This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 44% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 44% to break even | 5%–56% | 24 points shortwon 20%, needs 44% |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 44% to break even | 19%–65% | 4 points shortwon 40%, needs 44% |
| Last 15 games | 7 of 1547%needs 44% to break even | 28%–67% | 3 points betterwon 47%, needs 44% |
| This season | 0 of 10%needs 44% to break even | 0%–73% | 44 points shortwon 0%, needs 44% |
| Last season | 57 of 10654%needs 44% to break even | 46%–62% | 10 points betterwon 54%, needs 44% |
| Every game | 57 of 10753%needs 44% to break even | 45%–61% | 10 points betterwon 53%, needs 44% |
Tonight SA plays at home, as the favorite, after a loss, against HOU. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
1H margin in each game against sa 1h -5.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 226.5 game total, SA gamesSan Antonio Spurs · Today 9:40 PM ETSA without Harris |
| Date | Opponent | 1H margin | Beat 5.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 20 | -21 | -26.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Jun 13 | 5 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 10 | 27 | +21.5 | Won | |
| Jun 8 | -7 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 5 | -4 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 3 | 7 | +1.5 | Won | |
| May 30 | 3 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| May 28 | 7 | +1.5 | Won | |
| May 26 | -11 | -16.5 | Lost | |
| May 24 | 12 | +6.5 | Won | |
| May 22 | -7 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| May 20 | -11 | -16.5 | Lost | |
| May 18 | 7 | +1.5 | Won | |
| May 15 | 13 | +7.5 | Won | |
| May 12 | 12 | +6.5 | Won | |
| May 10 | -4 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| May 8 | 0 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| May 6 | 24 | +18.5 | Won | |
| May 4 | 0 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 28 | 20 | +14.5 | Won | |
| Apr 26 | -17 | -22.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 24 | -6 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 21 | 0 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 19 | 10 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Apr 12 | -14 | -19.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 10 | 3 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 8 | 10 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Apr 6 | 7 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 4 | 7 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 2 | 24 | +18.5 | Won | |
| Apr 1 | 21 | +15.5 | Won | |
| Mar 30 | 17 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Mar 28 | 22 | +16.5 | Won | |
| Mar 25 | 13 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Mar 23 | 18 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Mar 21 | 13 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Mar 19 | -7 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 17 | 31 | +25.5 | Won | |
| Mar 16 | 14 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Mar 14 | 13 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Mar 12 | 16 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Mar 10 | 0 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 8 | 12 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Mar 6 | -20 | -25.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 5 | 16 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Mar 3 | 25 | +19.5 | Won | |
| Mar 1 | -10 | -15.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 26 | 15 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Feb 25 | -2 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 23 | 2 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 21 | 8 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Feb 19 | 12 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Feb 11 | -4 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 10 | 29 | +23.5 | Won | |
| Feb 7 | 14 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Feb 5 | 11 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Feb 4 | 15 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Feb 1 | -1 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 31 | -14 | -19.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 28 | -8 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 25 | -9 | -14.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 22 | 12 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Jan 20 | 10 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Jan 19 | 4 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 17 | 25 | +19.5 | Won | |
| Jan 15 | 13 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Jan 13 | -3 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 11 | 13 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Jan 10 | -5 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 7 | 5 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 6 | 8 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jan 3 | -4 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 2 | 13 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Dec 31 | -10 | -15.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 29 | 6 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 27 | -10 | -15.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 25 | 9 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Dec 23 | -2 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 21 | 20 | +14.5 | Won | |
| Dec 19 | 24 | +18.5 | Won | |
| Dec 18 | 4 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 16 | 2 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 13 | -3 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 10 | 12 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Dec 8 | 20 | +14.5 | Won | |
| Dec 5 | 8 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Dec 3 | 9 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Dec 2 | 4 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 30 | 1 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 28 | -15 | -20.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 26 | 2 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 23 | 7 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 20 | 14 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Nov 18 | 2 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 16 | 8 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Nov 14 | -2 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 12 | 7 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 10 | -1 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 8 | 8 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Nov 7 | 1 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 5 | -1 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 2 | -18 | -23.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 30 | 1 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 27 | 19 | +13.5 | Won | |
| Oct 26 | 21 | +15.5 | Won | |
| Oct 24 | -1 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 22 | 9 | +3.5 | Won | |
| 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 51% to break even |
| 3.0Good |
| Under 220.5 game total, SA gamesSan Antonio Spurs · Today 9:40 PM ETSA without Harris | +162at Polymarket | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 38% to break even | 2.7Slight |
| Under 227.5 game total, SA gamesSan Antonio Spurs · Today 9:40 PM ETSA without Harris | -109at Polymarket | 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 52% to break even | 2.3Slight |
| Under 118.5 team totalSan Antonio Spurs · Today 9:40 PM ETSA without Harris | -154at Kalshi | 10 of 10· last 10 games100%needs 61% to break even | 1.6Slight |
| Under 221.5 game total, SA gamesSan Antonio Spurs · Today 9:40 PM ETSA without Harris | +152at Kalshi | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 40% to break even | 1.4Slight |
| Under 116.5 team totalSan Antonio Spurs · Today 9:40 PM ETSA without Harris | -116at Kalshi | 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 54% to break even | 1.1Slight |
| Under 228.5 game total, SA gamesSan Antonio Spurs · Today 9:40 PM ETSA without Harris | -119at Polymarket | 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 54% to break even | 0.9Slight |
| Under 223.5 game total, SA gamesSan Antonio Spurs · Today 9:40 PM ETSA without Harris | +126at Polymarket | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 44% to break even | -0.1Not beating its price |
| Under 222.5 game total, SA gamesSan Antonio Spurs · Today 9:40 PM ETSA without Harris | +137at Polymarket | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 42% to break even | -0.4Not beating its price |
| Under 225.5 game total, SA gamesSan Antonio Spurs · Today 9:40 PM ETSA without Harris | +112at Polymarket | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 47% to break even | -2.0Not beating its price |
| Under 114.5 team totalSan Antonio Spurs · Today 9:40 PM ETSA without Harris | +114at Kalshi | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 47% to break even | -2.3Not beating its price |
| Under 219.5 game total, SA gamesSan Antonio Spurs · Today 9:40 PM ETSA without Harris | +181at Kalshi | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 36% to break even | -2.4Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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