This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 54% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 5 of 5100%needs 54% to break even | 65%–100% | 46 points betterwon 100%, needs 54% |
| Last 10 games | 9 of 1090%needs 54% to break even | 65%–98% | 36 points betterwon 90%, needs 54% |
| Last 15 games | 10 of 1567%needs 54% to break even | 46%–83% | 12 points betterwon 67%, needs 54% |
| This season | 1 of 1100%needs 54% to break even | 27%–100% | 46 points betterwon 100%, needs 54% |
| Last season | 59 of 10656%needs 54% to break even | 48%–63% | 1 points betterwon 56%, needs 54% |
| Every game | 60 of 10756%needs 54% to break even | 48%–64% | 2 points betterwon 56%, needs 54% |
Tonight SA plays at home, as the favorite, after a loss, against HOU. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total points in each game against under 228.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Total points | Beat 228.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 20 | 220 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Jun 13 | 184 | +44.5 | Won | |
| Jun 10 | 213 | +15.5 | Won | |
| Jun 8 | 226 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jun 5 | 209 | +19.5 | Won | |
| Jun 3 | 200 | +28.5 | Won | |
| May 30 | 214 | +14.5 | Won | |
| May 28 | 209 | +19.5 | Won | |
| May 26 | 241 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| May 24 | 185 | +43.5 | Won | |
| May 22 | 231 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| May 20 | 235 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| May 18 | 237 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| May 15 | 248 | -19.5 | Lost | |
| May 12 | 223 | +5.5 | Won | |
| May 10 | 223 | +5.5 | Won | |
| May 8 | 223 | +5.5 | Won | |
| May 6 | 228 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 4 | 206 | +22.5 | Won | |
| Apr 28 | 209 | +19.5 | Won | |
| Apr 26 | 207 | +21.5 | Won | |
| Apr 24 | 228 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 21 | 209 | +19.5 | Won | |
| Apr 19 | 209 | +19.5 | Won | |
| Apr 12 | 246 | -17.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 10 | 259 | -30.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 8 | 213 | +15.5 | Won | |
| Apr 6 | 217 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Apr 4 | 270 | -41.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 2 | 217 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Apr 1 | 240 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 30 | 243 | -14.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 28 | 222 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Mar 25 | 221 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Mar 23 | 247 | -18.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 21 | 253 | -24.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 19 | 201 | +27.5 | Won | |
| Mar 17 | 236 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 16 | 234 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 14 | 217 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Mar 12 | 267 | -38.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 10 | 241 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 8 | 265 | -36.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 6 | 228 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 5 | 227 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 3 | 222 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Mar 1 | 203 | +25.5 | Won | |
| Feb 26 | 236 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 25 | 217 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Feb 23 | 217 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Feb 21 | 261 | -32.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 19 | 215 | +13.5 | Won | |
| Feb 11 | 239 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 10 | 244 | -15.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 7 | 263 | -34.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 5 | 258 | -29.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 4 | 222 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Feb 1 | 215 | +13.5 | Won | |
| Jan 31 | 217 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Jan 28 | 210 | +18.5 | Won | |
| Jan 25 | 199 | +29.5 | Won | |
| Jan 22 | 235 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 20 | 217 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Jan 19 | 233 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 17 | 249 | -20.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 15 | 220 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Jan 13 | 217 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Jan 11 | 207 | +21.5 | Won | |
| Jan 10 | 195 | +33.5 | Won | |
| Jan 7 | 198 | +30.5 | Won | |
| Jan 6 | 211 | +17.5 | Won | |
| Jan 3 | 225 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Jan 2 | 236 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 31 | 266 | -37.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 29 | 214 | +14.5 | Won | |
| Dec 27 | 241 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 25 | 219 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Dec 23 | 240 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 21 | 237 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 19 | 224 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Dec 18 | 213 | +15.5 | Won | |
| Dec 16 | 237 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 13 | 220 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Dec 10 | 251 | -22.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 8 | 267 | -38.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 5 | 247 | -18.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 3 | 226 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Dec 2 | 245 | -16.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 30 | 237 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 28 | 275 | -46.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 26 | 217 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Nov 23 | 213 | +15.5 | Won | |
| Nov 20 | 261 | -32.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 18 | 212 | +16.5 | Won | |
| Nov 16 | 233 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 14 | 217 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Nov 12 | 245 | -16.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 10 | 238 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 8 | 245 | -16.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 7 | 231 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 5 | 234 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 2 | 248 | -19.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 30 | 208 | +20.5 | Won | |
| Oct 27 | 224 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Oct 26 | 225 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Oct 24 | 236 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 22 | 217 | +11.5 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
Create a free account to see every number on a bet
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.