This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 45% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 45% to break even | 5%–56% | 25 points shortwon 20%, needs 45% |
| Last 10 games | 3 of 1030%needs 45% to break even | 13%–56% | 15 points shortwon 30%, needs 45% |
| Last 15 games | 6 of 1540%needs 45% to break even | 22%–61% | 5 points shortwon 40%, needs 45% |
| This season | 1 of 1100%needs 45% to break even | 27%–100% | 55 points betterwon 100%, needs 45% |
| Last season | 29 of 8833%needs 45% to break even | 25%–42% | 12 points shortwon 33%, needs 45% |
| Every game | 30 of 8934%needs 45% to break even | 26%–42% | 12 points shortwon 34%, needs 45% |
Tonight HOU plays on the road, as the underdog, after a win, against SA. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total points in each game against over 230.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 219.5 game total, HOU gamesHouston Rockets · Today 9:40 PM ETSA without Harris |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HOU to win moneylineHouston Rockets · Today 9:40 PM ETSA without Harris |
| Date | Opponent | Total points | Beat 230.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 | 238 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| May 1 | 176 | -54.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 29 | 192 | -38.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 26 | 211 | -19.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 24 | 220 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 21 | 195 | -35.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 18 | 205 | -25.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 12 | 233 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Apr 10 | 268 | +37.5 | Won | |
| Apr 9 | 215 | -15.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 7 | 224 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 5 | 233 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Apr 3 | 246 | +15.5 | Won | |
| Apr 1 | 232 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 31 | 205 | -25.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 29 | 236 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Mar 27 | 228 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 25 | 218 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 23 | 256 | +25.5 | Won | |
| Mar 21 | 245 | +14.5 | Won | |
| Mar 20 | 212 | -18.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 18 | 240 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Mar 16 | 192 | -38.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 13 | 212 | -18.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 11 | 222 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 10 | 212 | -18.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 8 | 265 | +34.5 | Won | |
| Mar 6 | 205 | -25.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 5 | 228 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 2 | 241 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Feb 28 | 220 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 26 | 221 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 25 | 225 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 23 | 230 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 21 | 214 | -16.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 19 | 206 | -24.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 11 | 207 | -23.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 10 | 197 | -33.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 7 | 218 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 5 | 208 | -22.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 4 | 207 | -23.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 2 | 232 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 31 | 218 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 29 | 190 | -40.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 28 | 210 | -20.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 26 | 207 | -23.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 23 | 215 | -15.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 22 | 250 | +19.5 | Won | |
| Jan 20 | 217 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 18 | 229 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 16 | 215 | -15.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 15 | 202 | -28.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 13 | 232 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 11 | 209 | -21.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 9 | 216 | -14.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 7 | 205 | -25.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 5 | 197 | -33.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 3 | 214 | -16.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 1 | 216 | -14.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 29 | 245 | +14.5 | Won | |
| Dec 27 | 217 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 25 | 215 | -15.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 23 | 236 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Dec 21 | 249 | +18.5 | Won | |
| Dec 20 | 216 | -14.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 18 | 261 | +30.5 | Won | |
| Dec 15 | 253 | +22.5 | Won | |
| Dec 11 | 228 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 6 | 231 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 5 | 215 | -15.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 3 | 216 | -14.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 1 | 258 | +27.5 | Won | |
