This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 38% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 38% to break even | 27%–86% | 22 points betterwon 60%, needs 38% |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 38% to break even | 35%–81% | 22 points betterwon 60%, needs 38% |
| Last 15 games | 8 of 1553%needs 38% to break even | 33%–72% | 15 points betterwon 53%, needs 38% |
| This season | 0 of 10%needs 38% to break even | 0%–73% | 38 points shortwon 0%, needs 38% |
| Last season | 40 of 8249%needs 38% to break even | 40%–58% | 11 points betterwon 49%, needs 38% |
| Every game | 40 of 8348%needs 38% to break even | 39%–57% | 10 points betterwon 48%, needs 38% |
Tonight UTAH plays at home, as the favorite, after a loss, against NO. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total points in each game against over 245.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 231.5 game total, UTAH gamesUtah Jazz · Tomorrow 9:40 PM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 56.5 3rd quarter totalUtah Jazz · Tomorrow 9:40 PM ET |
| Date | Opponent | Total points | Beat 245.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 | 226 | -19.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Apr 12 | 238 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 10 | 248 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Apr 7 | 293 | +47.5 | Won | |
| Apr 5 | 257 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Apr 3 | 246 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 1 | 247 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 30 | 235 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 28 | 243 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 27 | 264 | +18.5 | Won | |
| Mar 25 | 243 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 23 | 270 | +24.5 | Won | |
| Mar 21 | 242 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 19 | 224 | -21.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 18 | 258 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Mar 15 | 227 | -18.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 13 | 238 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 11 | 251 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Mar 9 | 235 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 7 | 212 | -33.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 5 | 234 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 4 | 208 | -37.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 2 | 253 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Feb 28 | 220 | -25.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 26 | 247 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Feb 23 | 230 | -15.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 20 | 237 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 12 | 254 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Feb 11 | 214 | -31.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 9 | 226 | -19.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 7 | 237 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 5 | 240 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 3 | 253 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Feb 1 | 207 | -38.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 30 | 208 | -37.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 28 | 264 | +18.5 | Won | |
| Jan 27 | 218 | -27.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 24 | 263 | +17.5 | Won | |
| Jan 22 | 235 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 20 | 249 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Jan 19 | 233 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 17 | 258 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Jan 15 | 266 | +20.5 | Won | |
| Jan 14 | 254 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Jan 12 | 235 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 10 | 245 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 8 | 230 | -15.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 7 | 254 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Jan 5 | 254 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Jan 3 | 237 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 1 | 219 | -26.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 30 | 248 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Dec 27 | 241 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 26 | 260 | +14.5 | Won | |
| Dec 23 | 265 | +19.5 | Won | |
| Dec 22 | 247 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 20 | 255 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Dec 18 | 278 | +32.5 | Won | |
| Dec 15 | 273 | +27.5 | Won | |
| Dec 12 | 256 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Dec 7 | 232 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 5 | 258 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Dec 4 | 233 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 1 | 258 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Nov 30 | 230 | -15.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 28 | 247 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 24 | 251 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Nov 23 | 214 | -31.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 21 | 256 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Nov 18 | 266 | +20.5 | Won | |
