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NBAPlayer propAssists
Dyson Daniels under 3.5 assists
Won20 of 82last season · 24%
Best price+146Kalshi
Price needs40.7%wins to break even
Every game21 of 84this season and last
Trend score-25.1Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 41% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 41% to break even | 14%–73% | 1 points shortwon 40%, needs 41% | 3.6assists |
| Last 10 games | 3 of 1030%needs 41% to break even | 13%–56% | 11 points shortwon 30%, needs 41% | 5.5assists |
| Last 15 games | 4 of 1527%needs 41% to break even | 13%–48% | 14 points shortwon 27%, needs 41% | 5.2assists |
| This season | 1 of 250%needs 41% to break even | 12%–88% | 9 points betterwon 50%, needs 41% | 3.5assists |
| Last season | 20 of 8224%needs 41% to break even | 17%–33% | 16 points shortwon 24%, needs 41% | 5.8assists |
| Every game | 21 of 8425%needs 41% to break even | 18%–33% | 16 points shortwon 25%, needs 41% | 5.8assists |
Games like tonight
Tonight ATL plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, on a back-to-back, against HOU. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 10 of 40 at home.
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Every book's price
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Dyson Daniels under 3.5 assists1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Assists in each game against under 3.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Assists | Beat 3.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 23 |  CHA | 4 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Oct 21 |  ORL | 3 | +0.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Apr 30 |  NY | 0 | +3.5 | Won |
| Apr 28 | NY | 5 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Apr 25 | NY | 6 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Apr 23 | NY | 6 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Apr 20 | NY | 2 | +1.5 | Won |
| Apr 18 | NY | 11 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Apr 10 |  CLE | 12 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Apr 8 | CLE | 6 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Apr 6 | NY | 3 | +0.5 | Won |
| Apr 3 |  BKN | 6 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Apr 1 | ORL | 4 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Mar 30 |  BOS | 5 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Mar 27 | BOS | 5 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Mar 25 |  DET | 4 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Mar 23 |  MEM | 4 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Mar 21 |  GS | 6 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Mar 20 |  HOU | 1 | +2.5 | Won |
| Mar 18 |  DAL | 4 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Mar 16 | ORL | 3 | +0.5 | Won |
| Mar 14 |  MIL | 4 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Mar 10 | DAL | 10 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Mar 7 |  PHI | 4 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Mar 4 | MIL | 3 | +0.5 | Won |
| Mar 1 |  POR | 7 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Feb 26 |  WSH | 11 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Feb 24 | WSH | 7 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Feb 22 | BKN | 8 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Feb 20 |  MIA | 3 | +0.5 | Won |
| Feb 19 | PHI | 2 | +1.5 | Won |
| Feb 11 | CHA | 4 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Feb 7 | CHA | 3 | +0.5 | Won |
| Feb 5 |  UTAH | 6 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Feb 3 | MIA | 5 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Jan 31 |  IND | 7 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Jan 29 | HOU | 7 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Jan 28 | BOS | 9 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Jan 26 | IND | 9 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Jan 23 |  PHX | 4 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jan 21 | MEM | 8 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Jan 19 | MIL | 10 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Jan 15 | POR | 1 | +2.5 | Won |
| Jan 13 |  LAL | 5 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Jan 11 | GS | 9 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Jan 9 |  DEN | 10 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Jan 7 |  NO | 8 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Jan 5 |  TOR | 3 | +0.5 | Won |
| Jan 3 | TOR | 12 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Jan 2 | NY | 8 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Dec 31 |  MIN | 9 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Dec 29 |  OKC | 7 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Dec 27 | NY | 9 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Dec 26 | MIA | 3 | +0.5 | Won |
| Dec 21 |  CHI | 9 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Dec 19 |  SA | 3 | +0.5 | Won |
| Dec 18 | CHA | 6 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Dec 14 | PHI | 4 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Dec 12 | DET | 5 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Dec 6 | WSH | 3 | +0.5 | Won |
| Dec 5 | DEN | 8 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Dec 3 |  LAC | 2 | +1.5 | Won |
| Dec 1 | DET | 5 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Nov 30 | PHI | 8 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Nov 28 | CLE | 9 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Nov 25 | WSH | 7 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Nov 23 | CHA | 6 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Nov 22 | NO | 4 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Nov 20 | SA | 5 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Nov 18 | DET | 6 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Nov 16 | PHX | 12 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Nov 13 | UTAH | 3 | +0.5 | Won |
| Nov 12 |  SAC | 7 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Nov 10 | LAC | 8 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Nov 8 | LAL | 13 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Nov 7 | TOR | 8 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Nov 4 | ORL | 6 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Nov 2 | CLE | 3 | +0.5 | Won |
| Oct 31 | IND | 6 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Oct 29 | BKN | 6 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Oct 27 | CHI | 2 | +1.5 | Won |
| Oct 25 | OKC | 1 | +2.5 | Won |
| Oct 24 | ORL | 4 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Oct 22 | TOR | 2 | +1.5 | Won |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 3.5 assistsDyson Daniels · Today 8:40 PM ET |  -175at Kalshi | 62 of 82· last season76%needs 64% to break even30 of 40 at home | Record is last season's | -13.9Not beating its price | |
| Over 4.5 assistsDyson Daniels · Today 8:40 PM ET |  -106at FanDuel | 51 of 82· last season62%needs 51% to break even25 of 40 at home | Record is last season's | -13.7Not beating its price | |
| Over 5.5 assistsDyson Daniels · Today 8:40 PM ET | +229at Kalshi | 43 of 82· last season52%needs 30% to break even24 of 40 at home | Record is last season's | -4.6Not beating its price | |
| Over 6.5 assistsDyson Daniels · Today 8:40 PM ET |  +305at Caesars | 31 of 82· last season38%needs 25% to break even17 of 40 at home | Record is last season's | -13.6Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
More on Dyson Daniels in this game
This player's other props in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price. A yes-or-no bet (a draw, both teams to score, a TD) shows one same-size bar per game, green when it won.