This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 64% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 64% to break even | 44%–95% | 16 points betterwon 80%, needs 64% |
| Last 10 games | 8 of 1080%needs 64% to break even | 54%–93% | 16 points betterwon 80%, needs 64% |
| Last 15 games | 13 of 1587%needs 64% to break even | 67%–95% | 23 points betterwon 87%, needs 64% |
| This season | 1 of 1100%needs 64% to break even | 27%–100% | 36 points betterwon 100%, needs 64% |
| Last season | 75 of 8885%needs 64% to break even | 78%–90% | 22 points betterwon 85%, needs 64% |
| Every game | 76 of 8985%needs 64% to break even | 78%–91% | 22 points betterwon 85%, needs 64% |
Tonight HOU plays on the road, as the underdog, after a win, against SA. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against hou +8.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HOU to win moneylineHouston Rockets · Today 9:40 PM ETSA without Harris |
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat -8.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 | 18 | +26.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| May 1 | -20 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 29 | 6 | +14.5 | Won | |
| Apr 26 | 19 | +27.5 | Won | |
| Apr 24 | -4 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Apr 21 | -7 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 18 | -9 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 12 | 31 | +39.5 | Won | |
| Apr 10 | -4 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Apr 9 | 11 | +19.5 | Won | |
| Apr 7 | 14 | +22.5 | Won | |
| Apr 5 | 1 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Apr 3 | 34 | +42.5 | Won | |
| Apr 1 | 6 | +14.5 | Won | |
| Mar 31 | 17 | +25.5 | Won | |
| Mar 29 | 32 | +40.5 | Won | |
| Mar 27 | 10 | +18.5 | Won | |
| Mar 25 | -2 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Mar 23 | -8 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 21 | 1 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Mar 20 | 22 | +30.5 | Won | |
| Mar 18 | -8 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 16 | -8 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 13 | 2 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Mar 11 | -36 | -27.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 10 | 14 | +22.5 | Won | |
| Mar 8 | -25 | -16.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 6 | 7 | +15.5 | Won | |
| Mar 5 | -2 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Mar 2 | 5 | +13.5 | Won | |
| Feb 28 | -10 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 26 | 5 | +13.5 | Won | |
| Feb 25 | 31 | +39.5 | Won | |
| Feb 23 | 20 | +28.5 | Won | |
| Feb 21 | -2 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Feb 19 | 4 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Feb 11 | -3 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Feb 10 | 7 | +15.5 | Won | |
| Feb 7 | 6 | +14.5 | Won | |
| Feb 5 | -10 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 4 | -21 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 2 | 4 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Jan 31 | 4 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Jan 29 | 18 | +26.5 | Won | |
| Jan 28 | -12 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 26 | 9 | +17.5 | Won | |
| Jan 23 | 7 | +15.5 | Won | |
| Jan 22 | -6 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jan 20 | 5 | +13.5 | Won | |
| Jan 18 | 9 | +17.5 | Won | |
| Jan 16 | 5 | +13.5 | Won | |
| Jan 15 | -20 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 13 | 6 | +14.5 | Won | |
| Jan 11 | -13 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 9 | -6 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jan 7 | -1 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Jan 5 | 3 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Jan 3 | -6 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jan 1 | 24 | +32.5 | Won | |
| Dec 29 | 7 | +15.5 | Won | |
| Dec 27 | 17 | +25.5 | Won | |
| Dec 25 | 23 | +31.5 | Won | |
| Dec 23 | -20 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 21 | -1 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Dec 20 | 14 | +22.5 | Won | |
| Dec 18 | -5 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Dec 15 | -3 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Dec 11 | 2 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Dec 6 | -13 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 5 | 19 | +27.5 | Won | |
| Dec 3 | 26 | +34.5 | Won | |
| Dec 1 | -8 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 30 | 28 | +36.5 | Won | |
| Nov 26 | 4 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Nov 24 | 22 | +30.5 | Won | |
| Nov 21 | -3 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Nov 19 | 10 | +18.5 | Won | |
| Nov 16 | 4 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Nov 14 | 24 | +32.5 | Won | |
| Nov 12 | 23 | +31.5 | Won | |
| Nov 9 | 7 | +15.5 | Won | |
| Nov 7 | -11 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 5 | 15 | +23.5 | Won | |
| Nov 3 | 8 | +16.5 | Won | |
| Nov 1 | 27 | +35.5 | Won | |
| Oct 29 | 18 | +26.5 | Won | |
| Oct 27 | 28 | +36.5 | Won | |
| Oct 24 | -4 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Oct 21 | -1 | +7.5 | Won | |
| 54 of 88· last season61%needs 30% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| 7.8Good |
| Under 220.5 game total, HOU gamesHouston Rockets · Today 9:40 PM ETSA without Harris | +162at Polymarket | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 38% to break even | 2.2Slight |
| Under 221.5 game total, HOU gamesHouston Rockets · Today 9:40 PM ETSA without Harris | +152at Kalshi | 47 of 88· last season53%needs 40% to break even | Record is last season's | 1.2Slight |
| Under 222.5 game total, HOU gamesHouston Rockets · Today 9:40 PM ETSA without Harris | +137at Polymarket | 48 of 88· last season55%needs 42% to break even | Record is last season's | -0.9Not beating its price |
| Under 219.5 game total, HOU gamesHouston Rockets · Today 9:40 PM ETSA without Harris | +181at Kalshi | 43 of 88· last season49%needs 36% to break even | Record is last season's | -2.7Not beating its price |
| Under 223.5 game total, HOU gamesHouston Rockets · Today 9:40 PM ETSA without Harris | +126at Polymarket | 48 of 88· last season55%needs 44% to break even | Record is last season's | -2.8Not beating its price |
| Under 225.5 game total, HOU gamesHouston Rockets · Today 9:40 PM ETSA without Harris | +112at Polymarket | 50 of 88· last season57%needs 47% to break even | Record is last season's | -3.5Not beating its price |
| HOU +1.5 1st half spreadHouston Rockets · Today 9:40 PM ETSA without Harris | +105at Kalshi | 56 of 88· last season64%needs 49% to break even | Record is last season's | -6.9Not beating its price |
| Under 226.5 game total, HOU gamesHouston Rockets · Today 9:40 PM ETSA without Harris | tS-105at theScore Bet | 51 of 88· last season58%needs 51% to break even | Record is last season's | -7.0Not beating its price |
| HOU +5.5 1st half spreadHouston Rockets · Today 9:40 PM ETSA without Harris | -175at Kalshi | 66 of 88· last season75%needs 64% to break even | Record is last season's | -7.2Not beating its price |
| Under 227.5 game total, HOU gamesHouston Rockets · Today 9:40 PM ETSA without Harris | -109at Polymarket | 51 of 88· last season58%needs 52% to break even | Record is last season's | -7.9Not beating its price |
| Under 228.5 game total, HOU gamesHouston Rockets · Today 9:40 PM ETSA without Harris | -119at Polymarket | 54 of 88· last season61%needs 54% to break even | Record is last season's | -9.2Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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