This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 41% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 41% to break even | 27%–86% | 19 points betterwon 60%, needs 41% |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 41% to break even | 35%–81% | 19 points betterwon 60%, needs 41% |
| Last 15 games | 8 of 1553%needs 41% to break even | 33%–72% | 13 points betterwon 53%, needs 41% |
| This season | 0 of 10%needs 41% to break even | 0%–73% | 41 points shortwon 0%, needs 41% |
| Last season | 41 of 8250%needs 41% to break even | 41%–59% | 9 points betterwon 50%, needs 41% |
| Every game | 41 of 8349%needs 41% to break even | 41%–58% | 9 points betterwon 49%, needs 41% |
Tonight UTAH plays at home, as the favorite, after a loss, against NO. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total points in each game against over 244.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Total points | Beat 244.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 | 226 | -18.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Apr 12 | 238 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 10 | 248 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Apr 7 | 293 | +48.5 | Won | |
| Apr 5 | 257 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Apr 3 | 246 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 1 | 247 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Mar 30 | 235 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 28 | 243 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 27 | 264 | +19.5 | Won | |
| Mar 25 | 243 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 23 | 270 | +25.5 | Won | |
| Mar 21 | 242 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 19 | 224 | -20.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 18 | 258 | +13.5 | Won | |
| Mar 15 | 227 | -17.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 13 | 238 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 11 | 251 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Mar 9 | 235 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 7 | 212 | -32.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 5 | 234 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 4 | 208 | -36.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 2 | 253 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Feb 28 | 220 | -24.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 26 | 247 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Feb 23 | 230 | -14.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 20 | 237 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 12 | 254 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Feb 11 | 214 | -30.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 9 | 226 | -18.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 7 | 237 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 5 | 240 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 3 | 253 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Feb 1 | 207 | -37.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 30 | 208 | -36.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 28 | 264 | +19.5 | Won | |
| Jan 27 | 218 | -26.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 24 | 263 | +18.5 | Won | |
| Jan 22 | 235 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 20 | 249 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Jan 19 | 233 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 17 | 258 | +13.5 | Won | |
| Jan 15 | 266 | +21.5 | Won | |
| Jan 14 | 254 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Jan 12 | 235 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 10 | 245 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 8 | 230 | -14.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 7 | 254 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Jan 5 | 254 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Jan 3 | 237 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 1 | 219 | -25.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 30 | 248 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Dec 27 | 241 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 26 | 260 | +15.5 | Won | |
| Dec 23 | 265 | +20.5 | Won | |
| Dec 22 | 247 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Dec 20 | 255 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Dec 18 | 278 | +33.5 | Won | |
| Dec 15 | 273 | +28.5 | Won | |
| Dec 12 | 256 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Dec 7 | 232 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 5 | 258 | +13.5 | Won | |
| Dec 4 | 233 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 1 | 258 | +13.5 | Won | |
| Nov 30 | 230 | -14.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 28 | 247 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Nov 24 | 251 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Nov 23 | 214 | -30.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 21 | 256 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Nov 18 | 266 | +21.5 | Won | |
| Nov 16 | 297 | +52.5 | Won | |
| Nov 13 | 254 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Nov 11 | 280 | +35.5 | Won | |
| Nov 10 | 233 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 7 | 234 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 5 | 217 | -27.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 3 | 208 | -36.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 2 | 229 | -15.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 31 | 214 | -30.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 29 | 270 | +25.5 | Won | |
| Oct 27 | 272 | +27.5 | Won | |
| Oct 24 | 209 | -35.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 22 | 237 | -7.5 | Lost | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.