| Nov 30 | 230 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 26 | 204 | -26.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 24 | 206 | -24.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 21 | 221 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 19 | 218 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 16 | 230 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 14 | 256 | +25.5 | Won | |
| Nov 12 | 247 | +16.5 | Won | |
| Nov 9 | 237 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Nov 7 | 231 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 5 | 233 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Nov 3 | 212 | -18.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 1 | 229 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 29 | 260 | +29.5 | Won | |
| Oct 27 | 246 | +15.5 | Won | |
| Oct 24 | 226 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 21 | 249 | +18.5 | Won | |
| 43 of 88· last season49%needs 35% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -1.7Not beating its price |
| Under 220.5 game total, HOU gamesHouston Rockets · Today 9:40 PM ETSA without Harris | +169at Polymarket | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 37% to break even | 3.1Good |
| Under 221.5 game total, HOU gamesHouston Rockets · Today 9:40 PM ETSA without Harris | +152at Kalshi | 47 of 88· last season53%needs 40% to break even | Record is last season's | 1.2Slight |
| Under 222.5 game total, HOU gamesHouston Rockets · Today 9:40 PM ETSA without Harris | +143at Polymarket | 48 of 88· last season55%needs 41% to break even | Record is last season's | 0.1Slight |
| Under 223.5 game total, HOU gamesHouston Rockets · Today 9:40 PM ETSA without Harris | +129at Kalshi | 48 of 88· last season55%needs 44% to break even | Record is last season's | -2.3Not beating its price |
| Under 225.5 game total, HOU gamesHouston Rockets · Today 9:40 PM ETSA without Harris | +116at Polymarket | 50 of 88· last season57%needs 46% to break even | Record is last season's | -2.6Not beating its price |
| Under 226.5 game total, HOU gamesHouston Rockets · Today 9:40 PM ETSA without Harris | +103at Polymarket | 51 of 88· last season58%needs 49% to break even | Record is last season's | -5.2Not beating its price |
| Under 227.5 game total, HOU gamesHouston Rockets · Today 9:40 PM ETSA without Harris | -105at Polymarket | 51 of 88· last season58%needs 51% to break even | Record is last season's | -7.0Not beating its price |
| Under 228.5 game total, HOU gamesHouston Rockets · Today 9:40 PM ETSA without Harris | -114at Polymarket | 54 of 88· last season61%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -8.2Not beating its price |
| Under 229.5 game total, HOU gamesHouston Rockets · Today 9:40 PM ETSA without Harris | -131at Kalshi | 56 of 88· last season64%needs 57% to break even | Record is last season's | -11.0Not beating its price |
| Under 230.5 game total, HOU gamesHouston Rockets · Today 9:40 PM ETSA without Harris | -139at Polymarket | 59 of 88· last season67%needs 58% to break even | Record is last season's | -11.6Not beating its price |
| Under 231.5 game total, HOU gamesHouston Rockets · Today 9:40 PM ETSA without Harris | -161at Kalshi | 61 of 88· last season69%needs 62% to break even | Record is last season's | -14.4Not beating its price |
| Under 233.5 game total, HOU gamesHouston Rockets · Today 9:40 PM ETSA without Harris | -195at Polymarket | 67 of 88· last season76%needs 66% to break even | Record is last season's | -8.7Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 54 of 88· last season61%needs 30% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| 7.8Good |
| HOU +7.5 spreadHouston Rockets · Today 9:40 PM ETSA without Harris | -113at BetRivers | 71 of 88· last season81%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | 6.9Good |
| HOU +4.5 spreadHouston Rockets · Today 9:40 PM ETSA without Harris | +107at Polymarket | 66 of 88· last season75%needs 48% to break even | Record is last season's | 5.2Good |
| HOU +9.5 spreadHouston Rockets · Today 9:40 PM ETSA without Harris | -179at Polymarket | 76 of 88· last season86%needs 64% to break even | Record is last season's | 3.2Good |
| HOU +5.5 spreadHouston Rockets · Today 9:40 PM ETSA without Harris | -109at Polymarket | 67 of 88· last season76%needs 52% to break even | Record is last season's | 1.8Slight |
| HOU -1.5 spreadHouston Rockets · Today 9:40 PM ETSA without Harris | +189at Kalshi | 52 of 88· last season59%needs 35% to break even | Record is last season's | 1.4Slight |
| HOU +1.5 spreadHouston Rockets · Today 9:40 PM ETSA without Harris | +152at Kalshi | 57 of 88· last season65%needs 40% to break even | Record is last season's | -0.4Not beating its price |
| HOU +6.5 spreadHouston Rockets · Today 9:40 PM ETSA without Harris | -129at Polymarket | 70 of 88· last season80%needs 56% to break even | Record is last season's | -1.3Not beating its price |
| HOU +2.5 spreadHouston Rockets · Today 9:40 PM ETSA without Harris | +140at Kalshi | 60 of 88· last season68%needs 42% to break even | Record is last season's | -1.5Not beating its price |
| HOU +8.5 spreadHouston Rockets · Today 9:40 PM ETSA without Harris | -175at Kalshi | 75 of 88· last season85%needs 64% to break even | Record is last season's | -2.0Not beating its price |
| HOU +3.5 spreadHouston Rockets · Today 9:40 PM ETSA without Harris | +124at Kalshi | 63 of 88· last season72%needs 45% to break even | Record is last season's | -3.5Not beating its price |
| HOU +5.5 1st half spreadHouston Rockets · Today 9:40 PM ETSA without Harris | -175at Kalshi | 66 of 88· last season75%needs 64% to break even | Record is last season's | -7.2Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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