This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 44% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 44% to break even | 5%–56% | 24 points shortwon 20%, needs 44% |
| Last 10 games | 2 of 1020%needs 44% to break even | 7%–46% | 24 points shortwon 20%, needs 44% |
| Last 15 games | 4 of 1527%needs 44% to break even | 13%–48% | 17 points shortwon 27%, needs 44% |
| This season | 0 of 10%needs 44% to break even | 0%–73% | 44 points shortwon 0%, needs 44% |
| Last season | 25 of 8230%needs 44% to break even | 23%–39% | 13 points shortwon 30%, needs 44% |
| Every game | 25 of 8330%needs 44% to break even | 23%–39% | 14 points shortwon 30%, needs 44% |
Tonight UTAH plays at home, as the favorite, after a loss, against NO. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
2Q margin in each game against utah 2q -3.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 234.5 game total, UTAH gamesUtah Jazz · Today 9:40 PM ET |
| Date | Opponent | 2Q margin | Beat 3.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 | -15 | -18.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Apr 12 | -7 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 10 | 19 | +15.5 | Won | |
| Apr 7 | -2 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 5 | -6 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 3 | -7 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 1 | -3 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 30 | -8 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 28 | -10 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 27 | 11 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Mar 25 | -14 | -17.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 23 | -4 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 21 | 10 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Mar 19 | 9 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Mar 18 | -2 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 15 | -7 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 13 | -18 | -21.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 11 | -6 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 9 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 7 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 5 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 4 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 2 | 0 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 28 | -20 | -23.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 26 | -18 | -21.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 23 | -5 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 20 | 8 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Feb 12 | -1 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 11 | 8 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Feb 9 | 15 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Feb 7 | 14 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Feb 5 | -2 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 3 | 7 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Feb 1 | 10 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Jan 30 | -1 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 28 | -3 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 27 | -10 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 24 | -20 | -23.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 22 | -12 | -15.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 20 | 6 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jan 19 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 17 | 1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 15 | -9 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 14 | -12 | -15.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 12 | -20 | -23.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 10 | -8 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 8 | -2 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 7 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 5 | -11 | -14.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 3 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 1 | 11 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Dec 30 | -2 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 27 | 18 | +14.5 | Won | |
| Dec 26 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 23 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 22 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 20 | -7 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 18 | -4 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 15 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 12 | -8 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 7 | -1 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 5 | 7 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Dec 4 | 0 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 1 | 12 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Nov 30 | -10 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 28 | 8 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Nov 24 | -21 | -24.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 23 | -5 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 21 | -13 | -16.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 18 | -5 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 16 | -9 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 13 | -4 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 11 | 9 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Nov 10 | -2 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 7 | -6 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 5 | 0 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 3 | -6 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 2 | -9 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 31 | 6 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Oct 29 | -16 | -19.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 27 | -9 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 24 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 22 | 7 | +3.5 | Won | |
| 13 of 15· last 15 games87%needs 62% to break even |
| -1.6Not beating its price |
| Over 237.5 game total, UTAH gamesUtah Jazz · Today 9:40 PM ET | -123at Polymarket | 12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 55% to break even | -2.4Not beating its price |
| Over 241.5 game total, UTAH gamesUtah Jazz · Today 9:40 PM ET | +116at Polymarket | 11 of 15· last 15 games73%needs 46% to break even | -2.5Not beating its price |
| Over 240.5 game total, UTAH gamesUtah Jazz · Today 9:40 PM ET | +114at Kalshi | 11 of 15· last 15 games73%needs 47% to break even | -2.7Not beating its price |
| Over 242.5 game total, UTAH gamesUtah Jazz · Today 9:40 PM ET | +126at Polymarket | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 44% to break even | -2.7Not beating its price |
| Over 245.5 game total, UTAH gamesUtah Jazz · Today 9:40 PM ET | +162at Polymarket | 40 of 82· last season49%needs 38% to break even | Record is last season's | -3.6Not beating its price |
| Over 236.5 game total, UTAH gamesUtah Jazz · Today 9:40 PM ET | -137at Kalshi | 12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 58% to break even | -3.8Not beating its price |
| Over 244.5 game total, UTAH gamesUtah Jazz · Today 9:40 PM ET | +155at Polymarket | 41 of 82· last season50%needs 39% to break even | Record is last season's | -4.3Not beating its price |
| Under 118.5 team totalUtah Jazz · Today 9:40 PM ET | +114at Kalshi | 45 of 82· last season55%needs 47% to break even | Record is last season's | -4.5Not beating its price |
| Under 116.5 team totalUtah Jazz · Today 9:40 PM ET | +146at Kalshi | 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 41% to break even | -4.6Not beating its price |
| Over 239.5 game total, UTAH gamesUtah Jazz · Today 9:40 PM ET | +103at Polymarket | 11 of 15· last 15 games73%needs 49% to break even | -4.8Not beating its price |
| Over 246.5 game total, UTAH gamesUtah Jazz · Today 9:40 PM ET | +173at Kalshi | 39 of 82· last season48%needs 37% to break even | Record is last season's | -6.3Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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