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NBAGame lineTeam total
Under 118.5 (team total)
Won45 of 82last season · 55%
Best price+129Kalshi
Price needs43.7%wins to break even
Every game46 of 83this season and last
Trend score-1.6Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 44% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 44% to break even | 27%–86% | 16 points betterwon 60%, needs 44% |
| Last 10 games | 7 of 1070%needs 44% to break even | 44%–87% | 26 points betterwon 70%, needs 44% |
| Last 15 games | 10 of 1567%needs 44% to break even | 46%–83% | 23 points betterwon 67%, needs 44% |
| This season | 1 of 1100%needs 44% to break even | 27%–100% | 56 points betterwon 100%, needs 44% |
| Last season | 45 of 8255%needs 44% to break even | 46%–64% | 11 points betterwon 55%, needs 44% |
| Every game | 46 of 8355%needs 44% to break even | 46%–64% | 12 points betterwon 55%, needs 44% |
Games like tonight
Tonight UTAH plays at home, as the favorite, after a loss, against NO. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Under 118.5 (team total)1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
UTAH points in each game against under 118.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | UTAH points | Beat 118.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 |  MEM | 103 | +15.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Apr 12 |  LAL | 107 | +11.5 | Won |
| Apr 10 | MEM | 147 | -28.5 | Lost |
| Apr 7 |  NO | 137 | -18.5 | Lost |
| Apr 5 |  OKC | 111 | +7.5 | Won |
| Apr 3 |  HOU | 106 | +12.5 | Won |
| Apr 1 |  DEN | 117 | +1.5 | Won |
| Mar 30 |  CLE | 113 | +5.5 | Won |
| Mar 28 |  PHX | 109 | +9.5 | Won |
| Mar 27 | DEN | 129 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Mar 25 |  WSH | 110 | +8.5 | Won |
| Mar 23 |  TOR | 127 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Mar 21 |  PHI | 116 | +2.5 | Won |
| Mar 19 |  MIL | 128 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Mar 18 |  MIN | 111 | +7.5 | Won |
| Mar 15 |  SAC | 111 | +7.5 | Won |
| Mar 13 |  POR | 114 | +4.5 | Won |
| Mar 11 |  NY | 117 | +1.5 | Won |
| Mar 9 |  GS | 119 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Mar 7 | MIL | 99 | +19.5 | Won |
| Mar 5 | WSH | 122 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Mar 4 | PHI | 102 | +16.5 | Won |
| Mar 2 | DEN | 125 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Feb 28 | NO | 105 | +13.5 | Won |
| Feb 26 | NO | 118 | +0.5 | Won |
| Feb 23 | HOU | 105 | +13.5 | Won |
| Feb 20 | MEM | 114 | +4.5 | Won |
| Feb 12 | POR | 119 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Feb 11 | SAC | 121 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Feb 9 |  MIA | 115 | +3.5 | Won |
| Feb 7 |  ORL | 117 | +1.5 | Won |
| Feb 5 |  ATL | 119 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Feb 3 |  IND | 131 | -12.5 | Lost |
| Feb 1 | TOR | 100 | +18.5 | Won |
| Jan 30 |  BKN | 99 | +19.5 | Won |
| Jan 28 | GS | 124 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Jan 27 |  LAC | 103 | +15.5 | Won |
| Jan 24 | MIA | 116 | +2.5 | Won |
| Jan 22 |  SA | 109 | +9.5 | Won |
| Jan 20 | MIN | 127 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Jan 19 | SA | 110 | +8.5 | Won |
| Jan 17 |  DAL | 120 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Jan 15 | DAL | 122 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Jan 14 |  CHI | 126 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Jan 12 | CLE | 123 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Jan 10 |  CHA | 95 | +23.5 | Won |
| Jan 8 | DAL | 116 | +2.5 | Won |
| Jan 7 | OKC | 125 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Jan 5 | POR | 117 | +1.5 | Won |
| Jan 3 | GS | 114 | +4.5 | Won |
| Jan 1 | LAC | 101 | +17.5 | Won |
| Dec 30 |  BOS | 119 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Dec 27 | SA | 127 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Dec 26 |  DET | 131 | -12.5 | Lost |
| Dec 23 | MEM | 128 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Dec 22 | DEN | 112 | +6.5 | Won |
| Dec 20 | ORL | 127 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Dec 18 | LAL | 135 | -16.5 | Lost |
| Dec 15 | DAL | 140 | -21.5 | Lost |
| Dec 12 | MEM | 130 | -11.5 | Lost |
| Dec 7 | OKC | 101 | +17.5 | Won |
| Dec 5 | NY | 112 | +6.5 | Won |
| Dec 4 | BKN | 123 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Dec 1 | HOU | 133 | -14.5 | Lost |
| Nov 30 | HOU | 101 | +17.5 | Won |
| Nov 28 | SAC | 128 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Nov 24 | GS | 117 | +1.5 | Won |
| Nov 23 | LAL | 106 | +12.5 | Won |
| Nov 21 | OKC | 112 | +6.5 | Won |
| Nov 18 | LAL | 126 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Nov 16 | CHI | 150 | -31.5 | Lost |
| Nov 13 | ATL | 122 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Nov 11 | IND | 152 | -33.5 | Lost |
| Nov 10 | MIN | 113 | +5.5 | Won |
| Nov 7 | MIN | 97 | +21.5 | Won |
| Nov 5 | DET | 103 | +15.5 | Won |
| Nov 3 | BOS | 105 | +13.5 | Won |
| Nov 2 | CHA | 103 | +15.5 | Won |
| Oct 31 | PHX | 96 | +22.5 | Won |
| Oct 29 | POR | 134 | -15.5 | Lost |
| Oct 27 | PHX | 138 | -19.5 | Lost |
| Oct 24 | SAC | 104 | +14.5 | Won |
| Oct 22 | LAC | 129 | -10.5 | Lost |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 118.5 team totalUtah Jazz · Tomorrow 9:40 PM ET |  -168at Kalshi | 37 of 82· last season45%needs 63% to break even | Record is last season's | -40.4Not beating its price | |
| Over 120.5 team totalUtah Jazz · Tomorrow 9:40 PM ET | -121at Kalshi | 32 of 82· last season39%needs 55% to break even | Record is last season's | -34.2Not beating its price | |
| Over 122.5 team totalUtah Jazz · Tomorrow 9:40 PM ET | +114at Kalshi | 28 of 82· last season34%needs 47% to break even | Record is last season's | -27.6Not beating its price | |
| Over 124.5 team totalUtah Jazz · Tomorrow 9:40 PM ET | +134at Kalshi | 25 of 82· last season30%needs 43% to break even | Record is last season's | -24.5Not beating its price | |
| Over 126.5 team totalUtah Jazz · Tomorrow 9:40 PM ET | +173at Kalshi | 21 of 82· last season26%needs 37% to break even | Record is last season's | -19.7Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
More on Utah Jazz in this game
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.