+8.5 spread: that team can lose by up to 8 and the bet still winsO 47.5 total: wins if the two teams score 48 or more combined−110 bet $110 to win $100+150 bet $100 to win $150The badge is the book with that price (tap a price to see every book's); green pays more than the bet's chances call forBet types explained →
Outlined is the best price on each side; green pays more than the chances call for. A small negative edge is normal. Tap a price to bet it. What the numbers mean
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On Polymarket and Kalshi a contract pays $1 if it comes true, so its price is the crowd's chance. Charts follow the home team.
Big single bets on Polymarket and Kalshi, and how much money is on this game. What bettors did, not a reason to follow them.
"To win" chances average the sportsbooks (with their cut taken out), Polymarket and Kalshi. How it works
| +230 |
| -295 |
| -113 |
| -108 |
| -109 |
| -112 |
| PRXbetPARX | +230 | -295 | -113 | -108 | -109 | -112 |
| BetRivers | +230 | -295 | -113 | -108 | -109 | -112 |
| FanDuel | +215 | -260 | -122 | +100 | -105 | -115 |
| Hard Rock | +220 | -275 | -115 | -105 | -110 | -110 |
| Polymarket | +177 | -204 | -151 | +126 | -105 | -114 |
| DraftKings | +220 | -270 | – | – | -110 | -110 |
| FLFliff | +210 | -260 | – | – | -115 | -110 |
| Kalshi | +173 | -208 | -148 | +124 | – | – |
| RBReBet | +206 | -275 | – | – | -119 | -109 |
| tStheScore Bet | +220 | -270 | – | – | -115 | -105 |
| Bovada | +210 | -250 | – | – | – | – |
| Fanatics | +220 | -275 | – | – | – | – |
| PINPinnacle | +211 | -255 | – | – | – | – |
Vig at the best pricesspread -2.8% · total 2.4% · to win -2.7%Cheapest books →
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Bets in this game that have kept winning, more often than their price needs. A trend ignores the opponent, and some are luck.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HOU to win moneylineHouston RocketsSA without Harris | 54 of 88· last season61%needs 30% to break even | Record is last season's | 7.8Good | ||
| Under 226.5 game total, SA gamesSan Antonio SpursSA without Harris | |||||
| Under 118.5 team totalSan Antonio SpursSA without Harris | -161at Kalshi | 10 of 10· last 10 games100%needs 62% to break even | |||
| Under 220.5 game total, HOU gamesHouston RocketsSA without Harris | +149at Polymarket | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 40% to break even |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SA -4.5 1st quarter spreadSan Antonio SpursSA without Harris |
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HOU -2.5 3rd quarter spreadHouston RocketsSA without Harris |
| 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 51% to break even |
| 3.0Good |
| 0.7Slight |
| 0.3Slight |
| 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 41% to break even |
| 6.0Good |
| HOU -1.5 2nd quarter spreadHouston RocketsSA without Harris | +134at Kalshi | 12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 43% to break even | 5.6Good |
| HOU -2.5 1st half spreadHouston RocketsSA without Harris | +181at Kalshi | 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 36% to break even | 0.3Slight |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| +166at Kalshi |
| 45 of 88· last season51%needs 38% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -4.8Not beating its price |
| Under 54.5 3rd quarter totalSan Antonio SpursSA without Harris | +189at Kalshi | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 35% to break even | -7.7Not beating its price |
| Over 107.5 1st half totalSan Antonio SpursSA without Harris | -148at Kalshi | 79 of 106· last season75%needs 60% to break even | Record is last season's | -9.4Not beating its price |
| Over 55.5 1st quarter totalSan Antonio SpursSA without Harris | -112at Kalshi | 70 of 106· last season66%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -10.1Not beating its price |
| HOU -1.5 1st quarter spreadHouston RocketsSA without Harris | +166at Kalshi | 39 of 88· last season44%needs 38% to break even | Record is last season's | -12.1Not beating its price |
| SA -5.5 3rd quarter spreadSan Antonio SpursSA without Harris | +198at Kalshi | 32 of 106· last season30%needs 34% to break even | Record is last season's | -12.7Not beating its price |
