This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 30% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 30% to break even | 27%–86% | 30 points betterwon 60%, needs 30% |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 30% to break even | 27%–73% | 20 points betterwon 50%, needs 30% |
| Last 15 games | 10 of 1567%needs 30% to break even | 46%–83% | 36 points betterwon 67%, needs 30% |
| This season | 1 of 1100%needs 30% to break even | 27%–100% | 70 points betterwon 100%, needs 30% |
| Last season | 54 of 8861%needs 30% to break even | 53%–69% | 31 points betterwon 61%, needs 30% |
| Every game | 55 of 8962%needs 30% to break even | 53%–70% | 31 points betterwon 62%, needs 30% |
Tonight HOU plays on the road, as the underdog, after a win, against SA. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against hou to win, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HOU +7.5 spreadHouston Rockets · Tomorrow 9:40 PM ETSA without Harris |
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat 0 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 | 18 | +18 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| May 1 | -20 | -20 | Lost | |
| Apr 29 | 6 | +6 | Won | |
| Apr 26 | 19 | +19 | Won | |
| Apr 24 | -4 | -4 | Lost | |
| Apr 21 | -7 | -7 | Lost | |
| Apr 18 | -9 | -9 | Lost | |
| Apr 12 | 31 | +31 | Won | |
| Apr 10 | -4 | -4 | Lost | |
| Apr 9 | 11 | +11 | Won | |
| Apr 7 | 14 | +14 | Won | |
| Apr 5 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Apr 3 | 34 | +34 | Won | |
| Apr 1 | 6 | +6 | Won | |
| Mar 31 | 17 | +17 | Won | |
| Mar 29 | 32 | +32 | Won | |
| Mar 27 | 10 | +10 | Won | |
| Mar 25 | -2 | -2 | Lost | |
| Mar 23 | -8 | -8 | Lost | |
| Mar 21 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Mar 20 | 22 | +22 | Won | |
| Mar 18 | -8 | -8 | Lost | |
| Mar 16 | -8 | -8 | Lost | |
| Mar 13 | 2 | +2 | Won | |
| Mar 11 | -36 | -36 | Lost | |
| Mar 10 | 14 | +14 | Won | |
| Mar 8 | -25 | -25 | Lost | |
| Mar 6 | 7 | +7 | Won | |
| Mar 5 | -2 | -2 | Lost | |
| Mar 2 | 5 | +5 | Won | |
| Feb 28 | -10 | -10 | Lost | |
| Feb 26 | 5 | +5 | Won | |
| Feb 25 | 31 | +31 | Won | |
| Feb 23 | 20 | +20 | Won | |
| Feb 21 | -2 | -2 | Lost | |
| Feb 19 | 4 | +4 | Won | |
| Feb 11 | -3 | -3 | Lost | |
| Feb 10 | 7 | +7 | Won | |
| Feb 7 | 6 | +6 | Won | |
| Feb 5 | -10 | -10 | Lost | |
| Feb 4 | -21 | -21 | Lost | |
| Feb 2 | 4 | +4 | Won | |
| Jan 31 | 4 | +4 | Won | |
| Jan 29 | 18 | +18 | Won | |
| Jan 28 | -12 | -12 | Lost | |
| Jan 26 | 9 | +9 | Won | |
| Jan 23 | 7 | +7 | Won | |
| Jan 22 | -6 | -6 | Lost | |
| Jan 20 | 5 | +5 | Won | |
| Jan 18 | 9 | +9 | Won | |
| Jan 16 | 5 | +5 | Won | |
| Jan 15 | -20 | -20 | Lost | |
| Jan 13 | 6 | +6 | Won | |
| Jan 11 | -13 | -13 | Lost | |
| Jan 9 | -6 | -6 | Lost | |
| Jan 7 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Jan 5 | 3 | +3 | Won | |
| Jan 3 | -6 | -6 | Lost | |
| Jan 1 | 24 | +24 | Won | |
| Dec 29 | 7 | +7 | Won | |
| Dec 27 | 17 | +17 | Won | |
| Dec 25 | 23 | +23 | Won | |
| Dec 23 | -20 | -20 | Lost | |
