This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 64% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 64% to break even | 27%–86% | 4 points shortwon 60%, needs 64% | 3.6assists |
| Last 10 games | 7 of 1070%needs 64% to break even | 44%–87% | 6 points betterwon 70%, needs 64% | 5.5assists |
| Last 15 games | 11 of 1573%needs 64% to break even | 52%–87% | 10 points betterwon 73%, needs 64% | 5.2assists |
| This season | 1 of 250%needs 64% to break even | 12%–88% | 14 points shortwon 50%, needs 64% | 3.5assists |
| Last season |
Tonight ATL plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, on a back-to-back, against HOU. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 30 of 40 at home.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Assists in each game against over 3.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
This player's other props in the game.
| 67%–83% |
| 12 points betterwon 76%, needs 64% |
| 5.8assists |
| Every game | 63 of 8475%needs 64% to break even | 67%–82% | 11 points betterwon 75%, needs 64% | 5.8assists |
| Date | Opponent | Assists | Beat 3.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 23 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 21 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Apr 30 | 0 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 28 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 25 | 6 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Apr 23 | 6 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Apr 20 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 18 | 11 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Apr 10 | 12 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Apr 8 | 6 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Apr 6 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 3 | 6 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Apr 1 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 30 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 27 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 25 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 23 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 21 | 6 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Mar 20 | 1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 18 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 16 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 14 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 10 | 10 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Mar 7 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 4 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 1 | 7 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Feb 26 | 11 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Feb 24 | 7 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Feb 22 | 8 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Feb 20 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 19 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 11 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 7 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 5 | 6 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Feb 3 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 31 | 7 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Jan 29 | 7 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Jan 28 | 9 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Jan 26 | 9 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Jan 23 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 21 | 8 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Jan 19 | 10 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Jan 15 | 1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 13 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 11 | 9 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Jan 9 | 10 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Jan 7 | 8 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Jan 5 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 3 | 12 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Jan 2 | 8 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Dec 31 | 9 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Dec 29 | 7 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Dec 27 | 9 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Dec 26 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 21 | 9 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Dec 19 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 18 | 6 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Dec 14 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 12 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 6 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 5 | 8 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Dec 3 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 1 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 30 | 8 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Nov 28 | 9 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Nov 25 | 7 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Nov 23 | 6 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Nov 22 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 20 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 18 | 6 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Nov 16 | 12 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Nov 13 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 12 | 7 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Nov 10 | 8 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Nov 8 | 13 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Nov 7 | 8 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Nov 4 | 6 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Nov 2 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 31 | 6 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Oct 29 | 6 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Oct 27 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 25 | 1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 24 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 22 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| +146at Kalshi |
| 20 of 82· last season24%needs 41% to break even10 of 40 at home |
| Record is last season's |
| -25.1Not beating its price |
| Under 4.5 assistsDyson Daniels · Today 8:40 PM ET | +100at BetMGM | 31 of 82· last season38%needs 50% to break even15 of 40 at home | Record is last season's | -24.5Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| +420at FanDuel |
| 33 of 82· last season40%needs 19% to break even19 of 40 at home |
| Record is last season's |
| 1.3Slight |
| Gets a triple-doubleDyson Daniels · Today 8:40 PM ET | +5500at FanDuel | 1 of 10· last 10 games10%needs 2% to break even1 of 40 at home | -0.5Not beating its price |
| Over 12.5 reb + astDyson Daniels · Today 8:40 PM ET | +150at BetMGM | 46 of 82· last season56%needs 40% to break even25 of 40 at home | Record is last season's | -5.9Not beating its price |
| Over 22.5 pts + reb + astDyson Daniels · Today 8:40 PM ET | -102at FanDuel | 50 of 82· last season61%needs 50% to break even26 of 40 at home | Record is last season's | -6.7Not beating its price |
| Over 7.5 reboundsDyson Daniels · Today 8:40 PM ET | +200at FanDuel | 33 of 82· last season40%needs 33% to break even20 of 40 at home | Record is last season's | -6.9Not beating its price |
| Gets a double-doubleDyson Daniels · Today 8:40 PM ET | +580at FanDuel | 15 of 82· last season18%needs 15% to break even8 of 40 at home | Record is last season's | -8.2Not beating its price |
| Over 20.5 pts + reb + astDyson Daniels · Today 8:40 PM ET | -196at BetOnline | 56 of 82· last season68%needs 66% to break even29 of 40 at home | Record is last season's | -10.6Not beating its price |
| Over 24.5 pts + reb + astDyson Daniels · Today 8:40 PM ET | +158at FanDuel | 43 of 82· last season52%needs 39% to break even24 of 40 at home | Record is last season's | -13.1Not beating its price |
| Over 14.5 pointsDyson Daniels · Today 8:40 PM ET | +266at Kalshi | 24 of 82· last season29%needs 27% to break even11 of 40 at home | Record is last season's | -13.2Not beating its price |
| Over 0.5 threesDyson Daniels · Today 8:40 PM ET | +170at BetMGM | 8 of 15· last 15 games53%needs 37% to break even16 of 40 at home | -13.6Not beating its price |
| Over 11.5 reb + astDyson Daniels · Today 8:40 PM ET | +102at DraftKings | 50 of 82· last season61%needs 50% to break even28 of 40 at home | Record is last season's | -13.8Not beating its price |
| Over 6.5 reboundsDyson Daniels · Today 8:40 PM ET | +110at BetOnline | 43 of 82· last season52%needs 48% to break even24 of 40 at home | Record is last season's | -13.9Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price. A yes-or-no bet (a draw, both teams to score, a TD) shows one same-size bar per game, green when it won.
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