| Nov 16 | 297 | +51.5 | Won | |
| Nov 13 | 254 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Nov 11 | 280 | +34.5 | Won | |
| Nov 10 | 233 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 7 | 234 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 5 | 217 | -28.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 3 | 208 | -37.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 2 | 229 | -16.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 31 | 214 | -31.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 29 | 270 | +24.5 | Won | |
| Oct 27 | 272 | +26.5 | Won | |
| Oct 24 | 209 | -36.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 22 | 237 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| 20 of 82· last season24%needs 37% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -28.5Not beating its price |
| Under 232.5 game total, UTAH gamesUtah Jazz · Tomorrow 9:40 PM ET | +166at Kalshi | 21 of 82· last season26%needs 38% to break even | Record is last season's | -28.7Not beating its price |
| Under 234.5 game total, UTAH gamesUtah Jazz · Tomorrow 9:40 PM ET | +137at Polymarket | 26 of 82· last season32%needs 42% to break even | Record is last season's | -31.8Not beating its price |
| Under 236.5 game total, UTAH gamesUtah Jazz · Tomorrow 9:40 PM ET | +109at Kalshi | 30 of 82· last season37%needs 48% to break even | Record is last season's | -33.9Not beating its price |
| Under 237.5 game total, UTAH gamesUtah Jazz · Tomorrow 9:40 PM ET | +107at Polymarket | 34 of 82· last season41%needs 48% to break even | Record is last season's | -33.3Not beating its price |
| Under 238.5 game total, UTAH gamesUtah Jazz · Tomorrow 9:40 PM ET | -103at Kalshi | 36 of 82· last season44%needs 51% to break even | Record is last season's | -30.7Not beating its price |
| Under 239.5 game total, UTAH gamesUtah Jazz · Tomorrow 9:40 PM ET | -119at Polymarket | 36 of 82· last season44%needs 54% to break even | Record is last season's | -34.0Not beating its price |
| Under 240.5 game total, UTAH gamesUtah Jazz · Tomorrow 9:40 PM ET | -129at Polymarket | 37 of 82· last season45%needs 56% to break even | Record is last season's | -35.7Not beating its price |
| Under 241.5 game total, UTAH gamesUtah Jazz · Tomorrow 9:40 PM ET | -105at Hard Rock | 38 of 82· last season46%needs 51% to break even | Record is last season's | -30.6Not beating its price |
| Under 242.5 game total, UTAH gamesUtah Jazz · Tomorrow 9:40 PM ET | -145at Polymarket | 39 of 82· last season48%needs 59% to break even | Record is last season's | -36.5Not beating its price |
| Under 244.5 game total, UTAH gamesUtah Jazz · Tomorrow 9:40 PM ET | -164at Polymarket | 41 of 82· last season50%needs 62% to break even | Record is last season's | -34.0Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 10 of 10· last 10 games100%needs 63% to break even |
| 9.8Strong |
| Over 60.5 3rd quarter totalUtah Jazz · Tomorrow 9:40 PM ET | +124at Kalshi | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 45% to break even | 3.1Good |
| Under 114.5 team totalUtah Jazz · Tomorrow 9:40 PM ET | +189at Kalshi | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 35% to break even | -1.5Not beating its price |
| Under 118.5 team totalUtah Jazz · Tomorrow 9:40 PM ET | +124at Kalshi | 45 of 82· last season55%needs 45% to break even | Record is last season's | -2.5Not beating its price |
| Under 116.5 team totalUtah Jazz · Tomorrow 9:40 PM ET | +159at Kalshi | 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 39% to break even | -2.6Not beating its price |
| Over 62.5 3rd quarter totalUtah Jazz · Tomorrow 9:40 PM ET | +181at Kalshi | 41 of 82· last season50%needs 36% to break even | Record is last season's | -4.7Not beating its price |
| Under 60.5 1st quarter totalUtah Jazz · Tomorrow 9:40 PM ET | +119at Kalshi | 42 of 82· last season51%needs 46% to break even | Record is last season's | -8.5Not beating its price |
| Under 120.5 team totalUtah Jazz · Tomorrow 9:40 PM ET | -112at Kalshi | 50 of 82· last season61%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -8.9Not beating its price |
| Under 64.5 1st quarter totalUtah Jazz · Tomorrow 9:40 PM ET | -175at Kalshi | 56 of 82· last season68%needs 64% to break even | Record is last season's | -10.1Not beating its price |
| Under 127.5 1st half totalUtah Jazz · Tomorrow 9:40 PM ET | -191at Kalshi | 63 of 82· last season77%needs 66% to break even | Record is last season's | -12.7Not beating its price |
| Under 119.5 1st half totalUtah Jazz · Tomorrow 9:40 PM ET | +140at Kalshi | 40 of 82· last season49%needs 42% to break even | Record is last season's | -12.9Not beating its price |
| Under 122.5 team totalUtah Jazz · Tomorrow 9:40 PM ET | -148at Kalshi | 54 of 82· last season66%needs 60% to break even | Record is last season's | -14.3Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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