 | +40.5 | Won |
| Apr 7 |  NO | -19 | -24.5 | Lost |
| Apr 5 |  OKC | -35 | -40.5 | Lost |
| Apr 3 |  HOU | -34 | -39.5 | Lost |
| Apr 1 |  DEN | -13 | -18.5 | Lost |
| Mar 30 |  CLE | -9 | -14.5 | Lost |
| Mar 28 |  PHX | -25 | -30.5 | Lost |
| Mar 27 | DEN | -6 | -11.5 | Lost |
| Mar 25 |  WSH | -23 | -28.5 | Lost |
| Mar 23 |  TOR | -16 | -21.5 | Lost |
| Mar 21 |  PHI | -10 | -15.5 | Lost |
| Mar 19 |  MIL | 32 | +26.5 | Won |
| Mar 18 |  MIN | -36 | -41.5 | Lost |
| Mar 15 |  SAC | -5 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Mar 13 |  POR | -10 | -15.5 | Lost |
| Mar 11 |  NY | -17 | -22.5 | Lost |
| Mar 9 |  GS | 3 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Mar 7 | MIL | -14 | -19.5 | Lost |
| Mar 5 | WSH | 10 | +4.5 | Won |
| Mar 4 | PHI | -4 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Mar 2 | DEN | -3 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Feb 28 | NO | -10 | -15.5 | Lost |
| Feb 26 | NO | -11 | -16.5 | Lost |
| Feb 23 | HOU | -20 | -25.5 | Lost |
| Feb 20 | MEM | -9 | -14.5 | Lost |
| Feb 12 | POR | -16 | -21.5 | Lost |
| Feb 11 | SAC | 28 | +22.5 | Won |
| Feb 9 |  MIA | 4 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Feb 7 |  ORL | -3 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Feb 5 |  ATL | -2 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Feb 3 |  IND | 9 | +3.5 | Won |
| Feb 1 | TOR | -7 | -12.5 | Lost |
| Jan 30 |  BKN | -10 | -15.5 | Lost |
| Jan 28 | GS | -16 | -21.5 | Lost |
| Jan 27 |  LAC | -12 | -17.5 | Lost |
| Jan 24 | MIA | -31 | -36.5 | Lost |
| Jan 22 |  SA | -17 | -22.5 | Lost |
| Jan 20 | MIN | 5 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jan 19 | SA | -13 | -18.5 | Lost |
| Jan 17 |  DAL | -18 | -23.5 | Lost |
| Jan 15 | DAL | -22 | -27.5 | Lost |
| Jan 14 |  CHI | -2 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Jan 12 | CLE | 11 | +5.5 | Won |
| Jan 10 |  CHA | -55 | -60.5 | Lost |
| Jan 8 | DAL | 2 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Jan 7 | OKC | -4 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Jan 5 | POR | -20 | -25.5 | Lost |
| Jan 3 | GS | -9 | -14.5 | Lost |
| Jan 1 | LAC | -17 | -22.5 | Lost |
| Dec 30 |  BOS | -10 | -15.5 | Lost |
| Dec 27 | SA | 13 | +7.5 | Won |
| Dec 26 |  DET | 2 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Dec 23 | MEM | -9 | -14.5 | Lost |
| Dec 22 | DEN | -23 | -28.5 | Lost |
| Dec 20 | ORL | -1 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Dec 18 | LAL | -8 | -13.5 | Lost |
| Dec 15 | DAL | 7 | +1.5 | Won |
| Dec 12 | MEM | 4 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Dec 7 | OKC | -30 | -35.5 | Lost |
| Dec 5 | NY | -34 | -39.5 | Lost |
| Dec 4 | BKN | 13 | +7.5 | Won |
| Dec 1 | HOU | 8 | +2.5 | Won |
| Nov 30 | HOU | -28 | -33.5 | Lost |
| Nov 28 | SAC | 9 | +3.5 | Won |
| Nov 24 | GS | -17 | -22.5 | Lost |
| Nov 23 | LAL | -2 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Nov 21 | OKC | -32 | -37.5 | Lost |
| Nov 18 | LAL | -14 | -19.5 | Lost |
| Nov 16 | CHI | 3 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Nov 13 | ATL | -10 | -15.5 | Lost |
| Nov 11 | IND | 24 | +18.5 | Won |
| Nov 10 | MIN | -7 | -12.5 | Lost |
| Nov 7 | MIN | -40 | -45.5 | Lost |
| Nov 5 | DET | -11 | -16.5 | Lost |
| Nov 3 | BOS | 2 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Nov 2 | CHA | -23 | -28.5 | Lost |
| Oct 31 | PHX | -22 | -27.5 | Lost |
| Oct 29 | POR | -2 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Oct 27 | PHX | 4 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Oct 24 | SAC | -1 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Oct 22 | LAC | 21 | +15.5 | Won |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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More on Utah Jazz in this game
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.