| Dec 21 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Dec 20 | 14 | +14 | Won | |
| Dec 18 | -5 | -5 | Lost | |
| Dec 15 | -3 | -3 | Lost | |
| Dec 11 | 2 | +2 | Won | |
| Dec 6 | -13 | -13 | Lost | |
| Dec 5 | 19 | +19 | Won | |
| Dec 3 | 26 | +26 | Won | |
| Dec 1 | -8 | -8 | Lost | |
| Nov 30 | 28 | +28 | Won | |
| Nov 26 | 4 | +4 | Won | |
| Nov 24 | 22 | +22 | Won | |
| Nov 21 | -3 | -3 | Lost | |
| Nov 19 | 10 | +10 | Won | |
| Nov 16 | 4 | +4 | Won | |
| Nov 14 | 24 | +24 | Won | |
| Nov 12 | 23 | +23 | Won | |
| Nov 9 | 7 | +7 | Won | |
| Nov 7 | -11 | -11 | Lost | |
| Nov 5 | 15 | +15 | Won | |
| Nov 3 | 8 | +8 | Won | |
| Nov 1 | 27 | +27 | Won | |
| Oct 29 | 18 | +18 | Won | |
| Oct 27 | 28 | +28 | Won | |
| Oct 24 | -4 | -4 | Lost | |
| Oct 21 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| 71 of 88· last season81%needs 53% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| 6.9Good |
| HOU +4.5 spreadHouston Rockets · Tomorrow 9:40 PM ETSA without Harris | +107at Polymarket | 66 of 88· last season75%needs 48% to break even | Record is last season's | 5.2Good |
| HOU +9.5 spreadHouston Rockets · Tomorrow 9:40 PM ETSA without Harris | -175at Kalshi | 76 of 88· last season86%needs 64% to break even | Record is last season's | 3.7Good |
| Under 220.5 game total, HOU gamesHouston Rockets · Tomorrow 9:40 PM ETSA without Harris | +162at Polymarket | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 38% to break even | 2.2Slight |
| HOU +5.5 spreadHouston Rockets · Tomorrow 9:40 PM ETSA without Harris | -109at Polymarket | 67 of 88· last season76%needs 52% to break even | Record is last season's | 1.8Slight |
| HOU -1.5 spreadHouston Rockets · Tomorrow 9:40 PM ETSA without Harris | +189at Kalshi | 52 of 88· last season59%needs 35% to break even | Record is last season's | 1.4Slight |
| HOU -2.5 1st half spreadHouston Rockets · Tomorrow 9:40 PM ETSA without Harris | +189at Kalshi | 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 35% to break even | 1.2Slight |
| Under 221.5 game total, HOU gamesHouston Rockets · Tomorrow 9:40 PM ETSA without Harris | +152at Kalshi | 47 of 88· last season53%needs 40% to break even | Record is last season's | 1.2Slight |
| HOU +1.5 spreadHouston Rockets · Tomorrow 9:40 PM ETSA without Harris | +152at Kalshi | 57 of 88· last season65%needs 40% to break even | Record is last season's | -0.4Not beating its price |
| HOU -1.5 1st half spreadHouston Rockets · Tomorrow 9:40 PM ETSA without Harris | +159at Kalshi | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 39% to break even | -0.6Not beating its price |
| Under 222.5 game total, HOU gamesHouston Rockets · Tomorrow 9:40 PM ETSA without Harris | +137at Polymarket | 48 of 88· last season55%needs 42% to break even | Record is last season's | -0.9Not beating its price |
| HOU +8.5 spreadHouston Rockets · Tomorrow 9:40 PM ETSA without Harris | -168at Kalshi | 75 of 88· last season85%needs 63% to break even | Record is last season's | -1.1Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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