| Over 1.5 stealsAmen Thompson · HOU | +109at Kalshi | 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 48% to break even | -13.6Not beating its price |
| Over 5.5 assistsDe'Aaron Fox · SADay-to-day | +114at Kalshi | 52 of 97· last season54%needs 47% to break even | Record is last season's | -14.5Not beating its price |
| Over 113.5 team totalHouston RocketsSA without Harris | +129at Kalshi | 45 of 88· last season51%needs 44% to break even | Record is last season's | -14.8Not beating its price |
| Over 58.5 2nd quarter totalSan Antonio SpursSA without Harris | +189at Kalshi | 43 of 106· last season41%needs 35% to break even | Record is last season's | -16.1Not beating its price |
| SA -5.5 1st half spreadSan Antonio SpursSA without Harris | +129at Kalshi | 57 of 106· last season54%needs 44% to break even | Record is last season's | -17.4Not beating its price |
| Under 105.5 team totalHouston RocketsSA without Harris | +189at Kalshi | 4 of 10· last 10 games40%needs 35% to break even | -17.6Not beating its price |
| Over 1.5 threesVictor Wembanyama · SAWithout Harris | -154at Kalshi | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 61% to break even | -17.8Not beating its price |
| Under 0.5 blocksAlperen Sengun · HOU | +166at Kalshi | 31 of 80· last season39%needs 38% to break even | Record is last season's | -19.6Not beating its price |
| SA -10.5 spreadSan Antonio SpursSA without Harris | +181at Kalshi | 49 of 106· last season46%needs 36% to break even | Record is last season's | -19.9Not beating its price |
| Under 109.5 1st half totalSan Antonio SpursSA without Harris | -116at Kalshi | 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 54% to break even | -20.5Not beating its price |
| Under 39.5 pts + reb + astVictor Wembanyama · SAWithout Harris | -121at Kalshi | 47 of 89· last season53%needs 55% to break even | Record is last season's | -22.3Not beating its price |
| Over 62.5 3rd quarter totalSan Antonio SpursSA without Harris | +181at Kalshi | 32 of 106· last season30%needs 36% to break even | Record is last season's | -22.5Not beating its price |
| Over 233.5 game total, SA gamesSan Antonio SpursSA without Harris | +177at Polymarket | 43 of 106· last season41%needs 36% to break even | Record is last season's | -22.9Not beating its price |
| Over 39.5 pts + reb + astVictor Wembanyama · SAWithout Harris | -116at Kalshi | 42 of 89· last season47%needs 54% to break even | Record is last season's | -23.1Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
Who's hurt, the weather, rest and recent form. Injuries can change up to game time.
| Steven Adams | C | Day-To-Day | Right Calf · back ~Oct 23 |
| Reed Sheppard | G | Day-To-Day | Left Knee · back ~Oct 23 |
| Tobias Harrisstarting PF · next up: Julian Champagnie | F | Out | Left Calf · back ~Oct 24 |
| Jayden Quaintance | F | Out | Right Knee · back ~Dec 3 |
| De'Aaron Foxstarting PG | G | Day-To-Day | Right Wrist · back ~Oct 23 |
| Keldon Johnson | F | Day-To-Day | Mouth · back ~Oct 23 |
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Polymarket and Kalshi sell the spread and total at every number, not just the one most books use. Each row shows the chance that bet wins, from their prices, and the best price on each side at any book, sportsbooks' alternate lines and fees included.
| Bet | Chance | Best price | Other side, best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| SA -1.5 | 64% chance | -199 | HOU +1.5+152 |
| SA -2.5 | 61% chance | -164 | HOU +2.5+143 |
| SA -3.5 | 57% chance | -148 | HOU +3.5+124 |
| SA -4.5 | 54% chance | -126 | HOU +4.5+107 |
| SA -5.5 | 50% chance | -105 | HOU +5.5-109 |
| SA -6.5 | 46% chance | +112 | HOU +6.5-129 |
| SA -7.5Most books' number | 42% chance | +126$2,700 available at this price | HOU +7.5-113 |
| SA -8.5 | 40% chance | +140 | HOU +8.5-168 |
| SA -9.5 | 38% chance | +155 | HOU +9.5-175 |
| 52% chance |
| -119 |
| Under 225.5+101 |
| Over 226.5Most books' number | 49% chance | -105$1,900 available at this price | Under 226.5tS-105 |
| Over 227.5 | 48% chance | +103 | Under 227.5-112 |
| Over 228.5 | 45% chance | +112 | Under 228.5-134 |
| Over 229.5 | 43% chance | +124 | Under 229.5-148 |
| Over 230.5 | 40% chance | +137 | Under 230.5-164 |
| Over 231.5 | 39% chance | +140 | Under 231.5-183 |